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1608 Lucile Ave Duplex
C- Composite 50.57
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,000

1608 Lucile Ave · Wichita Falls, TX 76301
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,915 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 200 Days on market
Built 1914 9,017 sqft lot $110/sqft · 130% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Recent renovation to include roof shingles, flooring, windows, and paint.

Key facts

  • Brand-new flooring
  • Upgraded finishes
  • Full renovation

Tags

FULL RENOVATIONBRAND-NEW FLOORINGFRESH INTERIOR PAINTUPDATED CABINETRYSLEEK COUNTERTOPSUPGRADED FINISHES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $256 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $128/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (7.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $185k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.7% in Wichita Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#437 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools D.
  • Wichita Falls ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #585 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 231 units permitted in Wichita County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,954/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 577% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wichita County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 200 days — a 12% lower offer ($185k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 93% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $184,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 200 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
7.76%
Cash-on-cash
5.23%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$91,387
List price
$210,000
Delta
129.79%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.27% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.9%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-13,227
Equity at exit
$31,312
10-year hold
IRR
6.0%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$28,813
Equity at exit
$18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76301

Home prices YoY
-34.1%
Rents YoY
5.3%
Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
17.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,954 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$99 /mo · $1,186/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$410
Net cashflow
$256

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,630
Max offer price $210,000
Occupancy floor 82%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $1,954

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1714 7th St Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 1.0 1452 $850 $0.59 43d 1 0.73mi
1916 7th St Wichita Falls, TX 2.0 1.0 1226 $1,050 $0.86 43d 1 0.91mi
1507 Polk St Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 1.0 1316 $1,050 $0.80 43d 1 1.16mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $210,000 Active 200 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $210,000 Active 199 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $210,000 Active 198 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $210,000 Active 197 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $210,000 Active 196 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $210,000 Active 194 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $210,000 Active 193 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $210,000 Active 191 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $210,000 Active 190 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $210,000 Active 189 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $210,000 Active 188 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $210,000 Active 185 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $210,000 Active 183 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $210,000 Active 182 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $210,000 Active 181 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $210,000 Active 180 DOM
  17. 2026-05-14
    listed $109,000 Active 73-char remark
    Show marketing remark (73 chars)

    Recent renovation to include roof shingles, flooring, windows, and paint.

  18. 2025-12-01
    listed $210,000 Active 934-char remark
    Show marketing remark (934 chars)

    Discover a beautifully refreshed duplex that’s been thoughtfully reimagined from top to bottom. This property has undergone a full renovation, offering a clean, modern feel throughout both units. From the moment you step inside, you’ll notice the brand-new flooring, fresh interior paint, updated cabinetry, sleek countertops, and upgraded finishes that create a warm and move-in-ready space. Whether you’re searching for a reliable investment property, planning to live in one unit while renting the other, or seeking a turn-key rental opportunity, this duplex checks all the boxes. Each unit delivers comfortable functionality, updated style, and the flexibility today’s buyers and tenants appreciate. Bonus Opportunity: Seller is motivated and open to negotiating a split sale of the duplex. This property is ready for its next chapter — and the opportunity is yours. Let’s make it happen!

  19. 2023-03-15
    soldstatus
  20. 2023-03-10
    soldstatus
  21. 2023-02-07
    listed $53,000
  22. 2019-07-12
    soldstatus
  23. 2005-12-09
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,186 · $99/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,843 · $320/mo
Expected delta
+$2,657/yr (+$221/mo · 224.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,448
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$1,186
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,876
− Management
−$1,876
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable loss
−$412
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$99
After-tax cash flow
$3,172/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wichita Falls ISD
NCES district ID
4845780
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,604
Composite
27.06/100
National rank
#7051
State rank
#585 of 826 in TX

Livability — Wichita Falls

Score
69/100
State rank
#437
US rank
#8940

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wichita Falls, TX
County
Wichita County · 95,694 people
City population
95,694
Metro
Wichita Falls, TX
Population (ZIP)
15,479
Household income
$41,947
Rent vs Own
44.7% rent · 55.3% own
Severe rent burden
577.0

Population outlook (Wichita County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
129,638 people
By 2030
128,366 · -1.0%
By 2040
124,466 · -4.0%
By 2050
120,499 · -7.0%
By 2075
113,884 · -12.2%
By 2100
101,818 · -21.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
White 40% Hispanic / Latino 38% Black 18% Two or more races 15% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 36%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 22%

Political lean MEDSL · Wichita

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.5% · R 71.5%
2008→2024 swing
-5.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.9pp · 2024: -44.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+49.7 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+38.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -69.89%
Current HPI
135.1511
Rent YoY
▲ 5.27%
Metro
Wichita Falls, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+105.7% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $109,000 WFAOR
  • 2025-12-01 Listed $210,000 NTREIS
  • 2023-03-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-03-10 Sold (MLS) WFAOR
  • 2023-02-07 Listed $53,000 WFAOR
  • 2019-07-12 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2005-12-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,186 · -3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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