144 Greenwood Dr · Manchester, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
CASH BUYERS/SERIOUS INQUIRIES ONLY. This home is a diamond in the rough and is in need of a full renovation job. The potential is there! Location, private yard, size. .. .. all you need is a VISION! This is an AS IS WHERE IS Sale. Buyer to do their own due diligence on utilities, etc. HIGHEST AND BEST IS FOR TUESDAY 6/2 AT NOON WITH SELLER RESERVING THE RIGHT TO ACCEPT AN OFFER AT ANY TIME.
Key facts
- 0.27 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1951
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family home
- Construction: Frame construction; White exterior; Concrete foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Wood siding
- Exterior features: Breezeway; Corner lot; Level lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating (oil-fired); Fuel tank located in the basement; Domestic hot water
- Interior features: Seven total rooms; Full, unfinished basement; Attic with crawl space; One fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the lower level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $734 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 3.8% in Manchester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#59 in CT, #3,580 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
- Manchester School District (suburban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #130 of 153 in CT (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Buckley School (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #318 of 553 statewide, top 60%, 288 students, 42% FRL); Manchester High School (math 26% / reading 47%, grade F, #118 of 194 statewide, top 61%, 1,673 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools at 47% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 57 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.1% of price; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.89% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.16%
- DSCR
- 2.12
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $289,152
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74 Overlook Dr | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (0%) | 3mo | $312,000 | $271 | 84 |
| 25 Greenwood Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,140 (-1%) | 3mo | $300,000 | $263 | 82 |
| 26 Agnes Dr | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (0%) | 8mo | $260,000 | $226 | 75 |
| 28 Elizabeth Dr | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,150 (-0%) | 6mo | $260,000 | $226 | 72 |
| 9 Cook St | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,164 (+1%) | 4mo | $265,000 | $228 | 67 |
| 29 Constance Dr | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (+8%) | 2mo | $351,000 | $281 | 66 |
| 54 Coleman Rd | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (0%) | 8mo | $298,000 | $259 | 63 |
| 16 Coleman Rd | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,192 (+4%) | 4mo | $250,000 | $210 | 54 |
| 29 Bretton Rd | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,192 (+4%) | 6mo | $270,675 | $227 | 53 |
| 134 Helaine Rd | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,269 (+10%) | 8mo | $318,000 | $251 | 53 |
| 12 Garth Rd | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (+8%) | 2mo | $315,000 | $252 | 49 |
| 70 Weaver Rd | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,279 (+11%) | 6mo | $318,000 | $249 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.8% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.89×
- Total profit
- $31,032
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 30.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.04×
- Total profit
- $106,559
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06042
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 57
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,363 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$426 /mo · $5,109/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$496
- Net cashflow
- $734
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $804 | -5% $769 | +0% $734 | +5% $698 | +10% $663 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $547 | -5% $640 | +0% $734 | +5% $827 | +10% $920 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $797 | -0.5pp $765 | base $734 | +0.5pp $701 | +1.0pp $668 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91 Green Manor Rd Manchester, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1206 | $2,700 | $2.24 | 3d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 489 Middle Tpke E Unit 2-E Manchester, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1380 | $2,100 | $1.52 | 11d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| Woodbridge St Unit 425 Manchester, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,900 | $2.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 333 E Center St Manchester, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 705 | $1,650 | $2.34 | 21d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $125,000 Under Contract 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 393-char remark
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,109 · $426/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,109 · $426/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,360
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$5,109
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,269
- − Management
- −$2,269
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $7,450
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,788
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,016/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manchester School District
- NCES district ID
- 0902310
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,391
- Composite
- 24.54/100
- National rank
- #7643
- State rank
- #130 of 153 in CT
Livability — Manchester
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #59
- US rank
- #3580
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Manchester, CT
- County
- Hartford County · 754,208 people
- City population
- 59,635
- Metro
- Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,822
- Household income
- $91,892
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 730.0
Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 1,063,519
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Asian 14% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Romanian 6% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 7% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Capitol
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -112.15%
- Current HPI
- 196.8782
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.80%
- Metro
- Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $125,000 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $5,109 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…