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59249 439 Hwy
D- Composite 36.09
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.9/30.0
  • DSCR +5.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.7/15.0
  • Schools +0.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$209,900

59249 439 Hwy · Bogalusa, LA 70427
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,000 sqft · SingleFamily · 64 Days on market
Built 1979 0.89 ac lot Est $186k · 13% over ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great location with a country setting this home offers 4 bedrooms and 3 full baths. Freshly painted both inside and out along with updated counters and flooring. This one gives you plenty of space to spread out. It offers a fenced in backyard with a covered patio and a shed. It has a newer 2022 hvac and a roof approximately 10 years old. The master en-suite has a large walk-in closet and soaker tub with separate shower. The master also has a door that leads out to the back patio.

Key facts

  • Walk-in closet
  • Fenced in backyard
  • Covered patio

Tags

FENCED IN BACKYARDCOVERED PATIONEWER HVACWALK-IN CLOSETSOAKER TUBSEPARATE SHOWER

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Single-family detached residence; Single-story
  • Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 200 x 200; Approximately 0.89 acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Dishwasher
  • Flooring: Tile; Ceramic tile; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Electric cooktop; Dishwasher

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $139 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (13.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $181k (13.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#273 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • City Of Bogalusa School District (town): math 4% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #96 of 98 in LA (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 87% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Bogalusa High School (math 3% / reading 17%, grade F, #239 of 265 statewide, top 91%, 705 students, 74% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 88 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Washington Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Washington County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $180,630 (13.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
7.09%
Cash-on-cash
2.83%
DSCR
1.13
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$186,000
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
59249 439 Hwy 0.00mi 4/3.0 2,000 (0%) 1mo $209,900 $105 99
59256 Adams Rd 0.09mi 4/3.0 2,037 (+2%) 19mo $230,000 $113 77
59241 Adams Rd 0.17mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,147 (+7%) 16mo $200,000 $93 62
58522 Hwy 439 Hwy 0.51mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,094 (+5%) 4mo $140,000 $67 58
17716 Mcgehee Rd 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,260 (+13%) 13mo $190,000 $84 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.9%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-25,259
Equity at exit
$31,297
10-year hold
IRR
-2.8%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-10,923
Equity at exit
$18,148

Cash invested: $58,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70427

Home prices YoY
-17.8%
Active inventory
88
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,806 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$100 /mo · $1,202/yr
Insurance
$87
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$379
Net cashflow
$139

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,631
Max offer price $209,900
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $257 -5% $198 +0% $139 +5% $79 +10% $20
Rent -10% $-4 -5% $67 +0% $139 +5% $210 +10% $281
Rate -1.0pp $244 -0.5pp $192 base $139 +0.5pp $84 +1.0pp $29

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,475
Closing costs
$6,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    soldstatus Sold 484-char remark
    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    Great location with a country setting this home offers 4 bedrooms and 3 full baths. Freshly painted both inside and out along with updated counters and flooring. This one gives you plenty of space to spread out. It offers a fenced in backyard with a covered patio and a shed. It has a newer 2022 hvac and a roof approximately 10 years old. The master en-suite has a large walk-in closet and soaker tub with separate shower. The master also has a door that leads out to the back patio.

  2. 2026-05-22
    soldstatus Closed
    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    Great location with a country setting this home offers 4 bedrooms and 3 full baths. Freshly painted both inside and out along with updated counters and flooring. This one gives you plenty of space to spread out. It offers a fenced in backyard with a covered patio and a shed. It has a newer 2022 hvac and a roof approximately 10 years old. The master en-suite has a large walk-in closet and soaker tub with separate shower. The master also has a door that leads out to the back patio.

