185 Toomey Ln · Madisonville, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
100% Financing is available! This well maintained manufactured home has very unique wood and stone work throughout. This three bedroom, two full bath would make a great starter home for anyone! Split bedroom plan, and large garden tub in the master. The back deck has a great view of a neighboring field. This property also includes several outbuildings with electrical hookup that come with the property. Call me for your private viewing!
Key facts
- Unique stonework
- Two storage sheds
- 0.53 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking on main level
- Utilities: Septic tank (perc test on file)
- Home design: Detached property; 1,512 building area (per tax records)
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block and frame construction; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Corner, level lot with country setting; Storage building; Workshop
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Ceiling fan cooling
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Total of 4 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $159k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $399 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $159k).
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 2.9% in Madisonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#188 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, amenities F.
- Monroe County (rural): math 20% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #106 of 139 in TN (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Madisonville Primary (563 students, 0% FRL); Madisonville Middle School (math 15% / reading 20%, grade F, #215 of 333 statewide, top 65%, 428 students, 0% FRL); Sequoyah High School (math 20% / reading 32%, grade F, #117 of 332 statewide, top 37%, 806 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 57% district-wide (57 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 166 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 157 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $110k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.75%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $240,408
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 314 Warren St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (+4%) | 3mo | $199,000 | $127 | 78 |
| 208 Community Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (+4%) | 12mo | $250,000 | $159 | 67 |
| 248 Community Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (+4%) | 2mo | $285,000 | $182 | 59 |
| 216 Community Dr | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,568 (+4%) | 23mo | $237,500 | $151 | 52 |
| 536 Toomey Ln | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,493 (-1%) | 23mo | $268,400 | $180 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-331
- Equity at exit
- $23,707
- IRR
- 9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.73×
- Total profit
- $32,541
- Equity at exit
- $13,747
Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37354
- Home prices YoY
- -20.5%
- Active inventory
- 166
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,896 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$834
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$199 /mo · $2,385/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$398
- Net cashflow
- $399
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $509 | -5% $454 | +0% $399 | +5% $344 | +10% $289 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $249 | -5% $324 | +0% $399 | +5% $474 | +10% $549 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $479 | -0.5pp $439 | base $399 | +0.5pp $358 | +1.0pp $316 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,750
- Closing costs
- $4,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 508 3rd St Madisonville, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,450 | $0.81 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 118 Bradley Dr Madisonville, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $2,000 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 188 Park Ave Madisonville, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $2,300 | $1.61 | 15d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $159,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $159,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 556-char remark
-
2026-06-09$159,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,750
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,906
- − Property taxes
- −$2,385
- − Insurance
- −$795
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,820
- − Management
- −$1,820
- − Depreciation
- −$4,625
- Taxable income
- $2,398
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$576
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,211/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Monroe County
- NCES district ID
- 4703000
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,701
- Composite
- 18.29/100
- National rank
- #8956
- State rank
- #106 of 139 in TN
Livability — Madisonville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #188
- US rank
- #15127
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,421
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 47,571 people
- By 2030
- 48,155 · +1.2%
- By 2040
- 48,772 · +2.5%
- By 2050
- 48,698 · +2.4%
- By 2075
- 48,558 · +2.1%
- By 2100
- 47,543 · -0.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+66.8) · D 16.2% · R 83.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.5pp toward R · 2008: -38.3pp · 2024: -66.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+66.8 2020: R+62.6 2016: R+59.7 2012: R+45.0 2008: R+38.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -69.48%
- Current HPI
- 268.822
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
||
| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
+153.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $159,000 Knoxville MLS
- 2021-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2021-03-12 Sold (MLS) $110,000 Knoxville MLS
- 2021-02-13 Contingent — Knoxville MLS
- 2021-01-16 Price Changed $125,000 Knoxville MLS
- 2021-01-15 Listed $119,000 Knoxville MLS
- 2000-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $62,730 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $302 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…