1255 Chippewa Oak Dr NE · Dacula, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 17.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.8/15.0
- Cash flow +10.9/30.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$399,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
SPECIAL FINANCING - LOW FIXED INTEREST RATE OPPORTUNITIES WITH FULL PRICE OFFER, THROUGH PREFERRED LENDER! This refreshed 4-bedroom, 3-bath home features full interior paint, stylish new light fixtures, and updated bathrooms for a modern touch. The kitchen boasts freshly painted cabinets, creating a clean and inviting space. A spacious layout makes this home move-in ready!
Key facts
- Updated bathrooms
- New light fixtures
- Full interior paint
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $400k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-174 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $369k (7.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $284k (28.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $284k (28.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.0% in Dacula — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#211 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Gwinnett County (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #32 of 174 in GA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Mulberry Elementary School (math 55% / reading 55%, grade C, #178 of 1,228 statewide, top 15%, 710 students, 42% FRL); Dacula Middle School (math 31% / reading 44%, grade F, #162 of 470 statewide, top 35%, 1,839 students, 58% FRL); Dacula High School (math 12% / reading 15%, grade F, #325 of 424 statewide, top 78%, 2,498 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 657 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 5,607 units permitted in Gwinnett County in 2024 (1,277 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gwinnett County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($376k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.71% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.87%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 11.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $453,081
- List price
- $399,900
- Delta
- -11.74%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 956 Chippewa Oak Dr | 0.26mi | 4/2.5 | 2,352 (+4%) | 4mo | $400,000 | $170 | 77 |
| 919 Hilltop Park | 0.45mi | 4/4.0 | 2,260 (-1%) | 1mo | $648,000 | $287 | 73 |
| 969 Hilltop Park Ct | 0.49mi | 4/3.5 | 2,260 (-1%) | 2mo | $570,000 | $252 | 72 |
| 3204 Woodwind Ln | 0.31mi | 4/2.5 | 2,152 (-5%) | 3mo | $380,000 | $177 | 72 |
| 1117 Forest Heights Ter | 0.47mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,310 (+2%) | 1mo | $487,000 | $211 | 70 |
| 1065 Chippewa Oak Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,442 (+7%) | 10mo | $450,000 | $184 | 64 |
| 3421 Lynley Mill Ln | 0.41mi | 4/3.5 | 2,465 (+8%) | 8mo | $310,000 | $126 | 59 |
| 2820 Wadley Ln | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 | 2,368 (+4%) | 1mo | $359,900 | $152 | 58 |
| 722 Melrose Trce | 0.71mi | 4/3.0 | 2,328 (+2%) | 7mo | $375,000 | $161 | 57 |
| 1015 Chippewa Oak Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,000 (-12%) | 14mo | $489,000 | $245 | 52 |
| 3426 Olivia Grace Way | 0.57mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,541 (+12%) | 10mo | $457,500 | $180 | 41 |
| 2811 Hillgrove Dr | 0.75mi | 4/2.5 | 2,059 (-9%) | 10mo | $430,000 | $209 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-73,014
- Equity at exit
- $59,626
- IRR
- -9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-65,723
- Equity at exit
- $34,576
Cash invested: $111,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30019
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 657
- Price-to-rent
- 11.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,842 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,097
- Tax from tax record
- −$128 /mo · $1,532/yr
- Insurance
- −$167
- HOA
- −$28
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$597
- Net cashflow
- $-174
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $52 | -5% $-61 | +0% $-174 | +5% $-288 | +10% $-401 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-399 | -5% $-287 | +0% $-174 | +5% $-62 | +10% $50 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $27 | -0.5pp $-73 | base $-174 | +0.5pp $-278 | +1.0pp $-383 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $99,975
- Closing costs
- $11,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3421 Lynley Mill Ln Dacula, GA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2465 | $2,425 | $0.98 | 45d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 3459 In Bloom Way Auburn, GA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3196 | $3,000 | $0.94 | 20d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 3245 Ambergrove Trce Dacula, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2320 | $2,900 | $1.25 | 26d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 3373 Fence Rd NE Dacula, GA | 3.0–4.0 | 2.5 | 2580 | $3,235 | $1.25 | 3d | 16 | 0.74mi |
