36 Norwood Cir · Birmingham, AL 35234

$80,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,076 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 180 Days on market

Built 1931 8,276 sqft lot Est $120k · 34% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +0.9/10.0
• Appreciation +0.1/10.0

Listing remarks

Great investment property in the Norwood area.

Key facts

• 8,276 sq ft lot
• Built 1931
• Listed 180 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $749 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
• Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 17.5% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, employment F.
• Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Norwood Elementary School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #568 of 627 statewide, top 94%, 249 students, 71% FRL); Parker High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 826 students, 90% FRL) — zoned schools at 80% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 180 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $47k; list at $80k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $70,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 180 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.97% ✓
• Cap rate: 17.53%
• Cash-on-cash: 40.12%
• DSCR: 2.78
• GRM: 4.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $120,408
• Comps found: 4

Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1221 33rd St N	0.24mi	3/2.0	2,242 (+8%)	0mo	$60,000	$27	75
1345 31st St N	0.35mi	3/1.0	2,242 (+8%)	5mo	$130,000	$58	62
1615 31st St N	0.47mi	3/2.0	1,800 (-13%)	17mo	$240,000	$133	42
1601 31st St N	0.43mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,776 (-14%)	12mo	$95,000	$53	41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 36.5%
• Equity multiple: 2.55×
• Total profit: $34,718
• Equity at exit: $11,928

10-year hold

• IRR: 43.1%
• Equity multiple: 5.09×
• Total profit: $91,594
• Equity at exit: $6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 35234

• Home prices YoY: -3.8%
• Active inventory: 54
• Price-to-rent: 4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,573 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$420
• Tax from tax record: −$41 /mo · $496/yr
• Insurance: −$33
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$330
• Net cashflow: $749

Break-even live

Break-even rent $626

Max offer price $80,000

Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $20,000
• Closing costs: $2,400
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 9 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3601 Norwood Blvd Birmingham, AL	3.0	2.0	1558	$1,323	$0.85	3d	1	0.15mi
1720 34th Pl N Birmingham, AL	3.0	3.0	1861	$2,200	$1.18	2d	1	0.18mi
1319 31st St N Birmingham, AL	3.0	2.0	2074	$1,345	$0.65	21d	1	0.35mi
2807 34th St N Birmingham, AL	4.0	2.0	1556	$1,100	$0.71	44d	1	0.79mi
2223 28th St N Birmingham, AL	4.0	2.0	1836	$1,300	$0.71	44d	1	0.90mi
2108 25th St N Birmingham, AL	4.0	2.0	1446	$1,300	$0.90	44d	1	1.07mi
813 42nd Pl N Birmingham, AL	3.0	2.0	1424	$1,285	$0.90	44d	1	1.26mi
600 24th St N Birmingham, AL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1098	$1,499	$1.36	2d	13	1.32mi
1900 15th Ct N Birmingham, AL	4.0	2.0	1748	$1,425	$0.82	44d	1	1.45mi

Listing history 4 events

1. 2023-03-01
   status Pending
2. 2022-09-02
   listed $80,000 Active
3. 1985-10-01
   soldstatus $46,550
4. 1972-04-01
   soldstatus $18,750

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $496 · $41/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $496 · $41/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,881
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,481
• − Property taxes: −$496
• − Insurance: −$400
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,511
• − Management: −$1,511
• − Depreciation: −$2,327
• Taxable income: $8,156
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,957
• After-tax cash flow: $7,029/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Birmingham City
• NCES district ID: 0100390
• Math proficiency: 4% ▼ -17.00%
• Reading proficiency: 20% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $31,988
• Composite: 9.49/100
• National rank: #9850
• State rank: #116 of 129 in AL

Livability — Birmingham

• Score: 67/100
• State rank: #78
• US rank: #10412

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Birmingham, AL
• City population: 210,422
• Population (ZIP): 3,828

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 669,185 people
• By 2030: 669,694 · +0.1%
• By 2040: 661,388 · -1.2%
• By 2050: 643,086 · -3.9%
• By 2075: 577,267 · -13.7%
• By 2100: 474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (80%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 80% White 15% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 1%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

• 2024 margin: D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -9.89%
• Current HPI: 250.4724
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B

Price history

+326.7% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2023-03-01 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
• 2022-09-02 Listed $80,000 Greater Alabama MLS
• 1985-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $46,550 Public Records
• 1972-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $18,750 Public Records

Property tax history

-6.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $496 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.