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285 W Main St
C Composite 57.78
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.1/10.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$95,000

285 W Main St · Gouverneur, NY 13642
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,232 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 150 Days on market
Built 1920 5,450 sqft lot Est $71k · 33% over ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Price reduced on this beautiful Craftsman style home, dating back to around 1920, offers a blend of classic architectural features and modern updates. Throughout the years, it has been carefully maintained to preserve its original charm while accommodating contemporary living. Step inside to discover a welcoming open oak stairway that sets the tone for the home's warm and inviting atmosphere. The residence boasts hardwood floors that extend throughout the main living spaces, adding both elegance and durability. A brick fireplace serves as a central focal point, providing both comfort and a touch of historic character. The property includes a spacious 14x24 garage equipped with a generator h

Key facts

  • Craftsman style home
  • Brick fireplace
  • Open oak stairway

Tags

CRAFTSMAN STYLE HOMEOPEN OAK STAIRWAYHARDWOOD FLOORSBRICK FIREPLACEGENERATOR HOOKUPPAVED DRIVEWAY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $136 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#605 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Gouverneur Central School District (town): math 23% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #582 of 590 in NY (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
  • St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $83,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
8.71%
Cash-on-cash
8.65%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$71,456
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
332 W Main St 0.11mi 3/1.5 1,254 (+2%) 17mo $45,000 $36 76
183 189 Main Street Hailesboro Rd 0.22mi 3/1.5 1,288 (+4%) 10mo $205,700 $160 72
133 Main St Hailesboro Rd 0.35mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,205 (-2%) 5mo $28,500 $24 71
13 Smith St 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,360 (+10%) 6mo $79,500 $58 70
60 Mckean St & 71 Johnstown St 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,236 (+0%) 21mo $115,000 $93 70
51 Johnstown St 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,222 (-1%) 21mo $156,000 $128 65
68 W Barney St 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,310 (+6%) 15mo $68,000 $52 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.25% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.0%
Equity multiple
2.41×
Total profit
$37,590
Equity at exit
$61,234
10-year hold
IRR
20.0%
Equity multiple
4.89×
Total profit
$103,565
Equity at exit
$112,376

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13642

Home prices YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
62
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,114 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$151 /mo · $1,808/yr
Insurance
$40
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$234
Net cashflow
$136

Break-even live

Break-even rent $942
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
500 Sleepy Hollow Rd Gouverneur, NY 3.0 2.0 1499 $1,114 $0.74 44d 3 1.13mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-20
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-26
    price $95,000
  3. 2026-02-19
    price $99,500
  4. 2025-11-21
    listed $115,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,808 · $151/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,808 · $151/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,368
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$1,808
− Insurance
−$1,142
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,069
− Management
−$1,069
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$195
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$47
After-tax cash flow
$1,586/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gouverneur Central School District
NCES district ID
3612360
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 8.00%
Median HH income
$41,217
Composite
24.08/100
National rank
#7757
State rank
#582 of 590 in NY

Livability — Gouverneur

Score
67/100
State rank
#605
US rank
#10956

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gouverneur, NY
Population (ZIP)
9,018

Population outlook (St. Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
110,027 people
By 2030
107,455 · -2.3%
By 2040
100,492 · -8.7%
By 2050
94,254 · -14.3%
By 2075
80,175 · -27.1%
By 2100
63,140 · -42.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Slovak 4% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Lawrence

2024 margin
R (+18.0) · D 41.0% · R 59.0%
2008→2024 swing
-34.3pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -18.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.0 2020: R+11.7 2016: R+10.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.25%
Current HPI
349.6603
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-17.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Pending SLCMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Price Changed $95,000 SLCMLS
  • 2026-02-19 Price Changed $99,500 SLCMLS
  • 2025-11-21 Listed $115,000 SLCMLS

Property tax history

+6.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,808 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…