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103 Casey Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
D+ Composite 47.15
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,450

103 Casey Ave · Richland, WA 99352
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 609 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1944

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Oh WOW! All finished new inside! 2 bed, 1 bath Brand new flooring, texture, paint, carpet, kitchen cabinets, stainless steel appliances, counters, subway tile, pantry, washer dryer hookup, windows, bathroom vanity, tub and surround shower, fixtures! Newer water heater exterior paint, ductless heating and cooling system. Fully fenced yard with nice stick built wood shed and under ground timed sprinklers. Gorgeous large yard! A must to see!

Key facts

  • Substantial yard
  • Eat-at bar
  • Built 1944

Tags

HARD SURFACE FLOORINGSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESEAT-AT BARSEPARATE LAUNDRY CLOSETSUBSTANTIAL YARDUNDERGROUND SPRINKLERS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Home design: Single family residence, site-built on owned lot; One level / single-story; New construction
  • Construction: Built as site-built construction
  • Exterior features: Single family residential zoning; Part of PLAT OF RICHLAND subdivision

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Interior features: No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $1,450 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$239,946) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $1k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $1k).
  • Cap rate 1078.9% vs local median 2.8% in Richland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#112 in WA, #2,258 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F.
  • Richland School District (urban): math 52% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #61 of 291 in WA (top 21%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 544 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,532 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (389 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $10 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $44 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Benton County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $406 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $1,450

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
114.02%
Cap rate
1078.92%
Cash-on-cash
3830.80%
DSCR
171.45
GRM
0.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$239,946
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
600 Adams St 0.11mi 2/1.0 609 (0%) 4mo $288,500 $474 92
502 Abbot St 0.15mi 2/1.0 609 (0%) 7mo $239,950 $394 87
1010 Adams St 0.18mi 2/1.0 624 (+2%) 12mo $260,000 $417 78
901 Downing St 0.41mi 2/1.0 609 (0%) 6mo $230,000 $378 76
804 Davenport St 0.38mi 2/1.0 609 (0%) 15mo $219,900 $361 70
704 Davenport St 0.39mi 2/1.0 609 (0%) 17mo $259,900 $427 68
902 Davenport St 0.39mi 2/1.0 698 (+15%) 21mo $270,000 $387 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.6% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
198.15×
Total profit
$80,041
Equity at exit
$216
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
412.16×
Total profit
$166,931
Equity at exit
$125

Cash invested: $406 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 99352

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
544
Price-to-rent
0.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,653 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$8
Tax est. 1.5%
$2 /mo · $22/yr
Insurance
$1
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$347
Net cashflow
$1,296

Break-even live

Break-even rent $13
Max offer price $1,450
Occupancy floor 17%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$362
Closing costs
$44
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
850 Aaron Dr Richland, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0 825 $1,399 $1.70 13d 5 0.16mi
900 Aaron Dr Richland, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 824 $1,599 $1.94 13d 6 0.20mi
355 Bradley Blvd Richland, WA 2.0 1.0–2.0 725 $1,955 $2.70 13d 9 0.56mi
650 George Washington Way Richland, WA 2.0 1.0–2.0 780 $2,500 $3.20 13d 3 0.71mi
575 Columbia Point Dr Richland, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 821 $1,675 $2.04 13d 5 1.25mi
1209 George Washington Way Unit 35 Richland, WA 1.0 1.0 500 $1,025 $2.05 13d 1 1.41mi
1211 George Washington Way Unit 47 Richland, WA 1.0 1.0 700 $1,025 $1.46 21d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1,450 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1,450 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1,450 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,450 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $1,450 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,450 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $1,450 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    remarks 699-char remark
  9. 2026-06-09
    listed $1,450 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 26% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,840
− Mortgage interest
−$81
− Property taxes
−$22
− Insurance
−$7
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,587
− Management
−$1,587
− Depreciation
−$42
Taxable income
$16,513
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,963
After-tax cash flow
$11,590/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Richland School District
NCES district ID
5307320
Math proficiency
52% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
64% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$70,475
Composite
53.04/100
National rank
#3244
State rank
#61 of 291 in WA

Livability — Richland

Score
79/100
State rank
#112
US rank
#2258

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living C- Crime C+ Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Richland, WA
County
Benton County · 186,895 people
City population
62,989
Metro
Kennewick-Richland, WA
Population (ZIP)
37,430
Household income
$100,108
Rent vs Own
32.2% rent · 67.8% own
Severe rent burden
983.0

Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
219,421 people
By 2030
233,813 · +6.6%
By 2040
262,134 · +19.5%
By 2050
290,100 · +32.2%
By 2075
363,525 · +65.7%
By 2100
418,667 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 10% Asian 7% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Portuguese 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 3% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Benton

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.9) · D 37.7% · R 59.6% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: -26.1pp · 2024: -21.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.9 2020: R+21.0 2016: R+26.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+26.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -323.81%
Current HPI
217.3435
Rent YoY
▲ 1.60%
Metro
Kennewick-Richland, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-98.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $1,450 PACMLS
  • 2016-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
  • 2016-09-16 Sold (MLS) $130,000 PACMLS
  • 2016-08-01 Listed $126,000 PACMLS
  • 2013-05-09 Sold (Public Records) $84,000 Public Records
  • 2013-05-09 Sold (MLS) $84,000 PACMLS
  • 2013-03-26 Listed $84,900 PACMLS

Property tax history

+7.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,035 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…