20102 E Antelope Rd · Cordes Lakes, AZ 86333

$229,900

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 118 Days on market

Built 1997 0.32 ac lot Est $270k · 15% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +14.2/15.0
• Cash flow +14.0/30.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +4.2/10.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• 1% rule +2.6/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

BRAND NEW HVAC UNIT 2026! MASSIVE LOT! Site built single family home! NO HOA OR LAND LEASE! Own your own piece of Cordes Lakes! HOA HOA! Bring your toys! This remodeled home on 1/3 acres is ready for its new owner! Over 14,000 SQFT of lot with TWO RV gates! The lot is completely fenced and ready to secure your toys. This home has been completely remodeled with new flooring, counters, appliances, fixtures, paint, windows and much more! Roof is 2019! Come check out this home TODAY!

Key facts

• Two rv gates
• Completely fenced
• Massive lot

Tags

• MASSIVE LOT
• REMODELED HOME
• TWO RV GATES
• COMPLETELY FENCED

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Lot size listed as 14,003 (assessor source)
• HOA & community: No association fees

Exterior

• Utilities: City water; Public sewer
• Home design: Single-family residence; Fee simple ownership
• Construction: Wood frame construction; Composition roof
• Exterior features: Dirt front lot

Interior

• Kitchen: Built-in electric oven
• Bedrooms: Up to 2 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Has heating; Evaporative cooling
• Interior features: Built-in electric oven; Fireplace; Laundry details referenced in remarks
• Laundry & utility: See remarks for laundry details

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $28 ($333/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $175k (23.8% below list).
• Recommended offer: $175k (23.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 5.1% in Cordes Lakes — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 60/100 on livability (#181 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Mayer Unified School District (4473) (rural): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #165 of 249 in AZ (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Mayer Elementary School (math 26% / reading 32%, grade F, #570 of 1,109 statewide, top 52%, 373 students, 93% FRL); Mayer High School (math 5% / reading 5%, grade F, #364 of 381 statewide, top 100%, 200 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools at 79% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 242 active listings in the ZIP; 2,062 units permitted in Yavapai County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $25k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Yavapai County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 10 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $140k; list at $230k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $175,078 (23.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.76% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.44%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.52%
• DSCR: 1.02
• GRM: 10.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $270,144
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
16081 S Black Mountain Rd	0.36mi	2/2.0	1,016 (+1%)	11mo	$280,000	$276	69
20262 E Quail Run Dr	0.36mi	2/1.0	912 (-10%)	1mo	$105,000	$115	67
20050 E Lakeside Rd	0.08mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,140 (+13%)	3mo	$310,000	$272	63
20226 E Quail Run Dr	0.34mi	3/2.0 (+1)	952 (-6%)	10mo	$151,750	$159	57
20762 E Marble Canyon Way	0.57mi	2/1.0	900 (-11%)	1mo	$105,000	$117	54
20056 E Tonelea Trl	0.61mi	2/1.5	1,081 (+7%)	4mo	$285,500	$264	54
20587 E Hereford Dr	0.39mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,148 (+14%)	8mo	$315,000	$274	43
20601 E Hereford Dr	0.40mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,148 (+14%)	9mo	$325,000	$283	42
20152 E Horseshoe Ln	0.50mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,148 (+14%)	7mo	$325,000	$283	39
20932 E Deer Valley Ln	0.73mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,056 (+5%)	12mo	$224,500	$213	39
15687 S Cordes Lakes Dr	0.68mi	2/2.0	1,132 (+12%)	7mo	$225,000	$199	38
20085 E Conestoga Dr	0.69mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,140 (+13%)	6mo	$305,000	$268	32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 24.6%
• Equity multiple: 2.97×
• Total profit: $126,858
• Equity at exit: $207,112

10-year hold

• IRR: 21.8%
• Equity multiple: 6.78×
• Total profit: $371,954
• Equity at exit: $446,645

Cash invested: $64,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arizona: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 86333

• Home prices YoY: 17.3%
• Active inventory: 242
• Price-to-rent: 10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,751 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,206
• Tax from tax record: −$54 /mo · $648/yr
• Insurance: −$96
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$368
• Net cashflow: $28

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,716

Max offer price $229,900

Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $57,475
• Closing costs: $6,897
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 50 events

