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3006 Green Forest Dr
D Composite 40.11
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.1/30.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.3/15.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$165,000

3006 Green Forest Dr · Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA 30815
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,186 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1977 9,148 sqft lot $139/sqft · 9% above area Est $151k · 9% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

SOME NEW CARPET AND PAINT. REFRIGERATOR REMAINS. NICE CORNER LOT.

Key facts

  • Corner-lot home
  • New light fixtures
  • Modernized cabinetry

Tags

CORNER-LOT HOMEFRESH INTERIOR PAINTNEW LIGHT FIXTURESNEW BEDROOM CEILING FANSEXPANDED TO TWO FULL BATHROOMSMODERNIZED CABINETRY

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Street lights in the community

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete parking pad
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single family residence; One-story entry (entry level 1)
  • Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built in recent decades
  • Exterior features: Patio; Fenced yard; Paved road access; Cul-de-sac lot; Landscaped yard; Has a view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Cooktop; Disposal; Vented exhaust fan
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fan(s); Forced air heating; Electric heating; Natural gas heating; Fireplace(s)
  • Interior features: Built-in features; Eat-in kitchen; Vented exhaust fan; Disposal; Cooktop

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $146 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $154k (6.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $154k (6.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 5.3% in Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Richmond County (urban): math 12% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #154 of 174 in GA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Meadowbrook Elementary School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,041 of 1,228 statewide, top 87%, 497 students, 98% FRL); Hephzibah Middle School (math 12% / reading 21%, grade F, #388 of 470 statewide, top 83%, 517 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 72% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 359 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 561 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $80k; list at $165k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 62% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $154,094 (6.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
7.35%
Cash-on-cash
3.78%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$150,904
List price
$165,000
Delta
9.34%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3004 Green Forest Dr 0.01mi 3/1.5 1,112 (-6%) 0mo $112,000 $101 89
3018 Shady Ln 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,234 (+4%) 1mo $169,000 $137 86
3425 Knollcrest Rd 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,232 (+4%) 2mo $173,000 $140 80
2914 Butler Manor Dr 0.11mi 3/1.5 1,100 (-7%) 6mo $100,000 $91 78
2912 Butler Manor Dr 0.14mi 3/1.5 1,274 (+7%) 5mo $80,000 $63 77
3019 Mistletoe Ave 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,026 (-14%) 1mo $180,000 $175 68
3516 Windermere Dr 0.42mi 3/1.5 1,093 (-8%) 2mo $150,000 $137 66
3524 Edgeworth Dr 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,100 (-7%) 6mo $165,000 $150 59
2818 Cranbrook Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,227 (+4%) 6mo $175,000 $143 56
3503 Edgeworth Dr 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,350 (+14%) 5mo $179,900 $133 54
2812 Bennington Dr 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,048 (-12%) 2mo $160,000 $153 48
3042 Johnny Ct 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,344 (+13%) 3mo $165,000 $123 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.6%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-21,992
Equity at exit
$24,602
10-year hold
IRR
-10.1%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-24,731
Equity at exit
$14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30815

Home prices YoY
-24.2%
Rents YoY
-0.7%
Active inventory
359
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,541 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$138 /mo · $1,651/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$324
Net cashflow
$146

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,357
Max offer price $165,000
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2834 Brentway Dr Hephzibah, GA 3.0 2.0 1475 $1,600 $1.08 44d 1 0.36mi
2813 Leawood Ct Hephzibah, GA 3.0 2.0 1377 $1,250 $0.91 44d 1 0.41mi
3524 Edgeworth Dr Hephzibah, GA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,295 $1.08 23d 1 0.49mi
3543 Windermere Dr Hephzibah, GA 4.0 2.0 1394 $1,550 $1.11 44d 1 0.63mi
3543 Windermere Dr Hephzibah, GA 4.0 2.0 1394 $1,550 $1.11 23d 1 0.63mi
3613 Alene Cir Augusta, GA 3.0 2.0 1260 $1,325 $1.05 14d 1 0.68mi
2727 Barclay St Hephzibah, GA 4.0 2.0 1430 $1,234 $0.86 44d 1 0.71mi
3001 Alene Ct Augusta, GA 4.0 2.0 1288 $1,631 $1.27 23d 1 0.72mi
2704 Cranbrook Dr Hephzibah, GA 3.0 2.0 1377 $1,650 $1.20 44d 1 0.86mi
1010 Horizon Ridge Dr Hephzibah, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 936 $1,196 $1.28 14d 1 0.88mi
2817 Ridgecrest Dr Hephzibah, GA 4.0 2.0 1257 $1,495 $1.19 44d 1 0.89mi
2631 Drayton Dr Augusta, GA 3.0 2.0 1404 $1,430 $1.02 14d 1 0.92mi
2609 Dublin Dr Augusta, GA 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,395 $1.00 14d 1 1.05mi
2604 Edmonton Ct Hephzibah, GA 3.0 2.0 1343 $1,190 $0.89 14d 1 1.11mi
2941 Rollingwood Dr Augusta, GA 3.0 2.0 1297 $1,750 $1.35 23d 1 1.18mi
2803 Ptarmigan Rd Hephzibah, GA 3.0 2.0 1377 $1,600 $1.16 23d 1 1.18mi
2803 Ptarmigan Rd Hephzibah, GA 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,600 $1.14 44d 1 1.18mi
2808 Nighthawk Dr Augusta, GA 3.0 2.0 1314 $1,450 $1.10 44d 1 1.18mi
3532 Edmonton St Hephzibah, GA 3.0 2.0 1377 $1,425 $1.03 44d 1 1.19mi
3532 Edmonton St Hephzibah, GA 3.0 2.0 1377 $1,425 $1.03 23d 1 1.19mi
2524 Drayton Dr Augusta, GA 3.0 2.0 1404 $1,700 $1.21 44d 1 1.19mi
3200 Deans Bridge Rd Augusta, GA 1.0–4.0 1.0–1.5 1075 $970 $0.90 23d 6 1.28mi
2708 Blossom Dr Unit B Augusta, GA 2.0 1.5 896 $950 $1.06 44d 1 1.38mi
3504 Osage Ct Augusta, GA 4.0 1.5 1425 $1,556 $1.09 14d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $165,000 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $165,000 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $165,000 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $165,000 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $165,000 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $165,000 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $165,000 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,000 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $165,000 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $165,000 Active 23 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $165,000 Active 22 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,500 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,500 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $169,500 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-05-11
    historical
  16. 2026-04-01
    listed $169,500 Active
  17. 2026-04-01
    listed $169,500 Active 1149-char remark
  18. 2026-02-13
    price $47,900
    Show marketing remark (65 chars)

