Multi-family
3401 W Rogers Ave · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.8/30.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$295,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this well-maintained duplex, offering two distinct living spaces perfect for both homeowners and investors. The first unit is a cozy 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is leased month to month at $1300. The second unit features a spacious 4-bedroom, 1-bath layout, ideal for larger families or those needing extra room. Currently vacant and move-in ready, this unit boasts stylish LVP flooring throughout, providing durability and easy maintenance. This property offers a blend of comfort and convenience, with ample living space, making it an excellent opportunity for a variety of buyers. Don’t miss out on this versatile and valuable investment!
Key facts
- 5,845 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1926
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Ground rent paid annually
- Financial info: Two total units in the building; Two vacant units; Unit 1 and Unit 2 noted as other units; Below-grade unfinished area approximately 800 (source: Assessor); Above-grade finished area approximately 1,884 (source: Assessor)
Exterior
- Parking: Two total garage and parking spaces; Two parking lot spaces; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached structure; Very good condition; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Frame, stone, and vinyl siding construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built (year source: Assessor)
- Exterior features: Deck(s); Paved off-street parking and parking lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: One three-bedroom unit (part of a two-unit building)
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank flooring
- Heating & cooling: Radiator heating; Natural gas heating and hot water
- Interior features: Dry wall walls and ceilings; Unfinished basement with outside entrance and poured concrete
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 7-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $295k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $459 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $295k).
- Recommended offer: $291k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 351 active listings in the ZIP; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,314/mo this rent would consume 77% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) (locally 3644% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 31% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $235k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.67%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $235,500
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3401 W Rogers Ave | 0.00mi | 7/2.0 | 1,884 (0%) | 20mo | $235,000 | $125 | 83 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-20,413
- Equity at exit
- $43,985
- IRR
- 2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $12,426
- Equity at exit
- $25,506
Cash invested: $82,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21215
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 351
- Price-to-rent
- 16.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,314 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,547
- Tax from tax record
- −$489 /mo · $5,872/yr
- Insurance
- −$123
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$696
- Net cashflow
- $459
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 3 | 1 | $1,515 |
| 1× unit | 4 | 1 | $1,799 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,314 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $73,750
- Closing costs
- $8,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $295,000 Coming Soon 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $295,000 Coming Soon 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $295,000 Coming Soon 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $295,000 Coming Soon 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $295,000 Coming Soon 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $295,000 Coming Soon 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $295,000 Coming Soon 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $295,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-04$295,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,872 · $489/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,872 · $489/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,768
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,525
- − Property taxes
- −$5,872
- − Insurance
- −$1,475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,181
- − Management
- −$3,181
- − Depreciation
- −$8,582
- Taxable income
- $952
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$228
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,277/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,229
- Household income
- $51,587
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3644.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 73% White 17% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -318.58%
- Current HPI
- 291.4926
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+2358.3% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Coming Soon $295,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $235,000 Public Records
- 2024-10-15 Sold (MLS) $235,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-09-07 Rental Removed $1,500 APPFOLIO
- 2024-08-31 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-08-22 Listed $225,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-08-06 Price Changed $1,500 APPFOLIO
- 2024-08-02 Price Changed $1,550 APPFOLIO
- 2024-06-07 Price Changed $1,600 APPFOLIO
- 2024-05-29 Listed for Rent $1,650 APPFOLIO
- 2024-05-11 Rental Removed $1,650 APPFOLIO
- 2024-04-16 Listed for Rent $1,650 APPFOLIO
- 2022-12-14 Rental Removed — RENT.
- 2008-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2008-01-25 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 1980-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.0%/yrLatest (2025): $5,872 · +525.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…