🏷️ Likely Rental
3719 Mcclellan Ave · Brighton, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Rent growth +1.7/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$44,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investment opportunity with tenant already in place! This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home features a living room that flows into the dining room and kitchen. The kitchen includes solid wood cabinetry with abundant storage, an electric stove, and convenient access to the laundry room. Two generously sized bedrooms share a full bath with tub/shower combination. Large & covered front porch. Outside, you'll find a large detached 1 car garage with additional covered carport parking. Great potential for investors looking to add to their portfolio!
Key facts
- Solid wood cabinetry
- Abundant storage
- Detached garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $44k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $537 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $44k).
- Recommended offer: $43k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 54/100 on livability (#459 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.1%/yr); 115 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $308 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($43k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $44k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 51.76%
- DSCR
- 3.30
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $60,895
- List price
- $44,500
- Delta
- -26.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 602 8th Ave | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 | 750 (-4%) | 0mo | $18,000 | $24 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 46.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.92×
- Total profit
- $23,901
- Equity at exit
- $6,635
- IRR
- 50.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.24×
- Total profit
- $52,843
- Equity at exit
- $3,848
Cash invested: $12,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35020
- Home prices YoY
- -24.2%
- Rents YoY
- -3.1%
- Active inventory
- 115
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,069 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$233
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$225
- Net cashflow
- $537
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $563 | -5% $550 | +0% $537 | +5% $525 | +10% $512 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $453 | -5% $495 | +0% $537 | +5% $580 | +10% $622 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $560 | -0.5pp $549 | base $537 | +0.5pp $526 | +1.0pp $514 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,125
- Closing costs
- $1,335
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605 10th Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $850 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 4506 Letson St Brighton, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1032 | $1,200 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 200 Woodward Dr Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,123 | $1.25 | 2d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 216 Pine St Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1565 Miles St Dolomite, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,175 | $1.05 | 16d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 36 Wilkes Cir Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 762 | $875 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 925 Woodward Rd Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $950 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-03days on market $44,500 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $44,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $44,500 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $44,500 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-18status Active 548-char remark
-
2026-05-11historical Contingent 548-char remark
-
2026-05-01price $49,000 548-char remark
-
2026-04-23$53,000 Active 548-char remark
-
2023-03-15price $49,999
-
2023-03-08price $52,500
-
2021-10-21soldstatus $25,000 Sold
-
2021-10-12historical
-
2021-09-29status Active
-
2021-09-16historical Contingent
-
2021-09-08price $38,000
-
2021-08-07price $45,500
-
2021-06-29price $49,500
-
2021-06-15$58,000 Active
-
2020-12-31soldstatus $15,000 Sold
-
2020-12-29status Pending
-
2020-12-07$25,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $666 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $666 · $56/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,834
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,493
- − Property taxes
- −$666
- − Insurance
- −$222
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,027
- − Management
- −$1,027
- − Depreciation
- −$1,295
- Taxable income
- $6,104
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,465
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,984/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 0101920
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,712
- Composite
- 18.4/100
- National rank
- #8937
- State rank
- #104 of 129 in AL
Livability — Brighton
- Score
- 54/100
- State rank
- #459
- US rank
- #23847
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brighton, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,892
- Household income
- $35,362
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1001.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 74% Hispanic / Latino 13% White 11% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 11%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.54%
- Current HPI
- 179.7702
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.12%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+78.0% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Price Changed $44,500 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $49,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2023-03-15 Price Changed $49,999 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2023-03-08 Price Changed $52,500 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2021-10-21 Sold (MLS) $25,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2021-10-12 Delisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2021-09-29 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2021-09-16 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2021-09-08 Price Changed $38,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2021-08-07 Price Changed $45,500 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2021-06-29 Price Changed $49,500 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2021-06-15 Listed $58,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2020-12-31 Sold (MLS) $15,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2020-12-29 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2020-12-07 Listed $25,000 Greater Alabama MLS
Property tax history
+0.0%/yrLatest (2025): $666 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…