| 3336 Bridle Brook Dr Auburn, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1865 | $2,175 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1435 Lake Heights Cir Dacula, GA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2514 | $2,600 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3105 Evergreen Eve Xing Dacula, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1848 | $2,215 | $1.20 | 46d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1480 Ridgemill Ter Dacula, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2065 | $2,595 | $1.26 | 0d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1172 Eastmill Cv Dacula, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2312 | $2,315 | $1.00 | 0d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1557 Grove Arbor Ter Dacula, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2500 | $2,286 | $0.91 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3164 Brooksong Way Dacula, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2315 | $2,389 | $1.03 | 23d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1281 Carson View Ct Dacula, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1956 | $2,295 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3940 Fence Rd Auburn, GA | 4.0 | 2.5–3.0 | 2467 | $2,870 | $1.16 | 0d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3319 Mulberry Cove Way Auburn, GA | 5.0 | 4.0 | 3138 | $2,600 | $0.83 | 26d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 3577 Sandy Bank Dr Auburn, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2620 | $2,250 | $0.86 | 7d | 1 | 1.40mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $28 · $336/yr
Listing history 42 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $399,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-18status $399,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-15status $399,900 Pending 73 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $399,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $399,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $399,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $399,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $399,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $399,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $399,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $399,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $419,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $419,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $419,900 375-char remark
Show marketing remark (375 chars)
SPECIAL FINANCING - LOW FIXED INTEREST RATE OPPORTUNITIES WITH FULL PRICE OFFER, THROUGH PREFERRED LENDER! This refreshed 4-bedroom, 3-bath home features full interior paint, stylish new light fixtures, and updated bathrooms for a modern touch. The kitchen boasts freshly painted cabinets, creating a clean and inviting space. A spacious layout makes this home move-in ready!
-
2026-05-07price $419,900 375-char remark
Show marketing remark (375 chars)
SPECIAL FINANCING - LOW FIXED INTEREST RATE OPPORTUNITIES WITH FULL PRICE OFFER, THROUGH PREFERRED LENDER! This refreshed 4-bedroom, 3-bath home features full interior paint, stylish new light fixtures, and updated bathrooms for a modern touch. The kitchen boasts freshly painted cabinets, creating a clean and inviting space. A spacious layout makes this home move-in ready!
-
2026-04-17price $429,900 375-char remark
Show marketing remark (375 chars)
SPECIAL FINANCING - LOW FIXED INTEREST RATE OPPORTUNITIES WITH FULL PRICE OFFER, THROUGH PREFERRED LENDER! This refreshed 4-bedroom, 3-bath home features full interior paint, stylish new light fixtures, and updated bathrooms for a modern touch. The kitchen boasts freshly painted cabinets, creating a clean and inviting space. A spacious layout makes this home move-in ready!
-
2026-04-17price $429,900 375-char remark
Show marketing remark (375 chars)
SPECIAL FINANCING - LOW FIXED INTEREST RATE OPPORTUNITIES WITH FULL PRICE OFFER, THROUGH PREFERRED LENDER! This refreshed 4-bedroom, 3-bath home features full interior paint, stylish new light fixtures, and updated bathrooms for a modern touch. The kitchen boasts freshly painted cabinets, creating a clean and inviting space. A spacious layout makes this home move-in ready!
-
2026-04-03$439,900 New 375-char remark
Show marketing remark (375 chars)
SPECIAL FINANCING - LOW FIXED INTEREST RATE OPPORTUNITIES WITH FULL PRICE OFFER, THROUGH PREFERRED LENDER! This refreshed 4-bedroom, 3-bath home features full interior paint, stylish new light fixtures, and updated bathrooms for a modern touch. The kitchen boasts freshly painted cabinets, creating a clean and inviting space. A spacious layout makes this home move-in ready!
