159 Hunterpond Ln · Statesville, NC
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor special with tons of potential! Situated on approximately 1.98 acres across 3 parcels, this unique property offers space, privacy, and opportunity. The existing 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features approximately 980 square feet and is ready for your vision and updates. Home needs TLC and is being sold as-is, making it a great fit for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to renovate and create value. With up to 2 acres to work with, there’s room to explore future possibilities, expansion, or simply enjoy the extra land.
Key facts
- 1.98 acres
- 3 parcels
- Privacy
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; No designated parking features
- Utilities: City water; Septic system installed
- Home design: Manufactured singlewide residence; One level
- Construction: Vinyl exterior; Crawl space foundation; Manufactured construction
- Exterior features: Road access includes concrete and unpaved sections; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: No heating system listed; No cooling system listed
- Interior features: 7 total rooms; Common area laundry
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in a common area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $653 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.9% vs local median 3.5% in Statesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#557 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Iredell-Statesville Schools (rural): math 53% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #51 of 178 in NC (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Sharon Elementary (math 62% / reading 62%, grade B, #179 of 1,410 statewide, top 14%, 237 students, 61% FRL); West Iredell High (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #414 of 535 statewide, top 79%, 844 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 38% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 471 active listings in the ZIP; 1,955 units permitted in Iredell County in 2024 (128 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Iredell County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $22k; list at $90k implies a 300% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.77% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 34.24%
- DSCR
- 2.52
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.2% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.90×
- Total profit
- $22,632
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 28.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.24×
- Total profit
- $56,369
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28677
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 471
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,590 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $331/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$334
- Net cashflow
- $653
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $110,000
-
2026-05-11price $119,999
-
2026-04-30price $129,999
-
2026-04-24$139,999 Active
-
2016-06-13soldstatus $22,500
-
1992-08-01soldstatus $28,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $331 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $738 · $62/mo
- Expected delta
- +$407/yr (+$34/mo · 123.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,079
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$331
- − Insurance
- −$1,248
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,526
- − Management
- −$1,526
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $6,789
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,629
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,201/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Iredell-Statesville Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3702310
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▲ 8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,201
- Composite
- 44.98/100
- National rank
- #2703
- State rank
- #51 of 178 in NC
Livability — Statesville
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #557
- US rank
- #20505
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Iredell County · 182,638 people
- City population
- 78,393
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,819
- Household income
- $62,406
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1174.0
Population outlook (Iredell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 194,510 people
- By 2030
- 206,171 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 227,781 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 245,102 · +26.0%
- By 2075
- 280,896 · +44.4%
- By 2100
- 294,375 · +51.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Scandinavian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 12% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Iredell
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.6) · D 33.2% · R 65.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.4pp · 2024: -32.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.6 2020: R+32.4 2016: R+36.8 2012: R+30.5 2008: R+24.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -298.76%
- Current HPI
- 243.0445
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.20%
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+286.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $110,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $119,999 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $129,999 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-24 Listed $139,999 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $22,500 Public Records
- 1992-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $28,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.2%/yrLatest (2024): $331 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…