🏗️ New Construction
13378 George Ave · Gulfport, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$160,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Brand NEW home! Enjoy stylish Villa-style living with the Parker's thoughtfully designed layout. The open-concept main level blends the kitchen, dining and living areas while the covered porch extends your living space. Upstairs, three bedrooms provide space to relax. Perfectly situated in desirable Gulfport, MS, River Estates is conveniently located near highly-rated schools and esteemed employers. With easy access to I-10, residents can explore Gulfport's plentiful shopping, dining and entertainment opportunities. This community features the Parker, a thoughtfully designed floorplan with three bedrooms and approx. 1,000 sq. ft. of livable space, offering an exciting standard of living for
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 2026
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Parking for 2 vehicles; Concrete parking surface
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single family residence (house); Two levels; Builder model: PARKER III
- Construction: HardiPlank exterior; Slab foundation; New construction; Built by builder (year built source: builder)
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; See remarks
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Three upstairs bedrooms
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Five total rooms; New construction
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer connections (utilities connected)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $161k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $234 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $161k).
- Recommended offer: $156k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.9% in Gulfport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Harrison County School District (rural): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #14 of 130 in MS (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: River Oaks Elementary School (math 34% / reading 30%, grade F, #172 of 375 statewide, top 48%, 502 students, 99% FRL); Harrison Central High School (math 38% / reading 38%, grade F, #58 of 197 statewide, top 29%, 1,486 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 62% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 35% at this address vs 49% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Harrison County School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 763 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($156k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.82%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $172,124
- List price
- $160,990
- Delta
- -6.47%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13410 George Ave | 0.05mi | 3/1.5 | 1,000 (0%) | 3mo | $162,365 | $162 | 95 |
| 13337 Kelly St #5 | 0.04mi | 3/1.5 | 1,013 (+1%) | 2mo | $170,000 | $168 | 94 |
| 13372 Dee Ave | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 | 1,000 (0%) | 2mo | $163,990 | $164 | 94 |
| 13329 Kelly St | 0.10mi | 3/1.5 | 1,030 (+3%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $165 | 90 |
| 13491 Dee Ave | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 | 1,000 (0%) | 5mo | $160,990 | $161 | 90 |
| 13447 Gorman St | 0.21mi | 3/1.5 | 1,000 (0%) | 3mo | $161,990 | $162 | 88 |
| 13522 Dee Ave | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 | 1,000 (0%) | 0mo | $162,990 | $163 | 87 |
| 13378 Dee Ave | 0.09mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,000 (0%) | 1mo | $167,990 | $168 | 86 |
| 13510 Dee Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,000 (0%) | 3mo | $162,990 | $163 | 86 |
| 13455 Gorman St | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 | 1,000 (0%) | 5mo | $154,990 | $155 | 85 |
| 13504 Dee Ave | 0.24mi | 3/2.5 | 1,000 (0%) | 1mo | $159,990 | $160 | 84 |
| 13497 Dee Ave | 0.17mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,000 (0%) | 5mo | $167,490 | $167 | 79 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.99% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-5,456
- Equity at exit
- $25,664
- IRR
- 10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $48,043
- Equity at exit
- $14,882
Cash invested: $48,195 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39503
- Home prices YoY
- -21.5%
- Rents YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 763
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,802 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$903
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$215 /mo · $2,582/yr
- Insurance
- −$72
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$378
- Net cashflow
- $234
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $353 | -5% $293 | +0% $234 | +5% $174 | +10% $115 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $91 | -5% $163 | +0% $234 | +5% $305 | +10% $376 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $320 | -0.5pp $277 | base $234 | +0.5pp $189 | +1.0pp $144 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,031
- Closing costs
- $5,164
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13459 Gorman St Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,649 | $1.65 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 13498 Dee Ave Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $1,750 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 14179 Debra Barbee Ct Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1379 | $1,849 | $1.34 | 21d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 13070 Tracewood Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,400 | $1.18 | 21d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-15status $160,990 Pending 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $160,990 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $160,990 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $160,990 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $160,990 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $160,990 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $160,990 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $160,990 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $160,990 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $160,990 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $160,990 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $160,990 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-07$165,990 Active 717-char remark
-
2026-04-23price $165,990 252-char remark
-
2026-04-22$164,990 Active 252-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,619
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,642
- − Property taxes
- −$2,582
- − Insurance
- −$861
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,729
- − Management
- −$1,729
- − Depreciation
- −$5,007
- Taxable income
- $68
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$16
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,788/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This brand new home in Gulfport, MS, is move-in ready with modern finishes and a desirable location. It offers excellent curb appeal and is ready for immediate occupancy.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both Painting exterior — Fresh paint can improve curb appeal and value
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both Painting exterior — Fresh paint can improve curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrison County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801770
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,504
- Composite
- 41.66/100
- National rank
- #3419
- State rank
- #14 of 130 in MS
Livability — Gulfport
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #5010
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gulfport, MS
- County
- Harrison County · 178,171 people
- City population
- 96,188
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,059
- Household income
- $62,641
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1686.0
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,444 people
- By 2030
- 241,942 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 267,531 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +27.4%
- By 2075
- 346,711 · +51.8%
- By 2100
- 378,165 · +65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 27% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.39%
- Current HPI
- 187.285
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.99%
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-3.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-05-27 Price Changed $160,990 MLSU
- 2026-05-07 Listed $165,990 MLSU
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…