-
2026-04-03$439,900 Active 375-char remark
Show marketing remark (375 chars)
SPECIAL FINANCING - LOW FIXED INTEREST RATE OPPORTUNITIES WITH FULL PRICE OFFER, THROUGH PREFERRED LENDER! This refreshed 4-bedroom, 3-bath home features full interior paint, stylish new light fixtures, and updated bathrooms for a modern touch. The kitchen boasts freshly painted cabinets, creating a clean and inviting space. A spacious layout makes this home move-in ready!
-
2026-03-31historical
-
2026-03-03price $439,900
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2026-01-14price $454,900
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2025-11-17price $459,900
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2025-09-25price $465,900
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2025-08-14price $469,900
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2025-07-29$489,900 New
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2025-07-01soldstatus $400,000
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2016-02-19price $238,500
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2016-02-01soldstatus $238,500
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2016-01-27price $238,500
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2016-01-26soldstatus $238,500 Sold
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2016-01-26soldstatus $238,500 Sold
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2016-01-26price $248,000
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2015-12-08status Under Contract
-
2015-12-08historical Contingent - Due Diligence
-
2015-12-06price $248,000
-
2015-10-22price $248,000
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2015-10-22price $248,000
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2015-09-14$258,000 Active
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2015-09-14$258,000 New
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2008-12-09soldstatus $199,900
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2008-10-13$199,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,532 · $128/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,679 · $307/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,147/yr (+$179/mo · 140.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,102
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,401
- − Property taxes
- −$1,532
- − Insurance
- −$2,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,728
- − Management
- −$2,728
- − HOA
- −$336
- − Depreciation
- −$11,633
- Taxable loss
- −$9,256
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,221
- After-tax cash flow
- $129/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gwinnett County
- NCES district ID
- 1302550
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,416
- Composite
- 36.5/100
- National rank
- #4648
- State rank
- #32 of 174 in GA
Livability — Dacula
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #211
- US rank
- #12728
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Gwinnett County · 952,346 people
- City population
- 51,162
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,162
- Household income
- $116,583
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 630.0
Population outlook (Gwinnett County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,106,028 people
- By 2030
- 1,211,414 · +9.5%
- By 2040
- 1,422,277 · +28.6%
- By 2050
- 1,623,204 · +46.8%
- By 2075
- 2,105,240 · +90.3%
- By 2100
- 2,443,321 · +120.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 10% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Gwinnett
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.5) · D 57.6% · R 41.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +26.8pp toward D · 2008: -10.2pp · 2024: 16.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.5 2020: D+18.3 2016: D+5.8 2012: R+9.4 2008: R+10.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -155.48%
- Current HPI
- 212.925
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.06%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+110.1% since first listed29 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $419,900 FMLS
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $419,900 GAMLS
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $429,900 GAMLS
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $429,900 FMLS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $439,900 FMLS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $439,900 GAMLS
- 2026-03-31 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $439,900 GAMLS
- 2026-01-14 Price Changed $454,900 GAMLS
- 2025-11-17 Price Changed $459,900 GAMLS
- 2025-09-25 Price Changed $465,900 GAMLS
- 2025-08-14 Price Changed $469,900 GAMLS
- 2025-07-29 Listed $489,900 GAMLS
- 2025-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $400,000 Public Records
- 2016-02-19 Price Changed $238,500 GAMLS
- 2016-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $238,500 Public Records
- 2016-01-27 Price Changed $238,500 FMLS
- 2016-01-26 Sold (MLS) $238,500 GAMLS
- 2016-01-26 Price Changed $248,000 FMLS
- 2016-01-26 Sold (MLS) $238,500 FMLS
- 2015-12-08 Pending — GAMLS
- 2015-12-08 Contingent — FMLS
- 2015-12-06 Price Changed $248,000 GAMLS
- 2015-10-22 Price Changed $248,000 GAMLS
- 2015-10-22 Price Changed $248,000 FMLS
- 2015-09-14 Listed $258,000 FMLS
- 2015-09-14 Listed $258,000 GAMLS
- 2008-12-09 Sold (MLS) $199,900 FMLS
- 2008-10-13 Listed $199,900 FMLS
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,532 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…