63 Holiday Dr · Foster, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.2/30.0
- ARV discount +10.8/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
$144,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This well-maintained 1,024 sqft contemporary features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath on a level 0.26-acre lot. The interior boasts a brick fireplace and a unique split-level staircase. Enjoy peace of mind with a new water tank and an energy-efficient water heater. The exterior includes a spacious deck and a wooded yard, perfect for outdoor activities. Residents benefit from community amenities like a lake, pool, and clubhouse, with easy access to I-80. This property offers a solid foundation for those looking to add personal touches and modern updates to a functional space. TAX ID 23-Q11S6-009-003
Key facts
- New water tank
- Brick fireplace
- Spacious deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $77 ($929/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (3.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $136k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Hazleton Area SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #476 of 539 in PA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $15k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $145k implies a 93% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.29%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $156,290
- List price
- $144,900
- Delta
- -7.29%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68 Holiday Dr | 0.05mi | 3/1.5 | 905 (-12%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $260 | 76 |
| 1219 Woodhaven Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,056 (+3%) | 11mo | $120,000 | $114 | 75 |
| 54 Hickory Hills Drive Dr | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (+2%) | 6mo | $186,500 | $179 | 72 |
| 68 Holiday Dr | 0.05mi | 3/1.5 | 896 (-12%) | 11mo | $210,000 | $234 | 65 |
| 43 Holiday Dr | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 | 1,080 (+6%) | 22mo | $169,000 | $156 | 64 |
| 78 Sunshine Dr | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,080 (+6%) | 12mo | $187,500 | $174 | 64 |
| 38 Vacation Dr | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-6%) | 15mo | $147,000 | $153 | 61 |
| 60 Vacation Dr | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 900 (-12%) | 1mo | $172,500 | $192 | 56 |
| 9 Cougar Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,000 (-2%) | 13mo | $148,000 | $148 | 51 |
| 26 Deer Cross Rd | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,064 (+4%) | 17mo | $115,000 | $108 | 51 |
| 160 Hillary Dr | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,040 (+2%) | 23mo | $200,000 | $192 | 49 |
| 19 Deer Cross Road Rd | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,160 (+13%) | 21mo | $239,000 | $206 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.07×
- Total profit
- $83,884
- Equity at exit
- $130,537
- IRR
- 22.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.99×
- Total profit
- $243,223
- Equity at exit
- $281,509
Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18661
- Home prices YoY
- 15.0%
- Active inventory
- 70
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,400 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$126 /mo · $1,516/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$82
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$294
- Net cashflow
- $77
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,225
- Closing costs
- $4,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Lee Rd White Haven, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.51mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $82 · $984/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpool
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-17days on market $144,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $144,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $144,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $144,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $144,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $144,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $144,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $144,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $144,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $144,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $144,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $144,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $144,900 595-char remark
Show marketing remark (595 chars)
This well-maintained 1,024 sqft contemporary features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath on a level 0.26-acre lot. The interior boasts a brick fireplace and a unique split-level staircase. Enjoy peace of mind with a new water tank and an energy-efficient water heater. The exterior includes a spacious deck and a wooded yard, perfect for outdoor activities. Residents benefit from community amenities like a lake, pool, and clubhouse, with easy access to I-80. This property offers a solid foundation for those looking to add personal touches and modern updates to a functional space. TAX ID 23-Q11S6-009-003
-
2026-04-28price $155,000 595-char remark
Show marketing remark (595 chars)
This well-maintained 1,024 sqft contemporary features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath on a level 0.26-acre lot. The interior boasts a brick fireplace and a unique split-level staircase. Enjoy peace of mind with a new water tank and an energy-efficient water heater. The exterior includes a spacious deck and a wooded yard, perfect for outdoor activities. Residents benefit from community amenities like a lake, pool, and clubhouse, with easy access to I-80. This property offers a solid foundation for those looking to add personal touches and modern updates to a functional space. TAX ID 23-Q11S6-009-003
-
2026-04-04$165,000 Active 595-char remark
Show marketing remark (595 chars)
This well-maintained 1,024 sqft contemporary features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath on a level 0.26-acre lot. The interior boasts a brick fireplace and a unique split-level staircase. Enjoy peace of mind with a new water tank and an energy-efficient water heater. The exterior includes a spacious deck and a wooded yard, perfect for outdoor activities. Residents benefit from community amenities like a lake, pool, and clubhouse, with easy access to I-80. This property offers a solid foundation for those looking to add personal touches and modern updates to a functional space. TAX ID 23-Q11S6-009-003
-
2019-01-25soldstatus $74,900
-
2019-01-17soldstatus $74,900
-
2018-06-18$74,900
-
2011-04-20$88,500
-
2010-01-19$99,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,516 · $126/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,903 · $159/mo
- Expected delta
- +$387/yr (+$32/mo · 25.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,117
- − Property taxes
- −$1,516
- − Insurance
- −$724
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,344
- − Management
- −$1,344
- − HOA
- −$984
- − Depreciation
- −$4,215
- Taxable loss
- −$1,445
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$347
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,276/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hazleton Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4211700
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,247
- Composite
- 20.44/100
- National rank
- #8582
- State rank
- #476 of 539 in PA
Livability — Foster
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hickory Hills, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,541
Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,505 people
- By 2030
- 319,943 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 322,643 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 330,817 · +3.5%
- By 2075
- 379,145 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 431,908 · +35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 16% Lithuanian 2% Polish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 38.68%
- Current HPI
- 296.5596
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+45.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $144,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $155,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-04 Listed $165,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-01-25 Sold (Public Records) $74,900 Public Records
- 2019-01-17 Sold (MLS) $74,900 LCAR
- 2018-06-18 Listed $74,900 LCAR
- 2011-04-20 Listed $88,500 PMAR
- 2010-01-19 Listed $99,900 PMAR
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2026): $1,516 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…