31 Grove St · Moravia, NY
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.95%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious 4 bedroom/2 bath village home with welcoming front porch perfect for enjoying a glass of wine after a long day! Walk to stores, schools, ,ball fields, library and even Fillmore Glen State Parkl Dining room and living room boast gleaming hardwood floors!! Large laundry room could be turned back into bedroom. Spacious storage room off kitchen! Many renovations include updated bathrooms, New Natural Gas furnace and hot water heater!! Large backyard with 1 car garage freshly seeded. Call today!!
Key facts
- First floor laundry
- Detached garage
- 9,801 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Security: Radon mitigation system
- Utilities: High-speed internet available; Public water connected; Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electric
- Home design: 2-story home; Vinyl siding; Stone foundation; Asphalt roof; Existing (previously built)
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Stone foundation; Asphalt roof; Built previously (existing)
- Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Gravel driveway; Covered porch; Porch; Shed(s) / storage; Hot tub
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas cooktop; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
- Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Hot tub/spa; Pull-down attic stairs; Partial basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $555 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.4% vs local median 5.7% in Moravia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#357 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Moravia Central School District (rural): math 42% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #391 of 590 in NY (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 161 units permitted in Cayuga County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Cayuga County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price; flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1850 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1850 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.58%
- DSCR
- 2.76
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $189,720
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -42.02%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 Central St | 0.09mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,546 (-1%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $97 | 86 |
| 22 Aurora St | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,404 (-10%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $103 | 73 |
| 16 School St | 0.21mi | 3/1.5 | 1,716 (+10%) | 10mo | $95,000 | $55 | 66 |
| 44 Church St | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 | 1,566 (+0%) | 21mo | $217,300 | $139 | 62 |
| 32 Grove St | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,766 (+13%) | 16mo | $198,650 | $112 | 61 |
| 11 Park St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,638 (+5%) | 17mo | $68,203 | $42 | 56 |
| 4 Congress St | 0.25mi | 3/1.5 | 1,764 (+13%) | 19mo | $130,000 | $74 | 51 |
| 224 N Main St | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,530 (-2%) | 23mo | $158,500 | $104 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 40.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.11×
- Total profit
- $95,715
- Equity at exit
- $99,097
- IRR
- 35.1%
- Equity multiple
- 9.28×
- Total profit
- $254,902
- Equity at exit
- $213,706
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13118
- Home prices YoY
- 29.3%
- Active inventory
- 28
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,475 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$317 /mo · $3,804/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$520
- Net cashflow
- $555
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $110,000 Pending 47 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $110,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-03price $110,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $119,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $119,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $119,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $119,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-05-07historical Active Under Contract 872-char remark
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2026-04-24$119,000 Active 872-char remark
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2017-01-23soldstatus $105,300
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2016-10-13soldstatus $99,000 Closed Sale or Rented 506-char remark
Show marketing remark (539 chars)
Spacious 4 bedroom/2 bath village home with welcoming front porch, perfect for enjoying a glass of wine or lemonade after a long day! Walk to stores, schools, ball fields, library & even Fillmore Glen State Park!Dining room & living room boast gleaming hardwood floors!Huge laundry room could easily convert to a downstairs bedroom! Spacious storage room off kitchen. Many renovations including updated bathrooms, New Natural Gas Furnace & hot water heater! Large backyard freshly seeded. 1 car garage! * * Call today!!
-
2016-10-13soldstatus $99,000
Show marketing remark (539 chars)
Spacious 4 bedroom/2 bath village home with welcoming front porch, perfect for enjoying a glass of wine or lemonade after a long day! Walk to stores, schools, ball fields, library & even Fillmore Glen State Park!Dining room & living room boast gleaming hardwood floors!Huge laundry room could easily convert to a downstairs bedroom! Spacious storage room off kitchen. Many renovations including updated bathrooms, New Natural Gas Furnace & hot water heater! Large backyard freshly seeded. 1 car garage! * * Call today!!
-
2016-09-05status Pending Sale 506-char remark
Show marketing remark (506 chars)
Spacious 4 bedroom/2 bath village home with welcoming front porch perfect for enjoying a glass of wine after a long day! Walk to stores, schools, ,ball fields, library and even Fillmore Glen State Parkl Dining room and living room boast gleaming hardwood floors!! Large laundry room could be turned back into bedroom. Spacious storage room off kitchen! Many renovations include updated bathrooms, New Natural Gas furnace and hot water heater!! Large backyard with 1 car garage freshly seeded. Call today!!
