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B Composite 70.38
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$54,500

None · Elyria, OH 44035
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,400 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1900 3,920 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Plenty of interior space including partially finished walk-up attic which could be 4th bedroom. No interior photos at this time because property has yet to be cleaned out. Lots of potential here!

Key facts

  • 3,920 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1900

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $54k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $490 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $54k).
  • Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 4.0% in Elyria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#243 in OH, #3,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, employment D, commute F.
  • Elyria City Schools (urban): math 21% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #586 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 360 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $377 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $10k; list at $54k implies a 451% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $54,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.13%
Cap rate
17.09%
Cash-on-cash
38.55%
DSCR
2.72
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$177,800
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
343 Furnace St 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,400 (0%) 1mo $45,000 $32 99
160 Erie St 0.26mi 3/1.5 1,413 (+1%) 4mo $56,000 $40 81
757 W River Rd N 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,448 (+3%) 10mo $186,000 $128 78
747 W River Rd N 0.09mi 3/1.0 1,556 (+11%) 2mo $82,000 $53 76
421 Adams St 0.58mi 3/1.5 1,352 (-3%) 9mo $86,000 $64 58
315 Ohio St 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,392 (-1%) 9mo $212,000 $152 58
259 Hamilton Ave 0.55mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,320 (-6%) 10mo $190,000 $144 49
827 Bond St 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,258 (-10%) 3mo $125,000 $99 48
659 Weller Rd 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,190 (-15%) 1mo $151,000 $127 47
269 Hamilton Ave 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,607 (+15%) 2mo $205,500 $128 47
614 Weller 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,196 (-15%) 4mo $170,000 $142 43
568 Turner St 0.71mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,578 (+13%) 4mo $180,000 $114 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.74% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.1%
Equity multiple
2.77×
Total profit
$26,970
Equity at exit
$8,126
10-year hold
IRR
47.5%
Equity multiple
6.50×
Total profit
$83,976
Equity at exit
$4,712

Cash invested: $15,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44035

Rents YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
360
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,161 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$286
Tax from tax record
$119 /mo · $1,423/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$244
Net cashflow
$490

Break-even live

Break-even rent $541
Max offer price $54,500
Occupancy floor 53%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $521 -5% $506 +0% $490 +5% $475 +10% $459
Rent -10% $398 -5% $444 +0% $490 +5% $536 +10% $582
Rate -1.0pp $518 -0.5pp $504 base $490 +0.5pp $476 +1.0pp $462

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,625
Closing costs
$1,635
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
518 Lake Ave Unit 100 Rush Elyria, OH 3.0 1.0 1248 $1,099 $0.88 5d 1 0.47mi
100 Rush St Elyria, OH 3.0 1.0 1248 $1,099 $0.88 8d 1 0.48mi
116 Water St Elyria, OH 2.0 1.0 888 $1,100 $1.24 24d 1 0.63mi
944 Walnut St Elyria, OH 2.0 1.0 1064 $1,200 $1.13 18d 1 0.94mi
1780 Lorain Blvd Elyria, OH 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 916 $1,100 $1.20 2d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-08
    listed $54,500 Active
  3. 1988-04-29
    soldstatus $9,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,423 · $119/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,423 · $119/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,933
− Mortgage interest
−$3,053
− Property taxes
−$1,423
− Insurance
−$272
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,115
− Management
−$1,115
− Depreciation
−$1,585
Taxable income
$5,370
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,289
After-tax cash flow
$4,593/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elyria City Schools
NCES district ID
3904394
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$40,992
Composite
24.45/100
National rank
#7670
State rank
#586 of 656 in OH

Livability — Elyria

Score
75/100
State rank
#243
US rank
#3869

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Elyria, OH
County
Lorain County · 219,437 people
City population
62,179
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
Population (ZIP)
62,179
Household income
$56,408
Rent vs Own
37.3% rent · 62.7% own
Severe rent burden
2229.0

Population outlook (Lorain County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
314,924 people
By 2030
317,546 · +0.8%
By 2040
317,962 · +1.0%
By 2050
312,872 · -0.7%
By 2075
301,806 · -4.2%
By 2100
278,271 · -11.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Two or more races 12% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · China, Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lorain

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.7% · R 52.4%
2008→2024 swing
-23.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.9pp · 2024: -5.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.7 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+17.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -139.09%
Current HPI
199.7354
Rent YoY
▲ 6.74%
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+450.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $54,500 MLSNOW
  • 1988-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $9,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,423 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…