CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
4941 BACON Rd
D Composite 42.17
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$159,900

4941 BACON Rd · Jackson, MI 49201-
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,660 sqft · SingleFamily · 178 Days on market
Built 1925 3.15 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Western Schools - Great 3 bedroom 2 full bath home on 3.15 acres! Walk into the spacious open living room with original woodwork throughout and double doors leading to the family room, full kitchen with appliance included, first floor laundry, bedroom and full bath. 2nd floor features 2 additional bedrooms, updated full bath with tiled shower and walk-in closet that can be used as an additional bedroom. Full basement with storage space. Exterior features open front porch, enclosed side porch and back deck overlooking huge wooded backyard. 1 car detached garage. Priced to sell! Come see this home before it's gone!

Key facts

  • 3.15 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1925

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-69 ($-829/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $148k (7.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (17.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (17.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#197 in MI, #4,970 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, employment F.
  • Western School District (rural): math 33% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #179 of 540 in MI (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 317 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (103 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Jackson County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 178 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $131,806 (17.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 178 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
5.77%
Cash-on-cash
-1.85%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$367,080
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6031 Leora Ln 0.46mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,464 (-7%) 12mo $340,000 $138 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.8%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$14,887
Equity at exit
$71,898
10-year hold
IRR
8.8%
Equity multiple
2.32×
Total profit
$59,218
Equity at exit
$110,803

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49201-

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,318 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$205 /mo · $2,462/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$277
Net cashflow
$-69

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,405
Max offer price $147,701
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $21 -5% $-24 +0% $-69 +5% $-114 +10% $-160
Rent -10% $-173 -5% $-121 +0% $-69 +5% $-17 +10% $35
Rate -1.0pp $11 -0.5pp $-28 base $-69 +0.5pp $-110 +1.0pp $-153

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2021-10-11
    soldstatus $150,000
  2. 2021-08-08
    soldstatus $150,000 Sold 622-char remark
    Show marketing remark (626 chars)

    Western Schools - Great 3 bedroom 2 full bath home on 3.15 acres! Walk into the spacious open living room with original woodwork throughout and double doors leading to the family room, full kitchen with appliance included, first floor laundry, bedroom and full bath. 2nd floor features 2 additional bedrooms, updated full bath with tiled shower and walk-in closet that can be used as an additional bedroom. Full basement with storage space. Exterior features open front porch, enclosed side porch and back deck overlooking huge wooded backyard. 1 car detached garage. Priced to sell! Come see this home before it's gone!

  3. 2021-08-08
    historical 626-char remark
    Show marketing remark (626 chars)

    Western Schools - Great 3 bedroom 2 full bath home on 3.15 acres! Walk into the spacious open living room with original woodwork throughout and double doors leading to the family room, full kitchen with appliance included, first floor laundry, bedroom and full bath. 2nd floor features 2 additional bedrooms, updated full bath with tiled shower and walk-in closet that can be used as an additional bedroom. Full basement with storage space. Exterior features open front porch, enclosed side porch and back deck overlooking huge wooded backyard. 1 car detached garage. Priced to sell! Come see this home before it's gone!

  4. 2021-08-08
    soldstatus $150,000 Sold 626-char remark
    Show marketing remark (626 chars)

    Western Schools - Great 3 bedroom 2 full bath home on 3.15 acres! Walk into the spacious open living room with original woodwork throughout and double doors leading to the family room, full kitchen with appliance included, first floor laundry, bedroom and full bath. 2nd floor features 2 additional bedrooms, updated full bath with tiled shower and walk-in closet that can be used as an additional bedroom. Full basement with storage space. Exterior features open front porch, enclosed side porch and back deck overlooking huge wooded backyard. 1 car detached garage. Priced to sell! Come see this home before it's gone!

  5. 2021-08-08
    soldstatus $150,000 Closed
    Show marketing remark (626 chars)

    Western Schools - Great 3 bedroom 2 full bath home on 3.15 acres! Walk into the spacious open living room with original woodwork throughout and double doors leading to the family room, full kitchen with appliance included, first floor laundry, bedroom and full bath. 2nd floor features 2 additional bedrooms, updated full bath with tiled shower and walk-in closet that can be used as an additional bedroom. Full basement with storage space. Exterior features open front porch, enclosed side porch and back deck overlooking huge wooded backyard. 1 car detached garage. Priced to sell! Come see this home before it's gone!

  6. 2021-07-09
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (622 chars)

    Western Schools - Great 3 bedroom 2 full bath home on 3.15 acres! Walk into the spacious open living room with original woodwork throughout and double doors leading to the family room, full kitchen with appliance included, first floor laundry, bedroom and full bath. 2nd floor features 2 additional bedrooms, updated full bath with tiled shower and walk-in closet that can be used as an additional bedroom. Full basement with storage space. Exterior features open front porch, enclosed side porch and back deck overlooking huge wooded backyard. 1 car detached garage. Priced to sell! Come see this home before it's gone!

