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15657 Brookridge Blvd Unit 4
D- Composite 37.06
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +5.3/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,500

15657 Brookridge Blvd Unit 4 · Brookridge, FL 34613
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,288 sqft · Manufactured · 122 Days on market
Built 1980 7,366 sqft lot Est $171k · at est. $55/mo HOA · 3% of rent ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

1980 2 bedroom 2 full bath home. Beautiful well maintained home with a nice open floor, and lots of upgrades. A/C is 2023, roof replaced in 2018, beautiful laminate floors. Nice master bedroom with walk in closet, nice stall shower and washer and dyer in the bathroom. Home is in a nice location on a corner lot in Brookridge Community where you own your own land. Nice porch one one side of home where half the porch is 4 season and one half is screened. Come enjoy these great retirement community in style !!

Key facts

  • A/c 2023
  • Laminate floors
  • Washer and dryer

Tags

A/C 2023ROOF REPLACED 2018LAMINATE FLOORSWALK IN CLOSETSTALL SHOWERWASHER AND DRYER

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Accessible features throughout (entrance, closets, doors, common areas, central living area, hallway(s), kitchen, kitchen appliances); Directions: Turn right on Brookridge Blvd, go 2 miles; house is on the left
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with $55 monthly fee (includes security); Association amenities: clubhouse, fitness center, golf course, sauna, shuffleboard court, security, tennis courts, pool; Gated community; Street lights; Senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space)
  • Security: 24-hour security; Gated with guard; Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 150 amp electric service; Cable available; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); Updated/remodeled; One story; Property is attached; Corner lot with few trees; Private maintained road/access (asphalt); Private road frontage; Residential zoning (R1-MH)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Porch (screened); Shed(s); Workshop; Other exterior features; Fenced (other)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Double oven; Electric oven; Dishwasher; Ice maker; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Accessible bedroom
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Accessible full bath
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Heat pump; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island; Open floorplan; Pantry; Walk-in closet(s)
  • Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry; Washer; Accessible washer/dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-50 ($-605/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $172k (4.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $158k (12.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $158k (12.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#421 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
  • Hernando (suburban): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #38 of 73 in FL (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Pine Grove Elementary School (math 60% / reading 45%, grade C-, #976 of 2,144 statewide, top 46%, 991 students, 60% FRL); West Hernando Middle School (math 36% / reading 37%, grade F, #405 of 571 statewide, top 72%, 695 students, 58% FRL); Central High School (math 34% / reading 44%, grade F, #312 of 667 statewide, top 48%, 1,426 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools at 57% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 691 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,505 units permitted in Hernando County in 2024 (318 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hernando County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $157,605 (12.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
5.96%
Cash-on-cash
-1.20%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$171,304
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9847 Scepter Ave 0.10mi 2/2.0 1,248 (-3%) 0mo $154,000 $123 90
9847 Scepter Ave 0.10mi 2/2.0 1,248 (-3%) 0mo $154,000 $123 90
15682 Brookridge Blvd 0.08mi 2/2.0 1,104 (-14%) 0mo $144,000 $130 72
9155 Fontaine Dr 0.55mi 2/2.0 1,296 (+1%) 2mo $172,200 $133 72
14311 Action St 0.32mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,369 (+6%) 1mo $230,000 $168 69
8271 Modena Ave 0.61mi 2/2.0 1,265 (-2%) 0mo $107,000 $85 68
14986 Rialto Ave 0.39mi 2/2.0 1,188 (-8%) 2mo $185,000 $156 67
9259 Salvini Dr 0.31mi 2/2.0 1,152 (-11%) 1mo $165,000 $143 67
14298 Action St 0.33mi 2/2.0 1,448 (+12%) 2mo $210,000 $145 62
14883 Rialto Ave 0.50mi 2/2.0 1,144 (-11%) 0mo $148,000 $129 58
8223 Fortune Hunter Dr 0.73mi 2/2.0 1,176 (-9%) 1mo $100,000 $85 51
16229 Brookridge Blvd 0.73mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,380 (+7%) 0mo $215,000 $156 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.2%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-32,239
Equity at exit
$26,764
10-year hold
IRR
-10.5%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-31,973
Equity at exit
$15,520

Cash invested: $50,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34613

Home prices YoY
-17.2%
Active inventory
691
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,576 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$941
Tax est. 1.5%
$224 /mo · $2,692/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$55
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$331
Net cashflow
$-50

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,640
Max offer price $172,206
Occupancy floor 98%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,875
Closing costs
$5,385
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9919 Scepter Ave Brooksville, FL 3.0 2.0 1188 $1,250 $1.05 4d 1 0.12mi
8871 Southern Charm Cir Brooksville, FL 3.0 2.0 1482 $2,050 $1.38 24d 1 0.57mi
8917 Southern Charm Cir Brooksville, FL 3.0 2.0 1437 $1,695 $1.18 3d 1 0.58mi
8761 Fetterbush Ct Brooksville, FL 3.0 2.0 1730 $1,850 $1.07 24d 1 0.60mi
8407 Weatherford Ave Brooksville, FL 2.0 2.0 1104 $1,500 $1.36 17d 1 0.65mi
9289 Scepter Ave Brooksville, FL 3.0 2.0 1512 $1,400 $0.93 4d 1 0.80mi
9356 Southern Charm Cir Brooksville, FL 3.0 2.0 1621 $1,800 $1.11 24d 1 0.86mi
14131 Lemon Yellow Tree Ln Brooksville, FL 3.0 2.0 1840 $1,979 $1.08 4d 1 0.89mi
14342 Starcross St Brooksville, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,025 $1.14 21d 1 1.04mi
14697 Brookridge Blvd Brooksville, FL 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,350 $1.28 24d 1 1.33mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$55 · $660/yr

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $179,500 Active 122 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $179,500 Active 121 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $179,500 Active 120 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $179,500 Active 119 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $179,500 Active 117 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $179,500 Active 116 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $179,500 Active 113 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $179,500 Active 112 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $179,500 Active 111 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $179,500 Active 108 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,500 Active 107 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,500 Active 106 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,500 Active 105 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,500 Active 104 DOM
  15. 2026-05-01
    price $179,500
  16. 2026-03-20
    price $187,000
  17. 2026-02-16
    listed $189,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,913
− Mortgage interest
−$10,055
− Property taxes
−$2,692
− Insurance
−$898
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,513
− Management
−$1,513
− HOA
−$660
− Depreciation
−$5,222
Taxable loss
−$3,640
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$874
After-tax cash flow
$269/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hernando
NCES district ID
1200810
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,985
Composite
42.03/100
National rank
#3329
State rank
#38 of 73 in FL

Livability — Brookridge

Score
70/100
State rank
#421
US rank
#7529

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Brookridge, FL
County
Hernando County · 169,677 people
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
19,337
Household income
$58,596
Rent vs Own
9.2% rent · 90.8% own
Severe rent burden
307.0

Population outlook (Hernando County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
189,218 people
By 2030
194,367 · +2.7%
By 2040
203,398 · +7.5%
By 2050
209,589 · +10.8%
By 2075
218,452 · +15.4%
By 2100
205,923 · +8.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hernando

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.0) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
2008→2024 swing
-33.5pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -37.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.0 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+29.0 2012: R+8.5 2008: R+3.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -57.51%
Current HPI
276.2229
Rent YoY
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $179,500 HCAR
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $187,000 HCAR
  • 2026-02-16 Listed $189,000 HCAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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