1. 2026-06-18
   status $229,900 Pending 118 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $229,900 Under Contract Accepting Backups 118 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $229,900 Under Contract Accepting Backups 117 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $229,900 Under Contract Accepting Backups 116 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $229,900 Under Contract Accepting Backups 114 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $229,900 Under Contract Accepting Backups 113 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $229,900 Under Contract Accepting Backups 111 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $229,900 Under Contract Accepting Backups 110 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $229,900 Under Contract Accepting Backups 109 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $229,900 Under Contract Accepting Backups 108 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $229,900 Under Contract Accepting Backups 104 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    status $229,900 Under Contract Accepting Backups 103 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $229,900 Active 103 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $229,900 Active 102 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $229,900 Active 101 DOM
16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $229,900 Active 100 DOM
17. 2026-05-22
    price $238,900 484-char remark

    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    BRAND NEW HVAC UNIT 2026! MASSIVE LOT! Site built single family home! NO HOA OR LAND LEASE! Own your own piece of Cordes Lakes! HOA HOA! Bring your toys! This remodeled home on 1/3 acres is ready for its new owner! Over 14,000 SQFT of lot with TWO RV gates! The lot is completely fenced and ready to secure your toys. This home has been completely remodeled with new flooring, counters, appliances, fixtures, paint, windows and much more! Roof is 2019! Come check out this home TODAY!

18. 2026-05-19
    price $239,900
19. 2026-05-15
    price $238,900
20. 2026-05-13
    price $239,000 484-char remark

    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    BRAND NEW HVAC UNIT 2026! MASSIVE LOT! Site built single family home! NO HOA OR LAND LEASE! Own your own piece of Cordes Lakes! HOA HOA! Bring your toys! This remodeled home on 1/3 acres is ready for its new owner! Over 14,000 SQFT of lot with TWO RV gates! The lot is completely fenced and ready to secure your toys. This home has been completely remodeled with new flooring, counters, appliances, fixtures, paint, windows and much more! Roof is 2019! Come check out this home TODAY!

21. 2026-05-13
    price $239,000

    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    BRAND NEW HVAC UNIT 2026! MASSIVE LOT! Site built single family home! NO HOA OR LAND LEASE! Own your own piece of Cordes Lakes! HOA HOA! Bring your toys! This remodeled home on 1/3 acres is ready for its new owner! Over 14,000 SQFT of lot with TWO RV gates! The lot is completely fenced and ready to secure your toys. This home has been completely remodeled with new flooring, counters, appliances, fixtures, paint, windows and much more! Roof is 2019! Come check out this home TODAY!

22. 2026-05-06
    price $239,900 484-char remark

    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    BRAND NEW HVAC UNIT 2026! MASSIVE LOT! Site built single family home! NO HOA OR LAND LEASE! Own your own piece of Cordes Lakes! HOA HOA! Bring your toys! This remodeled home on 1/3 acres is ready for its new owner! Over 14,000 SQFT of lot with TWO RV gates! The lot is completely fenced and ready to secure your toys. This home has been completely remodeled with new flooring, counters, appliances, fixtures, paint, windows and much more! Roof is 2019! Come check out this home TODAY!

23. 2026-05-05
    price $239,900
24. 2026-05-04
    price $244,900
25. 2026-04-30
    price $245,000 484-char remark

    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    BRAND NEW HVAC UNIT 2026! MASSIVE LOT! Site built single family home! NO HOA OR LAND LEASE! Own your own piece of Cordes Lakes! HOA HOA! Bring your toys! This remodeled home on 1/3 acres is ready for its new owner! Over 14,000 SQFT of lot with TWO RV gates! The lot is completely fenced and ready to secure your toys. This home has been completely remodeled with new flooring, counters, appliances, fixtures, paint, windows and much more! Roof is 2019! Come check out this home TODAY!

26. 2026-04-30
    price $245,000

    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    BRAND NEW HVAC UNIT 2026! MASSIVE LOT! Site built single family home! NO HOA OR LAND LEASE! Own your own piece of Cordes Lakes! HOA HOA! Bring your toys! This remodeled home on 1/3 acres is ready for its new owner! Over 14,000 SQFT of lot with TWO RV gates! The lot is completely fenced and ready to secure your toys. This home has been completely remodeled with new flooring, counters, appliances, fixtures, paint, windows and much more! Roof is 2019! Come check out this home TODAY!

27. 2026-04-29
    price $248,000
28. 2026-04-27
    status Active 484-char remark

    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    BRAND NEW HVAC UNIT 2026! MASSIVE LOT! Site built single family home! NO HOA OR LAND LEASE! Own your own piece of Cordes Lakes! HOA HOA! Bring your toys! This remodeled home on 1/3 acres is ready for its new owner! Over 14,000 SQFT of lot with TWO RV gates! The lot is completely fenced and ready to secure your toys. This home has been completely remodeled with new flooring, counters, appliances, fixtures, paint, windows and much more! Roof is 2019! Come check out this home TODAY!

