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63 Holiday Dr
C Composite 56.22
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.8/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0

$144,900

63 Holiday Dr · Foster, PA 18661
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,024 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 74 Days on market
Built 1989 0.26 ac lot $142/sqft · 7% below area Est $156k · 7% under $82/mo HOA · 6% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This well-maintained 1,024 sqft contemporary features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath on a level 0.26-acre lot. The interior boasts a brick fireplace and a unique split-level staircase. Enjoy peace of mind with a new water tank and an energy-efficient water heater. The exterior includes a spacious deck and a wooded yard, perfect for outdoor activities. Residents benefit from community amenities like a lake, pool, and clubhouse, with easy access to I-80. This property offers a solid foundation for those looking to add personal touches and modern updates to a functional space. TAX ID 23-Q11S6-009-003

Key facts

  • New water tank
  • Brick fireplace
  • Spacious deck

Tags

BRICK FIREPLACESPLIT-LEVEL STAIRCASENEW WATER TANKENERGY-EFFICIENT WATER HEATERSPACIOUS DECKWOODED YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $77 ($929/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (3.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Hazleton Area SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #476 of 539 in PA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $15k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $145k implies a 93% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $136,206 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
6.93%
Cash-on-cash
2.29%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$156,290
List price
$144,900
Delta
-7.29%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
68 Holiday Dr 0.05mi 3/1.5 905 (-12%) 1mo $235,000 $260 76
1219 Woodhaven Dr 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,056 (+3%) 11mo $120,000 $114 75
54 Hickory Hills Drive Dr 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,040 (+2%) 6mo $186,500 $179 72
68 Holiday Dr 0.05mi 3/1.5 896 (-12%) 11mo $210,000 $234 65
43 Holiday Dr 0.14mi 3/1.5 1,080 (+6%) 22mo $169,000 $156 64
78 Sunshine Dr 0.16mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,080 (+6%) 12mo $187,500 $174 64
38 Vacation Dr 0.34mi 3/1.0 960 (-6%) 15mo $147,000 $153 61
60 Vacation Dr 0.39mi 2/1.0 (-1) 900 (-12%) 1mo $172,500 $192 56
9 Cougar Dr 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,000 (-2%) 13mo $148,000 $148 51
26 Deer Cross Rd 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,064 (+4%) 17mo $115,000 $108 51
160 Hillary Dr 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,040 (+2%) 23mo $200,000 $192 49
19 Deer Cross Road Rd 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,160 (+13%) 21mo $239,000 $206 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.9%
Equity multiple
3.07×
Total profit
$83,884
Equity at exit
$130,537
10-year hold
IRR
22.8%
Equity multiple
6.99×
Total profit
$243,223
Equity at exit
$281,509

Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18661

Home prices YoY
15.0%
Active inventory
70
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,400 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$126 /mo · $1,516/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$82
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$77

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,302
Max offer price $144,900
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,225
Closing costs
$4,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
16 Lee Rd White Haven, PA 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 43d 1 0.51mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$82 · $984/yr
Likely covers
waterpool

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on market $144,900 Active 74 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $144,900 Active 73 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $144,900 Active 72 DOM
  4. 2026-06-14
    days on market $144,900 Active 70 DOM
  5. 2026-06-12
    days on market $144,900 Active 69 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $144,900 Active 66 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $144,900 Active 65 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $144,900 Active 64 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $144,900 Active 59 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $144,900 Active 58 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $144,900 Active 57 DOM
  12. 2026-05-30
    days on market $144,900 Active 56 DOM
  13. 2026-05-13
    price $144,900 595-char remark
    Show marketing remark (595 chars)

    This well-maintained 1,024 sqft contemporary features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath on a level 0.26-acre lot. The interior boasts a brick fireplace and a unique split-level staircase. Enjoy peace of mind with a new water tank and an energy-efficient water heater. The exterior includes a spacious deck and a wooded yard, perfect for outdoor activities. Residents benefit from community amenities like a lake, pool, and clubhouse, with easy access to I-80. This property offers a solid foundation for those looking to add personal touches and modern updates to a functional space. TAX ID 23-Q11S6-009-003

  14. 2026-04-28
    price $155,000 595-char remark
    Show marketing remark (595 chars)

    This well-maintained 1,024 sqft contemporary features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath on a level 0.26-acre lot. The interior boasts a brick fireplace and a unique split-level staircase. Enjoy peace of mind with a new water tank and an energy-efficient water heater. The exterior includes a spacious deck and a wooded yard, perfect for outdoor activities. Residents benefit from community amenities like a lake, pool, and clubhouse, with easy access to I-80. This property offers a solid foundation for those looking to add personal touches and modern updates to a functional space. TAX ID 23-Q11S6-009-003

  15. 2026-04-04
    listed $165,000 Active 595-char remark
    Show marketing remark (595 chars)

    This well-maintained 1,024 sqft contemporary features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath on a level 0.26-acre lot. The interior boasts a brick fireplace and a unique split-level staircase. Enjoy peace of mind with a new water tank and an energy-efficient water heater. The exterior includes a spacious deck and a wooded yard, perfect for outdoor activities. Residents benefit from community amenities like a lake, pool, and clubhouse, with easy access to I-80. This property offers a solid foundation for those looking to add personal touches and modern updates to a functional space. TAX ID 23-Q11S6-009-003

  16. 2019-01-25
    soldstatus $74,900
  17. 2019-01-17
    soldstatus $74,900
  18. 2018-06-18
    listed $74,900
  19. 2011-04-20
    listed $88,500
  20. 2010-01-19
    listed $99,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,516 · $126/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,903 · $159/mo
Expected delta
+$387/yr (+$32/mo · 25.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,800
− Mortgage interest
−$8,117
− Property taxes
−$1,516
− Insurance
−$724
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,344
− Management
−$1,344
− HOA
−$984
− Depreciation
−$4,215
Taxable loss
−$1,445
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$347
After-tax cash flow
$1,276/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hazleton Area SD
NCES district ID
4211700
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$42,247
Composite
20.44/100
National rank
#8582
State rank
#476 of 539 in PA

Livability — Foster

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Hickory Hills, PA
Population (ZIP)
5,541

Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,505 people
By 2030
319,943 · +0.1%
By 2040
322,643 · +1.0%
By 2050
330,817 · +3.5%
By 2075
379,145 · +18.7%
By 2100
431,908 · +35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 16% Lithuanian 2% Polish 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 38.68%
Current HPI
296.5596
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+45.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $144,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $155,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-04 Listed $165,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-01-25 Sold (Public Records) $74,900 Public Records
  • 2019-01-17 Sold (MLS) $74,900 LCAR
  • 2018-06-18 Listed $74,900 LCAR
  • 2011-04-20 Listed $88,500 PMAR
  • 2010-01-19 Listed $99,900 PMAR

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,516 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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