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13378 George Ave 🏗️ New Construction
C Composite 57.34
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +5.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$160,990

13378 George Ave · Gulfport, MS 39503
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,000 sqft · SingleFamily · 39 Days on market
Built 2026 Excellent condition 5,227 sqft lot ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Brand NEW home! Enjoy stylish Villa-style living with the Parker's thoughtfully designed layout. The open-concept main level blends the kitchen, dining and living areas while the covered porch extends your living space. Upstairs, three bedrooms provide space to relax. Perfectly situated in desirable Gulfport, MS, River Estates is conveniently located near highly-rated schools and esteemed employers. With easy access to I-10, residents can explore Gulfport's plentiful shopping, dining and entertainment opportunities. This community features the Parker, a thoughtfully designed floorplan with three bedrooms and approx. 1,000 sq. ft. of livable space, offering an exciting standard of living for

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 2026

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking for 2 vehicles; Concrete parking surface
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single family residence (house); Two levels; Builder model: PARKER III
  • Construction: HardiPlank exterior; Slab foundation; New construction; Built by builder (year built source: builder)
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; See remarks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Three upstairs bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; New construction
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer connections (utilities connected)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $160,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $172,124.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $161k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $234 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $161k).
  • Recommended offer: $156k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.9% in Gulfport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Harrison County School District (rural): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #14 of 130 in MS (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: River Oaks Elementary School (math 34% / reading 30%, grade F, #172 of 375 statewide, top 48%, 502 students, 99% FRL); Harrison Central High School (math 38% / reading 38%, grade F, #58 of 197 statewide, top 29%, 1,486 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 62% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 35% at this address vs 49% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Harrison County School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 763 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($156k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $156,160 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
7.92%
Cash-on-cash
5.82%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$172,124
List price
$160,990
Delta
-6.47%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
13410 George Ave 0.05mi 3/1.5 1,000 (0%) 3mo $162,365 $162 95
13337 Kelly St #5 0.04mi 3/1.5 1,013 (+1%) 2mo $170,000 $168 94
13372 Dee Ave 0.09mi 3/1.5 1,000 (0%) 2mo $163,990 $164 94
13329 Kelly St 0.10mi 3/1.5 1,030 (+3%) 1mo $170,000 $165 90
13491 Dee Ave 0.14mi 3/1.5 1,000 (0%) 5mo $160,990 $161 90
13447 Gorman St 0.21mi 3/1.5 1,000 (0%) 3mo $161,990 $162 88
13522 Dee Ave 0.28mi 3/1.5 1,000 (0%) 0mo $162,990 $163 87
13378 Dee Ave 0.09mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,000 (0%) 1mo $167,990 $168 86
13510 Dee Ave 0.24mi 3/1.5 1,000 (0%) 3mo $162,990 $163 86
13455 Gorman St 0.22mi 3/1.5 1,000 (0%) 5mo $154,990 $155 85
13504 Dee Ave 0.24mi 3/2.5 1,000 (0%) 1mo $159,990 $160 84
13497 Dee Ave 0.17mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,000 (0%) 5mo $167,490 $167 79

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.99% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.9%
Equity multiple
0.89×
Total profit
$-5,456
Equity at exit
$25,664
10-year hold
IRR
10.8%
Equity multiple
2.00×
Total profit
$48,043
Equity at exit
$14,882

Cash invested: $48,195 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39503

Home prices YoY
-21.5%
Rents YoY
7.0%
Active inventory
763
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,802 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$903
Tax est. 1.5%
$215 /mo · $2,582/yr
Insurance
$72
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$378
Net cashflow
$234

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,506
Max offer price $172,124
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $353 -5% $293 +0% $234 +5% $174 +10% $115
Rent -10% $91 -5% $163 +0% $234 +5% $305 +10% $376
Rate -1.0pp $320 -0.5pp $277 base $234 +0.5pp $189 +1.0pp $144

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,031
Closing costs
$5,164
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
13459 Gorman St Gulfport, MS 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,649 $1.65 44d 1 0.24mi
13498 Dee Ave Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1410 $1,750 $1.24 44d 1 0.24mi
14179 Debra Barbee Ct Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1379 $1,849 $1.34 21d 1 0.69mi
13070 Tracewood Dr Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1190 $1,400 $1.18 21d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    status $160,990 Pending 39 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $160,990 Active 39 DOM
  3. 2026-06-14
    days on market $160,990 Active 37 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,990 Active 36 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $160,990 Active 34 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $160,990 Active 33 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $160,990 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $160,990 Active 31 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $160,990 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $160,990 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,990 Active 24 DOM
  12. 2026-05-30
    days on market $160,990 Active 23 DOM
  13. 2026-05-07
    listed $165,990 Active 717-char remark
  14. 2026-04-23
    price $165,990 252-char remark
  15. 2026-04-22
    listed $164,990 Active 252-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,619
− Mortgage interest
−$9,642
− Property taxes
−$2,582
− Insurance
−$861
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,729
− Management
−$1,729
− Depreciation
−$5,007
Taxable income
$68
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$16
After-tax cash flow
$2,788/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This brand new home in Gulfport, MS, is move-in ready with modern finishes and a desirable location. It offers excellent curb appeal and is ready for immediate occupancy.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both Painting exterior — Fresh paint can improve curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both Painting exterior — Fresh paint can improve curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harrison County School District
NCES district ID
2801770
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$46,504
Composite
41.66/100
National rank
#3419
State rank
#14 of 130 in MS

Livability — Gulfport

Score
73/100
State rank
#15
US rank
#5010

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gulfport, MS
County
Harrison County · 178,171 people
City population
96,188
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
Population (ZIP)
55,059
Household income
$62,641
Rent vs Own
29.3% rent · 70.7% own
Severe rent burden
1686.0

Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
228,444 people
By 2030
241,942 · +5.9%
By 2040
267,531 · +17.1%
By 2050
291,062 · +27.4%
By 2075
346,711 · +51.8%
By 2100
378,165 · +65.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 27% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Harrison

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.39%
Current HPI
187.285
Rent YoY
▲ 6.99%
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-3.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-05-27 Price Changed $160,990 MLSU
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $165,990 MLSU

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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