Triplex
2650 E Carson · Carson, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.9/30.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$899,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Investor opportunity in Carson! This tenant-occupied triplex consists of three residential units commonly known as 2650, 2650.5, and 2652 E. Carson Street. The property features two 1-bedroom, 1-bath units and one 2-bedroom, 1-bath unit, offering a desirable unit mix with strong long-term upside potential. The property includes three garage spaces, a single-story layout, and separately metered tenant-paid utilities. One unit has undergone prior renovations, including flooring, paint, plumbing, electrical, and other interior improvements. Conveniently located near major freeways, Long Beach, South Bay employment centers, shopping, dining, and public transportation. Ideal for investors seekin
Key facts
- Single story layout
- 6,944 sq ft lot
- 3 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Gross scheduled income / Gross income: $60,743; Net operating income: $60,743; Total expenses: $15,353 (including $2,000 insurance and $4,492 taxes); Rent control applies; Tenant pays all utilities; Unit rents: one unit at $1,189; one unit at $1,674; one unit at $2,199
- HOA & community: Community features include curbs, street lighting, sidewalks, urban/suburban setting
Exterior
- Parking: Total of 3 parking spaces; Each unit includes 1 garage space (3 garage spaces total)
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water; Three separate water meters; Three separate gas meters; Three separate electric meters
- Home design: Multi-unit building (1 building, 3 total units); One-story
- Construction: Year built from assessor data
- Exterior features: No pool; Front yard and back yard; Level with street; Yard; Overhead utilities
Interior
- Kitchen: All three units include a range; All three units include a refrigerator; All three units include a dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Three separate units: two 1-bedroom units and one 2-bedroom unit
- Flooring: Two units with carpet
- Bathrooms: Two units with 1 bathroom each, one unit with 2 bathrooms
- Interior features: Entry on Evonda St; Single-story property; Attached property; 2+ shared/common walls
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside (on-site)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 4-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $899k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $417/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $850k (5.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $850k (5.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.2% in Carson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#309 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $8,501/mo this rent would consume 121% of the median local household income ($84k/yr) (locally 1007% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $27k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($886k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $899k implies a 4759% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.97%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $728,229
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 W Cameron St | 0.53mi | 4/3.0 | 2,038 (+10%) | 13mo | $800,000 | $393 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-66,247
- Equity at exit
- $134,044
- IRR
- 2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $43,670
- Equity at exit
- $77,729
Cash invested: $251,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 90810
- Active inventory
- 34
- Price-to-rent
- 26.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $8,501 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,714
- Tax from tax record
- −$374 /mo · $4,493/yr
- Insurance
- −$375
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,785
- Net cashflow
- $1,252
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 4 | 4 | $8,502 |
| #1 | 4 | 4 | $2,834 |
| #2 | 4 | 4 | $2,834 |
| #3 | 4 | 4 | $2,834 |
| Total (3 units) | $8,501 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $224,750
- Closing costs
- $26,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2672 E Washington St Long Beach, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $3,600 | $2.77 | 24d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 2763 E 218th Pl Long Beach, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1826 | $4,200 | $2.30 | 17d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1325 W 34th St Long Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $3,995 | $2.62 | 43d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 4120 Del Mar Ave Long Beach, CA | 4.0 | 6.0 | 2388 | $4,300 | $1.80 | 2d | 1 | 1.10mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $899,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $899,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $949,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $949,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $949,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $949,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $949,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $949,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $949,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $949,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $949,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-02$949,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,493 · $374/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,832 · $569/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,339/yr (+$195/mo · 52.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $102,012
- − Mortgage interest
- −$50,358
- − Property taxes
- −$4,493
- − Insurance
- −$4,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$8,161
- − Management
- −$8,161
- − Depreciation
- −$26,153
- Taxable income
- $191
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$46
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,982/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Los Angeles Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0622710
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,403
- Composite
- 35.67/100
- National rank
- #4875
- State rank
- #223 of 517 in CA
Livability — Carson
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #309
- US rank
- #10410
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Carson, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 57,397
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,833
- Household income
- $84,350
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1007.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 55% Asian 26% Two or more races 13% Black 7% White 6% Pacific Islander 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 47%
- Foreign-born
- 37% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 37% English-only · Spanish 43% Tagalog/Filipino 14% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -617.80%
- Current HPI
- 468.5989
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+5029.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $949,000 CRMLS
- 1978-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $4,493 · +28.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…