25 Gloria St · Cahokia Heights, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.6/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great home situated on level lot! Home boasts covered front porch and garage! Home sold as-is.
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1952
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with space for 2 cars
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story / single level
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Lot includes other features
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Partially finished full basement; Washer and dryer included
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $298 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 13.6% in Cahokia Heights — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Cahokia CUSD 187 (suburban): math 3% / reading 5% proficiency, ranked #864 of 919 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Cahokia High School (math 8% / reading 2%, grade F, #614 of 693 statewide, top 95%, 845 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 85% district-wide (85 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $54k; list at $90k implies a 65% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.19%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $37,407
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- 140.33%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Edgar St | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (+9%) | 8mo | $69,000 | $72 | 71 |
| 23 Kinder St | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 890 (+1%) | 14mo | $84,900 | $95 | 70 |
| 457 Mildred Ave | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-5%) | 1mo | $43,000 | $51 | 69 |
| 28 Cahokia St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 810 (-8%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $130 | 65 |
| 23 School St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 888 (+0%) | 10mo | $103,000 | $116 | 64 |
| 16 School St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (-2%) | 9mo | $24,900 | $29 | 63 |
| 35 School St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (-2%) | 9mo | $105,000 | $122 | 61 |
| 113 Saint James Ln | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 888 (+0%) | 5mo | $105,000 | $118 | 52 |
| 217 Julian Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (-13%) | 1mo | $59,000 | $77 | 51 |
| 107 Saint Thomas Ln | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (-2%) | 16mo | $27,900 | $32 | 41 |
| 239 Nadine St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 988 (+12%) | 0mo | $105,000 | $106 | 40 |
| 237 Nadine St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 978 (+11%) | 6mo | $105,000 | $107 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $4,421
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.13×
- Total profit
- $28,392
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62206
- Home prices YoY
- -20.2%
- Active inventory
- 153
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,194 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$137 /mo · $1,639/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$251
- Net cashflow
- $298
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115 Jerome Ln Unit 3 Sauget, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $700 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1002 Upper Cahokia Rd East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $860 | $1.19 | 15d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 58 David St East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 211 Judith Ln East Saint Louis, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $995 | $1.48 | 4d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 111 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,350 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 124 Saint James Ln Cahokia Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 819 Mildred Ave East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,250 | $1.34 | 22d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 148 Saint James Ln East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,200 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 121 Saint Dorothy Dr Cahokia, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,500 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 500 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $950 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 502 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,400 | $1.62 | 3d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 101 E 5th St Cahokia, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $900 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 818 La Salle Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1106 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 850 Saint Bartholomew Dr Cahokia, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,285 | $1.22 | 16d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1109 Saint Helena Dr Cahokia Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,400 | $1.70 | 3d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 811 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,295 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 142 Saint Barbara Ln East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 990 | $1,300 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 526 Saint Leo Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,400 | $1.51 | 3d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1220 Williams St East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 876 | $1,500 | $1.71 | 15d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 701 Saint Paul Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,500 | $1.74 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1162 Smith St East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,295 | $1.31 | 22d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1150 Price St Cahokia, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,400 | $1.62 | 3d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1308 Saint Stephens Dr Cahokia Heights, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $875 | $1.01 | 16d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1308 Saint Stephens Dr Cahokia Heights, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $875 | $1.01 | 15d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1405 Williams St Cahokia Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-04-30$89,900 Active 865-char remark
-
2026-04-29historical $89,900 865-char remark
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2019-09-30soldstatus Closed 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
Great home situated on level lot! Home boasts covered front porch and garage! Home sold as-is.
-
2019-09-17status Pending 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
Great home situated on level lot! Home boasts covered front porch and garage! Home sold as-is.
-
2019-09-16price $9,900 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
Great home situated on level lot! Home boasts covered front porch and garage! Home sold as-is.
-
2019-09-09price $11,000 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
Great home situated on level lot! Home boasts covered front porch and garage! Home sold as-is.
-
2019-08-29status Active 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
Great home situated on level lot! Home boasts covered front porch and garage! Home sold as-is.
-
2019-07-11status Pending 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
Great home situated on level lot! Home boasts covered front porch and garage! Home sold as-is.
-
2019-07-01$16,000 Active 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
Great home situated on level lot! Home boasts covered front porch and garage! Home sold as-is.
-
2003-12-04soldstatus $54,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,639 · $137/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,840 · $153/mo
- Expected delta
- +$201/yr (+$17/mo · 12.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,326
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,639
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,146
- − Management
- −$1,146
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $2,294
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$551
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,021/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cahokia CUSD 187
- NCES district ID
- 1708040
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 5% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,028
- Composite
- 6.44/100
- National rank
- #14827
- State rank
- #864 of 919 in IL
Livability — Cahokia Heights
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cahokia Heights, IL
- County
- Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
- City population
- 19,956
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,959
- Household income
- $33,838
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 729.0
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 250,366 people
- By 2030
- 240,511 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 217,391 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 192,699 · -23.0%
- By 2075
- 140,637 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 100,499 · -59.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.26%
- Current HPI
- 131.5144
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+65.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Listed $89,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-29 Coming Soon $89,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-09-30 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-09-17 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-09-16 Price Changed $9,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-09-09 Price Changed $11,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-08-29 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-07-11 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-07-01 Listed $16,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-12-04 Sold (Public Records) $54,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2024): $1,639 · +19.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…