806 Louis Lynch Dr · Corpus Christi, TX 78408

$79,900

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,612 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 300 Days on market

Built 1999 7,536 sqft lot $31/sqft · 67% below area ↓ 33% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +9.2/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• Schools +2.8/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious 2 story home needing a little TLC to bring it back to life.

Key facts

• 7,536 sq ft lot
• Parking
• Built 1999

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $561 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
• Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 3.6% in Corpus Christi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in TX, #2,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
• Corpus Christi ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #562 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $7k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (8.5% local appreciation)).
• Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (8.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 300 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $70,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 300 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.01% ✓
• Cap rate: 14.72%
• Cash-on-cash: 30.11%
• DSCR: 2.34
• GRM: 4.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $169,610
• List price: $79,900
• Delta: -52.89%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

8.49% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 44.9%
• Equity multiple: 4.19×
• Total profit: $71,297
• Equity at exit: $63,373

10-year hold

• IRR: 40.0%
• Equity multiple: 9.08×
• Total profit: $180,717
• Equity at exit: $128,431

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 78408

• Home prices YoY: 6.8%
• Active inventory: 36
• Price-to-rent: 4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,606 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$419
• Tax from tax record: −$255 /mo · $3,061/yr
• Insurance: −$33
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$337
• Net cashflow: $561

Break-even live

Break-even rent $895

Max offer price $79,900

Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $607	-5% $584	+0% $561	+5% $539	+10% $516
Rent	-10% $434	-5% $498	+0% $561	+5% $625	+10% $688
Rate	-1.0pp $602	-0.5pp $582	base $561	+0.5pp $541	+1.0pp $520

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $19,975
• Closing costs: $2,397
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 24 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $79,900 Active 300 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $79,900 Active 299 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $79,900 Active 298 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $79,900 Active 297 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $79,900 Active 295 DOM
6. 2026-06-10
   days on market $79,900 Active 292 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $79,900 Active 291 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $79,900 Active 290 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $79,900 Active 289 DOM
10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $79,900 Active 286 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,900 Active 285 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,900 Active 284 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,900 Active 283 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Active 282 DOM
15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $79,900 Active 281 DOM
16. 2026-04-24
    price $79,900 68-char remark

    Show marketing remark (68 chars)

    Spacious 2 story home needing a little TLC to bring it back to life.

17. 2026-01-29
    price $89,900 68-char remark

    Show marketing remark (68 chars)

    Spacious 2 story home needing a little TLC to bring it back to life.

18. 2025-12-02
    price $96,500 68-char remark

    Show marketing remark (68 chars)

    Spacious 2 story home needing a little TLC to bring it back to life.

19. 2025-11-04
    price $99,000 68-char remark

    Show marketing remark (68 chars)

    Spacious 2 story home needing a little TLC to bring it back to life.

20. 2025-10-16
    price $109,900 68-char remark

    Show marketing remark (68 chars)

    Spacious 2 story home needing a little TLC to bring it back to life.

21. 2025-09-11
    price $114,900 68-char remark

    Show marketing remark (68 chars)

    Spacious 2 story home needing a little TLC to bring it back to life.

22. 2025-08-22
    listed $119,000 Active 68-char remark

    Show marketing remark (68 chars)

    Spacious 2 story home needing a little TLC to bring it back to life.

23. 2025-08-21
    soldstatus
24. 1997-10-23
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $3,061 · $255/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,061 · $255/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,272
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,476
• − Property taxes: −$3,061
• − Insurance: −$400
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,542
• − Management: −$1,542
• − Depreciation: −$2,324
• Taxable income: $5,928
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,423
• After-tax cash flow: $5,313/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Corpus Christi ISD
• NCES district ID: 4815270
• Math proficiency: 31% ▼ -18.00%
• Reading proficiency: 35% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $45,672
• Composite: 28.27/100
• National rank: #6793
• State rank: #562 of 826 in TX

Livability — Corpus Christi

• Score: 78/100
• State rank: #66
• US rank: #2404

Category grades

Amenities C Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Corpus Christi, TX
• City population: 296,836
• Population (ZIP): 9,631

Population outlook (Nueces County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 418,037 people
• By 2030: 447,123 · +7.0%
• By 2040: 505,911 · +21.0%
• By 2050: 567,522 · +35.8%
• By 2075: 729,686 · +74.6%
• By 2100: 847,087 · +102.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (84%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 84% Two or more races 39% White 8% Black 7%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 78%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 46% English-only · Spanish 53% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Nueces

• 2024 margin: R (+11.5) · D 43.8% · R 55.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.4pp · 2024: -11.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+11.5 2020: R+2.9 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+4.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 8.49%
• Current HPI: 132.544
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-32.9% since first listed

9 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-24 Price Changed $79,900 CBMLS
• 2026-01-29 Price Changed $89,900 CBMLS
• 2025-12-02 Price Changed $96,500 CBMLS
• 2025-11-04 Price Changed $99,000 CBMLS
• 2025-10-16 Price Changed $109,900 CBMLS
• 2025-09-11 Price Changed $114,900 CBMLS
• 2025-08-22 Listed $119,000 CBMLS
• 2025-08-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1997-10-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,061 · +12.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.