4240 Delaware St · Gary, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Appreciation +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.5/10.0
$29,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious 4 bedroom Cap Cod. Large living room. Extra large lot. REALLY LOW taxes. Don't miss this one!
Key facts
- Built 1965
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $29k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $29k).
- Cap rate 51.0% vs local median 9.1% in Gary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 75 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $200 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $870 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 50.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 159.50%
- DSCR
- 8.10
- GRM
- 1.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $155,040
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4471 Massachusetts St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,686 (+3%) | 1mo | $131,000 | $78 | 72 |
| 132 W 43rd Ave | 0.35mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,728 (+6%) | 0mo | $210,000 | $122 | 67 |
| 3836 Delaware St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,652 (+1%) | 3mo | $149,900 | $91 | 65 |
| 4327 Vermont Ct | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,567 (-4%) | 1mo | $123,600 | $79 | 64 |
| 4688 Delaware St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,561 (-4%) | 0mo | $168,000 | $108 | 59 |
| 4265 Van Buren St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,598 (-2%) | 3mo | $155,500 | $97 | 57 |
| 3789 Rhode Island St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,588 (-3%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $88 | 56 |
| 4356 Pennsylvania St | 0.16mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,870 (+15%) | 2mo | $174,900 | $94 | 56 |
| 3655 Connecticut St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,600 (-2%) | 2mo | $174,000 | $109 | 53 |
| 3905 Madison St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,728 (+6%) | 1mo | $81,500 | $47 | 53 |
| 4044 Louisiana St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,776 (+9%) | 2mo | $169,000 | $95 | 45 |
| 345 W 47th Ave | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,459 (-11%) | 2mo | $166,000 | $114 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.85% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 9.26×
- Total profit
- $67,099
- Equity at exit
- $4,324
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 20.70×
- Total profit
- $159,975
- Equity at exit
- $2,507
Cash invested: $8,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46409
- Home prices YoY
- -2.0%
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 75
- Price-to-rent
- 1.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,605 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$152
- Tax from tax record
- −$24 /mo · $293/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$337
- Net cashflow
- $1,079
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,250
- Closing costs
- $870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4430 Broadway Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 1d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 4416 Vermont Ct Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1162 | $1,350 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 4330 Kentucky St Gary, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2178 | $1,930 | $0.89 | 1d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 4009 Kentucky St Gary, IN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1307 | $1,595 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 4208 Jackson St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1411 | $1,350 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 4772 Jefferson St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1956 | $1,595 | $0.82 | 18d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4748 Monroe St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1074 | $1,695 | $1.58 | 1d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4854 Jefferson St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2116 | $1,395 | $0.66 | 10d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 4854 Jefferson St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2116 | $1,395 | $0.66 | 1d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 4767 Harrison St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1664 | $1,500 | $0.90 | 1d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 5026 Kentucky St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 6d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3612 Van Buren St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1534 | $1,600 | $1.04 | 1d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3395 Pennsylvania St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,495 | $1.15 | 1d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3788 Lincoln St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1398 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 10d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3820 Colbourne St Hobart, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1209 | $1,695 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 505 W 53rd Ave Merrillville, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $1,650 | $1.00 | 1d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 505 W 53rd Ave Unit 1 Merrillville, IN | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1900 | $1,650 | $0.87 | 1d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 3852 Sandusky St Hobart, IN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1209 | $1,800 | $1.49 | 16d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 3449 Buchanan St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1301 | $1,395 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-26$29,000 Active
-
2007-04-30historical
-
2007-03-28$75,000 102-char remark
Show marketing remark (102 chars)
Spacious 4 bedroom Cap Cod. Large living room. Extra large lot. REALLY LOW taxes. Don't miss this one!
-
2007-01-06historical
-
2006-09-06$65,000
-
2006-03-11$65,000
-
2002-04-23historical
-
2001-10-24$40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $293 · $24/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $293 · $24/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,259
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,624
- − Property taxes
- −$293
- − Insurance
- −$145
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,541
- − Management
- −$1,541
- − Depreciation
- −$844
- Taxable income
- $13,271
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,185
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,766/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gary Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803870
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 11% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,739
- Composite
- 4.98/100
- National rank
- #10039
- State rank
- #299 of 301 in IN
Livability — Gary
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #105
- US rank
- #5592
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gary, IN
- County
- Lake County · 422,878 people
- City population
- 63,701
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,184
- Household income
- $44,667
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 516.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 68% Two or more races 17% Hispanic / Latino 14% White 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -3.91%
- Current HPI
- 190.6724
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.85%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
-27.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $29,000 FSBO.com
- 2007-04-30 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-03-28 Listed $75,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-01-06 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-09-06 Listed $65,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-03-11 Listed $65,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-04-23 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-10-24 Listed $40,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-21.1%/yrLatest (2024): $293 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…