105 E 9th St · Colorado City, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +2.0/15.0
$37,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 105 E. 9th St. Colorado City. This well maintained home is ready for the next owner. Outside you will find a large corner lot with lots of vegetation and a spacious fenced back yard. The former garage was converted into a storage area. The interior features original hardwood floors, spacious rooms and an inviting nice kitchen. Appliances convey. Schedule your showing today.
Key facts
- Inviting kitchen
- Large corner lot
- 0.24 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Corner parcel (approx. 0.24 acre); GPS-friendly directions
- Financial info: Listing accepts Cash and Conventional financing; Treat as clear loan type; no second mortgage indicated
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Built in 1938; One story
- Construction: Siding exterior; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Covered front porch; Block fencing; Corner lot with a few trees; Storage outbuilding/other structure
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level; primary bedroom 12 x 10, second bedroom 12 x 10)
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: 4 total rooms; One-level layout; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer present; Washer hookup on site; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $37k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $579 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $37k).
- Recommended offer: $36k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#355 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
- Colorado ISD (town): math 37% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #508 of 826 in TX (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($256 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (4.4% local appreciation)).
- Mitchell County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (4.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($36k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.95% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 67.03%
- DSCR
- 3.98
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $32,942
- List price
- $37,000
- Delta
- 12.32%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 603 Pine St | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 1,036 (-14%) | 14mo | $36,550 | $35 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.37% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 73.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.26×
- Total profit
- $44,106
- Equity at exit
- $19,569
- IRR
- 71.5%
- Equity multiple
- 10.87×
- Total profit
- $102,205
- Equity at exit
- $32,671
Cash invested: $10,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79512
- Home prices YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 84
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,091 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$194
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $886/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$229
- Net cashflow
- $579
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,250
- Closing costs
- $1,110
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $37,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $37,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $37,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $37,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $37,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $37,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-09status $37,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-04status $37,000 Pending 38 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $37,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $37,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $37,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $37,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-04-26$37,000 Active 387-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $886 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $886 · $74/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,093
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,073
- − Property taxes
- −$886
- − Insurance
- −$185
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,047
- − Management
- −$1,047
- − Depreciation
- −$1,076
- Taxable income
- $6,779
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,627
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,318/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Colorado ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4814640
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 30.41/100
- National rank
- #6249
- State rank
- #508 of 826 in TX
Livability — Colorado City
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #355
- US rank
- #7722
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Colorado City, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,672
Population outlook (Mitchell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,476 people
- By 2030
- 8,723 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 9,046 · +6.7%
- By 2050
- 9,200 · +8.5%
- By 2075
- 8,936 · +5.4%
- By 2100
- 7,978 · -5.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 20% Black 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 34%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 18% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mitchell
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+71.3) · D 14.0% · R 85.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.8pp toward R · 2008: -50.5pp · 2024: -71.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+71.3 2020: R+68.8 2016: R+65.2 2012: R+52.7 2008: R+50.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.37%
- Current HPI
- 99.8822
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-06-03 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-04-26 Listed $37,000 NTREIS
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $886 · +16.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…