29. 2026-04-27
    status Active

    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    BRAND NEW HVAC UNIT 2026! MASSIVE LOT! Site built single family home! NO HOA OR LAND LEASE! Own your own piece of Cordes Lakes! HOA HOA! Bring your toys! This remodeled home on 1/3 acres is ready for its new owner! Over 14,000 SQFT of lot with TWO RV gates! The lot is completely fenced and ready to secure your toys. This home has been completely remodeled with new flooring, counters, appliances, fixtures, paint, windows and much more! Roof is 2019! Come check out this home TODAY!

30. 2026-04-22
    status Pending 484-char remark

    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    BRAND NEW HVAC UNIT 2026! MASSIVE LOT! Site built single family home! NO HOA OR LAND LEASE! Own your own piece of Cordes Lakes! HOA HOA! Bring your toys! This remodeled home on 1/3 acres is ready for its new owner! Over 14,000 SQFT of lot with TWO RV gates! The lot is completely fenced and ready to secure your toys. This home has been completely remodeled with new flooring, counters, appliances, fixtures, paint, windows and much more! Roof is 2019! Come check out this home TODAY!

31. 2026-04-17
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups
32. 2026-04-15
    price $249,000
33. 2026-04-13
    price $249,000 484-char remark

    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    BRAND NEW HVAC UNIT 2026! MASSIVE LOT! Site built single family home! NO HOA OR LAND LEASE! Own your own piece of Cordes Lakes! HOA HOA! Bring your toys! This remodeled home on 1/3 acres is ready for its new owner! Over 14,000 SQFT of lot with TWO RV gates! The lot is completely fenced and ready to secure your toys. This home has been completely remodeled with new flooring, counters, appliances, fixtures, paint, windows and much more! Roof is 2019! Come check out this home TODAY!

34. 2026-04-07
    status Active
35. 2026-04-06
    status Active 484-char remark

    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    BRAND NEW HVAC UNIT 2026! MASSIVE LOT! Site built single family home! NO HOA OR LAND LEASE! Own your own piece of Cordes Lakes! HOA HOA! Bring your toys! This remodeled home on 1/3 acres is ready for its new owner! Over 14,000 SQFT of lot with TWO RV gates! The lot is completely fenced and ready to secure your toys. This home has been completely remodeled with new flooring, counters, appliances, fixtures, paint, windows and much more! Roof is 2019! Come check out this home TODAY!

36. 2026-03-26
    status Pending 484-char remark

    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    BRAND NEW HVAC UNIT 2026! MASSIVE LOT! Site built single family home! NO HOA OR LAND LEASE! Own your own piece of Cordes Lakes! HOA HOA! Bring your toys! This remodeled home on 1/3 acres is ready for its new owner! Over 14,000 SQFT of lot with TWO RV gates! The lot is completely fenced and ready to secure your toys. This home has been completely remodeled with new flooring, counters, appliances, fixtures, paint, windows and much more! Roof is 2019! Come check out this home TODAY!

37. 2026-03-26
    price $249,900 484-char remark

    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    BRAND NEW HVAC UNIT 2026! MASSIVE LOT! Site built single family home! NO HOA OR LAND LEASE! Own your own piece of Cordes Lakes! HOA HOA! Bring your toys! This remodeled home on 1/3 acres is ready for its new owner! Over 14,000 SQFT of lot with TWO RV gates! The lot is completely fenced and ready to secure your toys. This home has been completely remodeled with new flooring, counters, appliances, fixtures, paint, windows and much more! Roof is 2019! Come check out this home TODAY!

38. 2026-03-26
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups

    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    BRAND NEW HVAC UNIT 2026! MASSIVE LOT! Site built single family home! NO HOA OR LAND LEASE! Own your own piece of Cordes Lakes! HOA HOA! Bring your toys! This remodeled home on 1/3 acres is ready for its new owner! Over 14,000 SQFT of lot with TWO RV gates! The lot is completely fenced and ready to secure your toys. This home has been completely remodeled with new flooring, counters, appliances, fixtures, paint, windows and much more! Roof is 2019! Come check out this home TODAY!

