154 Mchenry Rd · Farmerville, LA 71241

$175,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,809 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market

Built 1983 1.97 ac lot Est $219k · 20% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +28.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +6.8/10.0
• Livability +2.9/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.3/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

WOW at the Shop! Country Living with Space, Shop & a Home on Approximately 2 Acres. If you’ve been dreaming of the perfect shop and peaceful country living, this property is a must-see! Sitting on approximately 2 beautiful acres, this property features an impressive 2,400 SF shop complete with electricity and heat & air — ready for hobbies, business, storage, or the ultimate workshop setup. The property also includes a 1,800 HSF home offering 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, and 2 living areas. The home could use some updating, but it is livable as-is, giving you the opportunity to move in now and update over time while enjoying the shop of your dreams from day one. Enjoy peacef

Key facts

• Electricity and heat
• 1 hsf home
• 2 acres

Tags

• 2 ACRES
• 2400 SF SHOP
• ELECTRICITY AND HEAT
• ULTIMATE WORKSHOP SETUP
• 1 HSF HOME
• 2 LIVING AREAS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $546 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
• Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 5.6% in Farmerville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 57/100 on livability (#321 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
• Union Parish (rural): math 12% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #74 of 98 in LA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 111 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Union Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Union County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Recommended offer $175,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.18% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.04%
• Cash-on-cash: 13.38%
• DSCR: 1.60
• GRM: 7.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $218,889
• Comps found: 2

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
154 Mchenry Rd	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,805 (-0%)	1mo	$170,000	$94	99
116 Dakota Dr	0.20mi	3/2.0	1,950 (+8%)	22mo	$236,000	$121	59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 3.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.13×
• Total profit: $6,394
• Equity at exit: $26,093

10-year hold

• IRR: 12.9%
• Equity multiple: 2.02×
• Total profit: $50,190
• Equity at exit: $15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Louisiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 71241

• Home prices YoY: -21.0%
• Active inventory: 111
• Price-to-rent: 7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,064 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$918
• Tax from tax record: −$94 /mo · $1,123/yr
• Insurance: −$73
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$433
• Net cashflow: $546

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,372

Max offer price $175,000

Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $645	-5% $596	+0% $546	+5% $497	+10% $447
Rent	-10% $383	-5% $465	+0% $546	+5% $628	+10% $709
Rate	-1.0pp $634	-0.5pp $591	base $546	+0.5pp $501	+1.0pp $455

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $43,750
• Closing costs: $5,250
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-04-17
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-02
   listed $175,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,123 · $94/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,123 · $94/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,768
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,803
• − Property taxes: −$1,123
• − Insurance: −$875
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,981
• − Management: −$1,981
• − Depreciation: −$5,091
• Taxable income: $3,914
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$939
• After-tax cash flow: $5,617/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Union Parish
• NCES district ID: 2201770
• Math proficiency: 12% ▼ -37.00%
• Reading proficiency: 20% ▼ -34.00%
• Median HH income: $37,279
• Composite: 13.35/100
• National rank: #9537
• State rank: #74 of 98 in LA

Livability — Farmerville

• Score: 57/100
• State rank: #321
• US rank: #21826

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 7,773

Population outlook (Union County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 21,722 people
• By 2030: 21,226 · -2.3%
• By 2040: 20,026 · -7.8%
• By 2050: 18,682 · -14.0%
• By 2075: 15,725 · -27.6%
• By 2100: 12,509 · -42.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (66%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 66% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Union

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+57.0) · D 21.1% · R 78.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -15.4pp toward R · 2008: -41.5pp · 2024: -57.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+57.0 2020: R+51.4 2016: R+48.5 2012: R+41.7 2008: R+41.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -44.85%
• Current HPI: 169.0449
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.29%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Telecommunications	2	$23B
▸Utilities	1	$12B
▸Wholesale / Distribution	1	$5B
▸Advertising	1	$2B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-17 Pending — NELABOR
• 2026-04-02 Listed $175,000 NELABOR

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,123 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.