    SOME NEW CARPET AND PAINT. REFRIGERATOR REMAINS. NICE CORNER LOT.

  19. 2025-12-11
    soldstatus $80,025
  20. 2025-11-21
    soldstatus $80,025
  21. 2025-11-21
    soldstatus $80,025
  22. 2025-10-20
    listed $95,000
  23. 2025-10-20
    listed $95,000
  24. 2020-04-14
    soldstatus $45,000
    Show marketing remark (65 chars)

    SOME NEW CARPET AND PAINT. REFRIGERATOR REMAINS. NICE CORNER LOT.

  25. 2019-10-28
    listed $1,495,000
    Show marketing remark (65 chars)

    SOME NEW CARPET AND PAINT. REFRIGERATOR REMAINS. NICE CORNER LOT.

  26. 2003-11-26
    soldstatus $52,000
  27. 2003-11-26
    soldstatus $52,000
  28. 2003-11-24
    soldstatus $55,000
  29. 2003-07-22
    listed $55,000
  30. 2003-07-22
    listed $55,000
  31. 2002-02-04
    soldstatus $45,000 Closed
    Show marketing remark (65 chars)

    SOME NEW CARPET AND PAINT. REFRIGERATOR REMAINS. NICE CORNER LOT.

  32. 2002-02-04
    soldstatus $45,000
    Show marketing remark (65 chars)

    SOME NEW CARPET AND PAINT. REFRIGERATOR REMAINS. NICE CORNER LOT.

  33. 2001-05-07
    listed $47,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,651 · $138/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,651 · $138/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 62% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,491
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$1,651
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,479
− Management
−$1,479
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable loss
−$986
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$237
After-tax cash flow
$1,985/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Richmond County
NCES district ID
1304380
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$38,069
Composite
13.43/100
National rank
#9524
State rank
#154 of 174 in GA

Livability — Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance)

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA
County
Richmond County · 190,917 people
City population
154,035
Metro
Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
Population (ZIP)
44,109
Household income
$70,202
Rent vs Own
28.4% rent · 71.6% own
Severe rent burden
867.0

Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
200,753 people
By 2030
200,232 · -0.3%
By 2040
196,813 · -2.0%
By 2050
190,347 · -5.2%
By 2075
172,496 · -14.1%
By 2100
146,284 · -27.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (62%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 62% White 27% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Richmond

2024 margin
Solid D (+36.1) · D 67.8% · R 31.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.3pp toward D · 2008: 31.8pp · 2024: 36.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+36.1 2020: D+37.2 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+33.8 2008: D+31.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.74%
Current HPI
162.4074
Rent YoY
▼ -0.71%
Metro
Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+244.5% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Price Changed $165,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-05-11 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $169,500 Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $169,500 Hive MLS
  • 2026-02-13 Price Changed $47,900 Hive MLS
  • 2025-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $80,025 Public Records
  • 2025-11-21 Sold (MLS) $80,025 Hive MLS
  • 2025-11-21 Sold (MLS) $80,025 Hive MLS
  • 2025-10-20 Listed $95,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-10-20 Listed $95,000 Hive MLS
  • 2020-04-14 Sold (MLS) $45,000 Hive MLS
  • 2019-10-28 Listed $1,495,000 Hive MLS
  • 2003-11-26 Sold (MLS) $52,000 Hive MLS
  • 2003-11-26 Sold (MLS) $52,000 Hive MLS
  • 2003-11-24 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 2003-07-22 Listed $55,000 Hive MLS
  • 2003-07-22 Listed $55,000 Hive MLS
  • 2002-02-04 Sold (MLS) $45,000 Hive MLS
  • 2002-02-04 Sold (MLS) $45,000 Hive MLS
  • 2001-05-07 Listed $47,900 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,651 · -11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…