39. 2026-03-26
    price $249,900

    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    BRAND NEW HVAC UNIT 2026! MASSIVE LOT! Site built single family home! NO HOA OR LAND LEASE! Own your own piece of Cordes Lakes! HOA HOA! Bring your toys! This remodeled home on 1/3 acres is ready for its new owner! Over 14,000 SQFT of lot with TWO RV gates! The lot is completely fenced and ready to secure your toys. This home has been completely remodeled with new flooring, counters, appliances, fixtures, paint, windows and much more! Roof is 2019! Come check out this home TODAY!

40. 2026-03-25
    historical Active Under Contract 484-char remark

    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    BRAND NEW HVAC UNIT 2026! MASSIVE LOT! Site built single family home! NO HOA OR LAND LEASE! Own your own piece of Cordes Lakes! HOA HOA! Bring your toys! This remodeled home on 1/3 acres is ready for its new owner! Over 14,000 SQFT of lot with TWO RV gates! The lot is completely fenced and ready to secure your toys. This home has been completely remodeled with new flooring, counters, appliances, fixtures, paint, windows and much more! Roof is 2019! Come check out this home TODAY!

41. 2026-03-24
    price $249,000 484-char remark

    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    BRAND NEW HVAC UNIT 2026! MASSIVE LOT! Site built single family home! NO HOA OR LAND LEASE! Own your own piece of Cordes Lakes! HOA HOA! Bring your toys! This remodeled home on 1/3 acres is ready for its new owner! Over 14,000 SQFT of lot with TWO RV gates! The lot is completely fenced and ready to secure your toys. This home has been completely remodeled with new flooring, counters, appliances, fixtures, paint, windows and much more! Roof is 2019! Come check out this home TODAY!

42. 2026-03-24
    price $249,500

    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    BRAND NEW HVAC UNIT 2026! MASSIVE LOT! Site built single family home! NO HOA OR LAND LEASE! Own your own piece of Cordes Lakes! HOA HOA! Bring your toys! This remodeled home on 1/3 acres is ready for its new owner! Over 14,000 SQFT of lot with TWO RV gates! The lot is completely fenced and ready to secure your toys. This home has been completely remodeled with new flooring, counters, appliances, fixtures, paint, windows and much more! Roof is 2019! Come check out this home TODAY!

43. 2026-03-23
    status Active 484-char remark

    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    BRAND NEW HVAC UNIT 2026! MASSIVE LOT! Site built single family home! NO HOA OR LAND LEASE! Own your own piece of Cordes Lakes! HOA HOA! Bring your toys! This remodeled home on 1/3 acres is ready for its new owner! Over 14,000 SQFT of lot with TWO RV gates! The lot is completely fenced and ready to secure your toys. This home has been completely remodeled with new flooring, counters, appliances, fixtures, paint, windows and much more! Roof is 2019! Come check out this home TODAY!

44. 2026-03-19
    status Active
45. 2026-03-12
    historical Active Under Contract 484-char remark

    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    BRAND NEW HVAC UNIT 2026! MASSIVE LOT! Site built single family home! NO HOA OR LAND LEASE! Own your own piece of Cordes Lakes! HOA HOA! Bring your toys! This remodeled home on 1/3 acres is ready for its new owner! Over 14,000 SQFT of lot with TWO RV gates! The lot is completely fenced and ready to secure your toys. This home has been completely remodeled with new flooring, counters, appliances, fixtures, paint, windows and much more! Roof is 2019! Come check out this home TODAY!

46. 2026-03-10
    historical Contract Contingent on Buyer Sale
47. 2026-03-02
    price $249,900

    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    BRAND NEW HVAC UNIT 2026! MASSIVE LOT! Site built single family home! NO HOA OR LAND LEASE! Own your own piece of Cordes Lakes! HOA HOA! Bring your toys! This remodeled home on 1/3 acres is ready for its new owner! Over 14,000 SQFT of lot with TWO RV gates! The lot is completely fenced and ready to secure your toys. This home has been completely remodeled with new flooring, counters, appliances, fixtures, paint, windows and much more! Roof is 2019! Come check out this home TODAY!

48. 2026-03-02
    price $249,900 484-char remark

    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    BRAND NEW HVAC UNIT 2026! MASSIVE LOT! Site built single family home! NO HOA OR LAND LEASE! Own your own piece of Cordes Lakes! HOA HOA! Bring your toys! This remodeled home on 1/3 acres is ready for its new owner! Over 14,000 SQFT of lot with TWO RV gates! The lot is completely fenced and ready to secure your toys. This home has been completely remodeled with new flooring, counters, appliances, fixtures, paint, windows and much more! Roof is 2019! Come check out this home TODAY!

