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8945 Minne Wanna Rd
D+ Composite 46.1
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$14,000

8945 Minne Wanna Rd · Auburn Hills, MI 48348
2 bd · 3.5 ba · 2,982 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 40 Days on market
Built 1987

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

WOODED WONDERLAND SURROUNDS THIS EXPANSIVE HOME W/ QUALITY BUILDING & PERKS/UPDATES. . 2ND FLOOR LAUNDRY, PRIVATE OFFICE OFF MASTER BEDROOM, MASTER W/ IN CLOSET WITH DUAL ACCESS TO BDROOM & BTHROOM. FULL WALL HEARTH IN FIN. W/ O BASEMENT EMANATES HEAT THRU OUT. NEW CARPET, INTERIOR PAINT, DUAL SINKS IN BATHROOMS, MORE SPACIOUS THEN THE SQ. FT. SHOWS. W/ O NOT INCLUDED IN SQ. FT TOTAL. VIEW DOC'S FOR DETAILS. 5 DAYS TO NEGOTIATOR, 45 DAYS TO CLOSE (PER BANK!)

Key facts

  • Roof resealed
  • Remodeled kitchen
  • Swimming pool

Tags

FRESHLY REPAINTED EXTERIORROOF RESEALEDREMODELED KITCHENUPDATED BATHROOMEXTENDED DRIVEWAYSWIMMING POOL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $14k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $14k).
  • Recommended offer: $14k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 109.1% vs local median 3.7% in Auburn Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#151 in MI, #3,766 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D, amenities F.
  • Clarkston Community School District (suburban): math 48% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #69 of 540 in MI (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 155 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($129k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $97 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $420 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($14k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $13,580 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
11.72%
Cap rate
109.12%
Cash-on-cash
367.24%
DSCR
17.34
GRM
0.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$417,480
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5005 Mohawk Ave 0.20mi 3/2.5 (+1) 2,821 (-5%) 12mo $395,000 $140 63
4931 Huron Dr 0.14mi 3/2.0 (+1) 2,611 (-12%) 1mo $375,000 $144 61
4995 Mohawk Ave 0.18mi 3/1.0 (+1) 2,828 (-5%) 8mo $120,000 $42 61
8673 Mohican Dr Dr 0.32mi 3/2.5 (+1) 2,965 (-1%) 22mo $458,000 $154 56
5108 O AW Wen SA Dr 0.30mi 3/2.5 (+1) 2,777 (-7%) 23mo $372,000 $134 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
19.92×
Total profit
$74,163
Equity at exit
$2,087
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
42.60×
Total profit
$163,066
Equity at exit
$1,210

Cash invested: $3,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48348

Active inventory
155
Price-to-rent
0.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,641 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$73
Tax est. 1.5%
$18 /mo · $210/yr
Insurance
$6
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$345
Net cashflow
$1,200

Break-even live

Break-even rent $122
Max offer price $14,000
Occupancy floor 22%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,209 -5% $1,204 +0% $1,200 +5% $1,195 +10% $1,190
Rent -10% $1,070 -5% $1,135 +0% $1,200 +5% $1,264 +10% $1,329
Rate -1.0pp $1,207 -0.5pp $1,203 base $1,200 +0.5pp $1,196 +1.0pp $1,192

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$3,500
Closing costs
$420
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $14,000 Active 40 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $14,000 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $14,000 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $14,000 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $14,000 Active 34 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $14,000 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $14,000 Active 28 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $14,000 Active 27 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $14,000 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $14,000 Active 23 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $14,000 Active 22 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $14,000 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $14,000 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $14,000 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-05-12
    listed $14,000 Active 1162-char remark
  16. 2010-03-25
    soldstatus $155,000
  17. 2010-02-25
    soldstatus $155,000 474-char remark
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    WOODED WONDERLAND SURROUNDS THIS EXPANSIVE HOME W/ QUALITY BUILDING & PERKS/UPDATES. . 2ND FLOOR LAUNDRY, PRIVATE OFFICE OFF MASTER BEDROOM, MASTER W/ IN CLOSET WITH DUAL ACCESS TO BDROOM & BTHROOM. FULL WALL HEARTH IN FIN. W/ O BASEMENT EMANATES HEAT THRU OUT. NEW CARPET, INTERIOR PAINT, DUAL SINKS IN BATHROOMS, MORE SPACIOUS THEN THE SQ. FT. SHOWS. W/ O NOT INCLUDED IN SQ. FT TOTAL. VIEW DOC'S FOR DETAILS. 5 DAYS TO NEGOTIATOR, 45 DAYS TO CLOSE (PER BANK!)

  18. 2009-11-02
    historical
  19. 2008-12-08
    listed $189,900 474-char remark
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    WOODED WONDERLAND SURROUNDS THIS EXPANSIVE HOME W/ QUALITY BUILDING & PERKS/UPDATES. . 2ND FLOOR LAUNDRY, PRIVATE OFFICE OFF MASTER BEDROOM, MASTER W/ IN CLOSET WITH DUAL ACCESS TO BDROOM & BTHROOM. FULL WALL HEARTH IN FIN. W/ O BASEMENT EMANATES HEAT THRU OUT. NEW CARPET, INTERIOR PAINT, DUAL SINKS IN BATHROOMS, MORE SPACIOUS THEN THE SQ. FT. SHOWS. W/ O NOT INCLUDED IN SQ. FT TOTAL. VIEW DOC'S FOR DETAILS. 5 DAYS TO NEGOTIATOR, 45 DAYS TO CLOSE (PER BANK!)

  20. 2008-12-08
    listed $189,900
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    WOODED WONDERLAND SURROUNDS THIS EXPANSIVE HOME W/ QUALITY BUILDING & PERKS/UPDATES. . 2ND FLOOR LAUNDRY, PRIVATE OFFICE OFF MASTER BEDROOM, MASTER W/ IN CLOSET WITH DUAL ACCESS TO BDROOM & BTHROOM. FULL WALL HEARTH IN FIN. W/ O BASEMENT EMANATES HEAT THRU OUT. NEW CARPET, INTERIOR PAINT, DUAL SINKS IN BATHROOMS, MORE SPACIOUS THEN THE SQ. FT. SHOWS. W/ O NOT INCLUDED IN SQ. FT TOTAL. VIEW DOC'S FOR DETAILS. 5 DAYS TO NEGOTIATOR, 45 DAYS TO CLOSE (PER BANK!)

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 27% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,692
− Mortgage interest
−$784
− Property taxes
−$210
− Insurance
−$70
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,575
− Management
−$1,575
− Depreciation
−$407
Taxable income
$15,070
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,617
After-tax cash flow
$10,779/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clarkston Community School District
NCES district ID
2609900
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$79,317
Composite
48.04/100
National rank
#2193
State rank
#69 of 540 in MI

Livability — Auburn Hills

Score
76/100
State rank
#151
US rank
#3766

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
City population
24,514
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
24,574
Household income
$129,410
Rent vs Own
8.1% rent · 91.9% own
Severe rent burden
212.0

Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,335,747 people
By 2030
1,375,100 · +2.9%
By 2040
1,435,385 · +7.5%
By 2050
1,469,250 · +10.0%
By 2075
1,531,946 · +14.7%
By 2100
1,450,485 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oakland

2024 margin
D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -275.65%
Current HPI
196.4302
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-92.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $14,000 FSBO.com
  • 2010-03-25 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
  • 2010-02-25 Sold (MLS) $155,000 REALCOMP
  • 2009-11-02 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-12-08 Listed $189,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-12-08 Listed $189,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,443 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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