  7. 2021-07-09
    status Pending 622-char remark
    Show marketing remark (622 chars)

    Western Schools - Great 3 bedroom 2 full bath home on 3.15 acres! Walk into the spacious open living room with original woodwork throughout and double doors leading to the family room, full kitchen with appliance included, first floor laundry, bedroom and full bath. 2nd floor features 2 additional bedrooms, updated full bath with tiled shower and walk-in closet that can be used as an additional bedroom. Full basement with storage space. Exterior features open front porch, enclosed side porch and back deck overlooking huge wooded backyard. 1 car detached garage. Priced to sell! Come see this home before it's gone!

  8. 2021-07-08
    historical
  9. 2021-06-10
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (622 chars)

    Western Schools - Great 3 bedroom 2 full bath home on 3.15 acres! Walk into the spacious open living room with original woodwork throughout and double doors leading to the family room, full kitchen with appliance included, first floor laundry, bedroom and full bath. 2nd floor features 2 additional bedrooms, updated full bath with tiled shower and walk-in closet that can be used as an additional bedroom. Full basement with storage space. Exterior features open front porch, enclosed side porch and back deck overlooking huge wooded backyard. 1 car detached garage. Priced to sell! Come see this home before it's gone!

  10. 2021-06-10
    status Active 622-char remark
    Show marketing remark (622 chars)

    Western Schools - Great 3 bedroom 2 full bath home on 3.15 acres! Walk into the spacious open living room with original woodwork throughout and double doors leading to the family room, full kitchen with appliance included, first floor laundry, bedroom and full bath. 2nd floor features 2 additional bedrooms, updated full bath with tiled shower and walk-in closet that can be used as an additional bedroom. Full basement with storage space. Exterior features open front porch, enclosed side porch and back deck overlooking huge wooded backyard. 1 car detached garage. Priced to sell! Come see this home before it's gone!

  11. 2021-05-28
    historical Keep Showing-Contgcy Appl
    Show marketing remark (622 chars)

    Western Schools - Great 3 bedroom 2 full bath home on 3.15 acres! Walk into the spacious open living room with original woodwork throughout and double doors leading to the family room, full kitchen with appliance included, first floor laundry, bedroom and full bath. 2nd floor features 2 additional bedrooms, updated full bath with tiled shower and walk-in closet that can be used as an additional bedroom. Full basement with storage space. Exterior features open front porch, enclosed side porch and back deck overlooking huge wooded backyard. 1 car detached garage. Priced to sell! Come see this home before it's gone!

  12. 2021-05-28
    historical Contingent - Continue To Show 622-char remark
    Show marketing remark (622 chars)

    Western Schools - Great 3 bedroom 2 full bath home on 3.15 acres! Walk into the spacious open living room with original woodwork throughout and double doors leading to the family room, full kitchen with appliance included, first floor laundry, bedroom and full bath. 2nd floor features 2 additional bedrooms, updated full bath with tiled shower and walk-in closet that can be used as an additional bedroom. Full basement with storage space. Exterior features open front porch, enclosed side porch and back deck overlooking huge wooded backyard. 1 car detached garage. Priced to sell! Come see this home before it's gone!

  13. 2021-05-22
    price $159,900
  14. 2021-05-21
    price $159,900 622-char remark
    Show marketing remark (622 chars)

    Western Schools - Great 3 bedroom 2 full bath home on 3.15 acres! Walk into the spacious open living room with original woodwork throughout and double doors leading to the family room, full kitchen with appliance included, first floor laundry, bedroom and full bath. 2nd floor features 2 additional bedrooms, updated full bath with tiled shower and walk-in closet that can be used as an additional bedroom. Full basement with storage space. Exterior features open front porch, enclosed side porch and back deck overlooking huge wooded backyard. 1 car detached garage. Priced to sell! Come see this home before it's gone!

  15. 2021-04-05
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (622 chars)

    Western Schools - Great 3 bedroom 2 full bath home on 3.15 acres! Walk into the spacious open living room with original woodwork throughout and double doors leading to the family room, full kitchen with appliance included, first floor laundry, bedroom and full bath. 2nd floor features 2 additional bedrooms, updated full bath with tiled shower and walk-in closet that can be used as an additional bedroom. Full basement with storage space. Exterior features open front porch, enclosed side porch and back deck overlooking huge wooded backyard. 1 car detached garage. Priced to sell! Come see this home before it's gone!

  16. 2021-04-05
    status Active 622-char remark
    Show marketing remark (622 chars)

    Western Schools - Great 3 bedroom 2 full bath home on 3.15 acres! Walk into the spacious open living room with original woodwork throughout and double doors leading to the family room, full kitchen with appliance included, first floor laundry, bedroom and full bath. 2nd floor features 2 additional bedrooms, updated full bath with tiled shower and walk-in closet that can be used as an additional bedroom. Full basement with storage space. Exterior features open front porch, enclosed side porch and back deck overlooking huge wooded backyard. 1 car detached garage. Priced to sell! Come see this home before it's gone!