49. 2026-02-27
    price $259,900
50. 2026-02-25
    price $259,900 484-char remark

    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    BRAND NEW HVAC UNIT 2026! MASSIVE LOT! Site built single family home! NO HOA OR LAND LEASE! Own your own piece of Cordes Lakes! HOA HOA! Bring your toys! This remodeled home on 1/3 acres is ready for its new owner! Over 14,000 SQFT of lot with TWO RV gates! The lot is completely fenced and ready to secure your toys. This home has been completely remodeled with new flooring, counters, appliances, fixtures, paint, windows and much more! Roof is 2019! Come check out this home TODAY!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $648 · $54/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,517 · $126/mo
• Expected delta: +$869/yr (+$72/mo · 134.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥101°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,009
• − Mortgage interest: −$12,878
• − Property taxes: −$648
• − Insurance: −$1,150
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,681
• − Management: −$1,681
• − Depreciation: −$6,688
• Taxable loss: −$3,716
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$892
• After-tax cash flow: $1,224/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Mayer Unified School District (4473)
• NCES district ID: 0404820
• Math proficiency: 23% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 26% ▼ -13.00%
• Median HH income: $35,108
• Composite: 20.22/100
• National rank: #8627
• State rank: #165 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Cordes Lakes

• Score: 60/100
• State rank: #181
• US rank: #19144

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Cordes Lakes, AZ
• Population (ZIP): 6,425

Population outlook (Yavapai County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 241,389 people
• By 2030: 249,523 · +3.4%
• By 2040: 259,966 · +7.7%
• By 2050: 264,736 · +9.7%
• By 2075: 269,334 · +11.6%
• By 2100: 256,505 · +6.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (77%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 77% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 14%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 6% Iranian 3% Romanian 3%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada
• Languages at home: 93% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Yavapai

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.6% · R 66.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -9.5pp toward R · 2008: -24.4pp · 2024: -33.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+33.9 2020: R+29.3 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+30.7 2008: R+24.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 55.51%
• Current HPI: 376.0374
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.54%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	2	$13B
▸Mining / Metals	1	$23B
▸Environmental Services	1	$16B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$14B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$9B
▸Homebuilding	1	$8B

Price history

+4825.8% since first listed

48 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-22 Price Changed $238,900 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-05-19 Price Changed $239,900 ARMLS
• 2026-05-15 Price Changed $238,900 ARMLS
• 2026-05-13 Price Changed $239,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-05-13 Price Changed $239,000 ARMLS
• 2026-05-06 Price Changed $239,900 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-05-05 Price Changed $239,900 ARMLS
• 2026-05-04 Price Changed $244,900 ARMLS
• 2026-04-30 Price Changed $245,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-30 Price Changed $245,000 ARMLS
• 2026-04-29 Price Changed $248,000 ARMLS
• 2026-04-27 Relisted — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-27 Relisted — ARMLS
• 2026-04-22 Pending — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-17 Contingent — ARMLS
• 2026-04-15 Price Changed $249,000 ARMLS
• 2026-04-13 Price Changed $249,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-07 Relisted — ARMLS
• 2026-04-06 Relisted — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-26 Pending — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-26 Price Changed $249,900 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-26 Contingent — ARMLS
• 2026-03-26 Price Changed $249,900 ARMLS
• 2026-03-25 Contingent — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-24 Price Changed $249,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-24 Price Changed $249,500 ARMLS
• 2026-03-23 Relisted — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-19 Relisted — ARMLS
• 2026-03-12 Contingent — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-10 Contingent — ARMLS
• 2026-03-02 Price Changed $249,900 ARMLS
• 2026-03-02 Price Changed $249,900 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-02-27 Price Changed $259,900 ARMLS
• 2026-02-25 Price Changed $259,900 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-02-19 Price Changed $265,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-02-19 Listed $265,000 ARMLS
• 2026-02-12 Listed $279,900 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-12-09 Price Changed $175,000 ARMLS
• 2025-12-09 Listing Removed — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-12-09 Listing Removed — ARMLS
• 2025-12-09 Price Changed $179,900 ARMLS
• 2025-12-02 Price Changed $179,900 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-12-02 Listed $179,900 ARMLS
• 2025-11-26 Listed $189,900 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-11-24 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
• 2000-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
• 1998-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
• 1997-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $4,850 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $648 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.