  3. 2026-04-29
    status Pending 484-char remark
    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    Great location with a country setting this home offers 4 bedrooms and 3 full baths. Freshly painted both inside and out along with updated counters and flooring. This one gives you plenty of space to spread out. It offers a fenced in backyard with a covered patio and a shed. It has a newer 2022 hvac and a roof approximately 10 years old. The master en-suite has a large walk-in closet and soaker tub with separate shower. The master also has a door that leads out to the back patio.

  4. 2026-04-29
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    Great location with a country setting this home offers 4 bedrooms and 3 full baths. Freshly painted both inside and out along with updated counters and flooring. This one gives you plenty of space to spread out. It offers a fenced in backyard with a covered patio and a shed. It has a newer 2022 hvac and a roof approximately 10 years old. The master en-suite has a large walk-in closet and soaker tub with separate shower. The master also has a door that leads out to the back patio.

  5. 2026-03-25
    price $209,900 484-char remark
    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    Great location with a country setting this home offers 4 bedrooms and 3 full baths. Freshly painted both inside and out along with updated counters and flooring. This one gives you plenty of space to spread out. It offers a fenced in backyard with a covered patio and a shed. It has a newer 2022 hvac and a roof approximately 10 years old. The master en-suite has a large walk-in closet and soaker tub with separate shower. The master also has a door that leads out to the back patio.

  6. 2026-03-25
    price $209,900
    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    Great location with a country setting this home offers 4 bedrooms and 3 full baths. Freshly painted both inside and out along with updated counters and flooring. This one gives you plenty of space to spread out. It offers a fenced in backyard with a covered patio and a shed. It has a newer 2022 hvac and a roof approximately 10 years old. The master en-suite has a large walk-in closet and soaker tub with separate shower. The master also has a door that leads out to the back patio.

  7. 2026-02-22
    listed $229,000 Active 484-char remark
    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    Great location with a country setting this home offers 4 bedrooms and 3 full baths. Freshly painted both inside and out along with updated counters and flooring. This one gives you plenty of space to spread out. It offers a fenced in backyard with a covered patio and a shed. It has a newer 2022 hvac and a roof approximately 10 years old. The master en-suite has a large walk-in closet and soaker tub with separate shower. The master also has a door that leads out to the back patio.

  8. 2026-02-22
    listed $229,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    Great location with a country setting this home offers 4 bedrooms and 3 full baths. Freshly painted both inside and out along with updated counters and flooring. This one gives you plenty of space to spread out. It offers a fenced in backyard with a covered patio and a shed. It has a newer 2022 hvac and a roof approximately 10 years old. The master en-suite has a large walk-in closet and soaker tub with separate shower. The master also has a door that leads out to the back patio.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,202 · $100/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,202 · $100/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,676
− Mortgage interest
−$11,758
− Property taxes
−$1,202
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,734
− Management
−$1,734
− Depreciation
−$6,106
Taxable loss
−$1,908
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$458
After-tax cash flow
$2,121/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
City Of Bogalusa School District
NCES district ID
2200240
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -30.00%
Reading proficiency
14% ▼ -36.00%
Median HH income
$26,185
Composite
6.48/100
National rank
#9994
State rank
#96 of 98 in LA

Livability — Bogalusa

Score
59/100
State rank
#273
US rank
#19955

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
17,564

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,642 people
By 2030
43,302 · -3.0%
By 2040
40,345 · -9.6%
By 2050
37,434 · -16.1%
By 2075
29,954 · -32.9%
By 2100
21,579 · -51.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.3) · D 29.3% · R 69.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-7.6pp toward R · 2008: -32.7pp · 2024: -40.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.3 2020: R+37.6 2016: R+36.8 2012: R+28.3 2008: R+32.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -24.26%
Current HPI
112.358
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Sold (MLS) GBRMLS
  • 2026-05-22 Sold (MLS) AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Pending AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Pending GBRMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $209,900 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $209,900 GBRMLS
  • 2026-02-22 Listed $229,000 GBRMLS
  • 2026-02-22 Listed $229,000 AcadianaMLS

Property tax history

-0.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,202 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…