  17. 2021-03-04
    historical Keep Showing-Contgcy Appl
    Show marketing remark (622 chars)

    Western Schools - Great 3 bedroom 2 full bath home on 3.15 acres! Walk into the spacious open living room with original woodwork throughout and double doors leading to the family room, full kitchen with appliance included, first floor laundry, bedroom and full bath. 2nd floor features 2 additional bedrooms, updated full bath with tiled shower and walk-in closet that can be used as an additional bedroom. Full basement with storage space. Exterior features open front porch, enclosed side porch and back deck overlooking huge wooded backyard. 1 car detached garage. Priced to sell! Come see this home before it's gone!

  18. 2021-03-04
    historical Contingent - Continue To Show 622-char remark
    Show marketing remark (622 chars)

    Western Schools - Great 3 bedroom 2 full bath home on 3.15 acres! Walk into the spacious open living room with original woodwork throughout and double doors leading to the family room, full kitchen with appliance included, first floor laundry, bedroom and full bath. 2nd floor features 2 additional bedrooms, updated full bath with tiled shower and walk-in closet that can be used as an additional bedroom. Full basement with storage space. Exterior features open front porch, enclosed side porch and back deck overlooking huge wooded backyard. 1 car detached garage. Priced to sell! Come see this home before it's gone!

  19. 2021-01-12
    listed $164,900 Active 622-char remark
    Show marketing remark (626 chars)

    Western Schools - Great 3 bedroom 2 full bath home on 3.15 acres! Walk into the spacious open living room with original woodwork throughout and double doors leading to the family room, full kitchen with appliance included, first floor laundry, bedroom and full bath. 2nd floor features 2 additional bedrooms, updated full bath with tiled shower and walk-in closet that can be used as an additional bedroom. Full basement with storage space. Exterior features open front porch, enclosed side porch and back deck overlooking huge wooded backyard. 1 car detached garage. Priced to sell! Come see this home before it's gone!

  20. 2021-01-12
    listed $159,900 626-char remark
    Show marketing remark (626 chars)

    Western Schools - Great 3 bedroom 2 full bath home on 3.15 acres! Walk into the spacious open living room with original woodwork throughout and double doors leading to the family room, full kitchen with appliance included, first floor laundry, bedroom and full bath. 2nd floor features 2 additional bedrooms, updated full bath with tiled shower and walk-in closet that can be used as an additional bedroom. Full basement with storage space. Exterior features open front porch, enclosed side porch and back deck overlooking huge wooded backyard. 1 car detached garage. Priced to sell! Come see this home before it's gone!

  21. 2021-01-12
    listed $159,900
    Show marketing remark (626 chars)

    Western Schools - Great 3 bedroom 2 full bath home on 3.15 acres! Walk into the spacious open living room with original woodwork throughout and double doors leading to the family room, full kitchen with appliance included, first floor laundry, bedroom and full bath. 2nd floor features 2 additional bedrooms, updated full bath with tiled shower and walk-in closet that can be used as an additional bedroom. Full basement with storage space. Exterior features open front porch, enclosed side porch and back deck overlooking huge wooded backyard. 1 car detached garage. Priced to sell! Come see this home before it's gone!

  22. 2021-01-12
    listed $164,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (626 chars)

    Western Schools - Great 3 bedroom 2 full bath home on 3.15 acres! Walk into the spacious open living room with original woodwork throughout and double doors leading to the family room, full kitchen with appliance included, first floor laundry, bedroom and full bath. 2nd floor features 2 additional bedrooms, updated full bath with tiled shower and walk-in closet that can be used as an additional bedroom. Full basement with storage space. Exterior features open front porch, enclosed side porch and back deck overlooking huge wooded backyard. 1 car detached garage. Priced to sell! Come see this home before it's gone!

  23. 2010-07-02
    soldstatus $27,000
  24. 2010-07-02
    soldstatus $27,000
  25. 2010-06-22
    historical
  26. 2010-06-18
    listed $29,900
  27. 2010-06-18
    listed $29,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,462 · $205/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,462 · $205/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,817
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$2,462
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,265
− Management
−$1,265
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable loss
−$3,584
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$860
After-tax cash flow
$31/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Western School District
NCES district ID
2635940
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$54,441
Composite
36.1/100
National rank
#4755
State rank
#179 of 540 in MI

Livability — Jackson

Score
74/100
State rank
#197
US rank
#4970

Category grades

Amenities C Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

No demographic data for this ZIP.

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+401.7% since first listed
27 events — show timeline
  • 2021-10-11 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
  • 2021-08-08 Sold (MLS) $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-08-08 Sold (MLS) $150,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2021-08-08 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2021-08-08 Sold (MLS) $150,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-07-09 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-07-09 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2021-07-08 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-06-10 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-06-10 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2021-05-28 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-05-28 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2021-05-22 Price Changed $159,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-05-21 Price Changed $159,900 REALCOMP
  • 2021-04-05 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-04-05 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2021-03-04 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-03-04 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2021-01-12 Listed $164,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-01-12 Listed $159,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-01-12 Listed $159,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2021-01-12 Listed $164,900 REALCOMP
  • 2010-07-02 Sold (MLS) $27,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-07-02 Sold (MLS) $27,000 REALCOMP
  • 2010-06-22 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-06-18 Listed $29,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-06-18 Listed $29,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,462 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…