-
2016-07-28historical Continue to Show- Under Contract 506-char remark
Show marketing remark (506 chars)
Spacious 4 bedroom/2 bath village home with welcoming front porch perfect for enjoying a glass of wine after a long day! Walk to stores, schools, ,ball fields, library and even Fillmore Glen State Parkl Dining room and living room boast gleaming hardwood floors!! Large laundry room could be turned back into bedroom. Spacious storage room off kitchen! Many renovations include updated bathrooms, New Natural Gas furnace and hot water heater!! Large backyard with 1 car garage freshly seeded. Call today!!
-
2016-07-14$99,000 Active 506-char remark
Show marketing remark (506 chars)
Spacious 4 bedroom/2 bath village home with welcoming front porch perfect for enjoying a glass of wine after a long day! Walk to stores, schools, ,ball fields, library and even Fillmore Glen State Parkl Dining room and living room boast gleaming hardwood floors!! Large laundry room could be turned back into bedroom. Spacious storage room off kitchen! Many renovations include updated bathrooms, New Natural Gas furnace and hot water heater!! Large backyard with 1 car garage freshly seeded. Call today!!
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2016-07-11price $99,000
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2016-07-07price $114,900
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2016-06-14price $119,900
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2016-05-02$99,000
Show marketing remark (539 chars)
Spacious 4 bedroom/2 bath village home with welcoming front porch, perfect for enjoying a glass of wine or lemonade after a long day! Walk to stores, schools, ball fields, library & even Fillmore Glen State Park!Dining room & living room boast gleaming hardwood floors!Huge laundry room could easily convert to a downstairs bedroom! Spacious storage room off kitchen. Many renovations including updated bathrooms, New Natural Gas Furnace & hot water heater! Large backyard freshly seeded. 1 car garage! * * Call today!!
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2014-08-28soldstatus $91,000
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2014-08-27soldstatus $91,000
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2014-08-27soldstatus $91,000
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2014-05-29$99,700
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2014-05-29$99,700
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,804 · $317/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,804 · $317/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 95% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,704
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$3,804
- − Insurance
- −$6,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,376
- − Management
- −$2,376
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $5,711
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,371
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,295/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Moravia Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3619800
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,991
- Composite
- 42.47/100
- National rank
- #3215
- State rank
- #391 of 590 in NY
Livability — Moravia
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #357
- US rank
- #6025
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Moravia, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,514
Population outlook (Cayuga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 74,820 people
- By 2030
- 72,402 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 66,917 · -10.6%
- By 2050
- 61,007 · -18.5%
- By 2075
- 48,047 · -35.8%
- By 2100
- 34,512 · -53.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Black 6% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cayuga
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.0) · D 43.5% · R 56.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.5pp · 2024: -13.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.0 2020: R+9.2 2016: R+13.2 2012: D+10.8 2008: D+8.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 82.97%
- Current HPI
- 366.5746
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+10.3% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-06-02 Price Changed $110,000 CNYIS
- 2026-05-19 Relisted — CNYIS
- 2026-05-07 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $119,000 CNYIS
- 2017-01-23 Sold (Public Records) $105,300 Public Records
- 2016-10-13 Sold (MLS) $99,000 IBRMLS
- 2016-10-13 Sold (MLS) $99,000 CNYIS
- 2016-09-05 Pending — CNYIS
- 2016-07-28 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2016-07-14 Listed $99,000 CNYIS
- 2016-07-11 Price Changed $99,000 WNYREIS
- 2016-07-07 Price Changed $114,900 WNYREIS
- 2016-06-14 Price Changed $119,900 WNYREIS
- 2016-05-02 Listed $99,000 IBRMLS
- 2014-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $91,000 Public Records
- 2014-08-27 Sold (MLS) $91,000 IBRMLS
- 2014-08-27 Sold (MLS) $91,000 CNYIS
- 2014-05-29 Listed $99,700 IBRMLS
- 2014-05-29 Listed $99,700 CNYIS
Property tax history
+17.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,804 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…