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105 E 9th St
B Composite 70.68
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.0/15.0

$37,000

105 E 9th St · Colorado City, TX 79512
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,204 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 47 Days on market
Built 1938 10,454 sqft lot $31/sqft · 12% above area Est $33k · 12% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 105 E. 9th St. Colorado City. This well maintained home is ready for the next owner. Outside you will find a large corner lot with lots of vegetation and a spacious fenced back yard. The former garage was converted into a storage area. The interior features original hardwood floors, spacious rooms and an inviting nice kitchen. Appliances convey. Schedule your showing today.

Key facts

  • Inviting kitchen
  • Large corner lot
  • 0.24 acre lot

Tags

LARGE CORNER LOTSPACIOUS FENCED BACK YARDCONVERTED STORAGE AREAORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORSINVITING KITCHEN

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Corner parcel (approx. 0.24 acre); GPS-friendly directions
  • Financial info: Listing accepts Cash and Conventional financing; Treat as clear loan type; no second mortgage indicated
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Not in a municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Built in 1938; One story
  • Construction: Siding exterior; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered front porch; Block fencing; Corner lot with a few trees; Storage outbuilding/other structure

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level; primary bedroom 12 x 10, second bedroom 12 x 10)
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: 4 total rooms; One-level layout; Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer present; Washer hookup on site; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $37k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $579 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $37k).
  • Recommended offer: $36k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#355 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
  • Colorado ISD (town): math 37% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #508 of 826 in TX (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($256 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (4.4% local appreciation)).
  • Mitchell County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (4.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($36k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $35,890 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.95%
Cap rate
25.06%
Cash-on-cash
67.03%
DSCR
3.98
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$32,942
List price
$37,000
Delta
12.32%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
603 Pine St 0.26mi 2/1.0 1,036 (-14%) 14mo $36,550 $35 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.37% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
73.0%
Equity multiple
5.26×
Total profit
$44,106
Equity at exit
$19,569
10-year hold
IRR
71.5%
Equity multiple
10.87×
Total profit
$102,205
Equity at exit
$32,671

Cash invested: $10,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79512

Home prices YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
84
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,091 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$194
Tax from tax record
$74 /mo · $886/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$229
Net cashflow
$579

Break-even live

Break-even rent $359
Max offer price $37,000
Occupancy floor 42%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,250
Closing costs
$1,110
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $37,000 Active 47 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $37,000 Active 46 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $37,000 Active 45 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $37,000 Active 44 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $37,000 Active 42 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $37,000 Active 41 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    status $37,000 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-06-04
    status $37,000 Pending 38 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $37,000 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $37,000 Active 37 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $37,000 Active 36 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $37,000 Active 35 DOM
  13. 2026-04-26
    listed $37,000 Active 387-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$886 · $74/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$886 · $74/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,093
− Mortgage interest
−$2,073
− Property taxes
−$886
− Insurance
−$185
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,047
− Management
−$1,047
− Depreciation
−$1,076
Taxable income
$6,779
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,627
After-tax cash flow
$5,318/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Colorado ISD
NCES district ID
4814640
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
30.41/100
National rank
#6249
State rank
#508 of 826 in TX

Livability — Colorado City

Score
70/100
State rank
#355
US rank
#7722

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Colorado City, TX
Population (ZIP)
7,672

Population outlook (Mitchell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
8,476 people
By 2030
8,723 · +2.9%
By 2040
9,046 · +6.7%
By 2050
9,200 · +8.5%
By 2075
8,936 · +5.4%
By 2100
7,978 · -5.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 20% Black 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 34%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 18% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mitchell

2024 margin
Solid R (+71.3) · D 14.0% · R 85.3%
2008→2024 swing
-20.8pp toward R · 2008: -50.5pp · 2024: -71.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+71.3 2020: R+68.8 2016: R+65.2 2012: R+52.7 2008: R+50.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.37%
Current HPI
99.8822
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2026-06-03 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-04-26 Listed $37,000 NTREIS

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $886 · +16.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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