CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
105 E 13th St
B Composite 70.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +1.0/10.0

$53,000

105 E 13th St · Larned, KS 67550
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 944 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 440 Days on market
Built 1930 5,500 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • South facing porch
  • 5,500 sq ft lot

Tags

SOUTH FACING PORCHUPDATED TILE COUNTERTOPSCUSTOM TILED WALK IN SHOWERROOMY LAUNDRY MUDROOMPARTIAL BASEMENT CELLARFENCED YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Entry level is 1
  • Exterior features: Lot roughly 37 x 150 (0.12 acre); Zoned NC.1 / R-1

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Window coverings; Seven total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $53k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $326 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($876 rent vs $53k).
  • Recommended offer: $47k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#120 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Ft Larned (town): math 32% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #49 of 169 in KS (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $366 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pawnee County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 440 days — a 12% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $11k; list at $53k implies a 362% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $46,640 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 440 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.65%
Cap rate
13.67%
Cash-on-cash
26.36%
DSCR
2.17
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.2%
Equity multiple
1.82×
Total profit
$12,184
Equity at exit
$7,902
10-year hold
IRR
28.4%
Equity multiple
3.52×
Total profit
$37,394
Equity at exit
$4,582

Cash invested: $14,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 67550

Home prices YoY
-4.2%
Active inventory
51
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$876 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$278
Tax est. 1.5%
$66 /mo · $795/yr
Insurance
$22
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$184
Net cashflow
$326

Break-even live

Break-even rent $464
Max offer price $53,000
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $363 -5% $344 +0% $326 +5% $308 +10% $289
Rent -10% $257 -5% $291 +0% $326 +5% $361 +10% $395
Rate -1.0pp $353 -0.5pp $339 base $326 +0.5pp $312 +1.0pp $298

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,250
Closing costs
$1,590
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $53,000 Active 440 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $53,000 Active 439 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $53,000 Active 437 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $53,000 Active 436 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $53,000 Active 435 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $53,000 Active 434 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $53,000 Active 432 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $53,000 Active 431 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $53,000 Active 428 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $53,000 Active 427 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $53,000 Active 426 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $53,000 Active 424 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $53,000 Active 422 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $53,000 Active 421 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $53,000 Active 420 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $53,000 Active 419 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $53,000 Active 418 DOM
  18. 2026-03-09
    price $53,000
  19. 2025-09-02
    price $58,000
  20. 2025-05-22
    price $49,000
  21. 2025-04-08
    listed $55,000 Active
  22. 2019-08-10
    listed $12,000
  23. 2006-02-01
    soldstatus $11,460
  24. 2001-06-01
    soldstatus $35,000
  25. 1996-04-01
    soldstatus $26,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,515
− Mortgage interest
−$2,969
− Property taxes
−$795
− Insurance
−$265
− Repairs & maintenance
−$841
− Management
−$841
− Depreciation
−$1,542
Taxable income
$3,262
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$783
After-tax cash flow
$3,128/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ft Larned
NCES district ID
2008370
Math proficiency
32% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▲ 8.00%
Median HH income
$42,806
Composite
31.69/100
National rank
#5919
State rank
#49 of 169 in KS

Livability — Larned

Score
72/100
State rank
#120
US rank
#6324

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Larned, KS
Population (ZIP)
5,137

Population outlook (Pawnee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
6,800 people
By 2030
6,739 · -0.9%
By 2040
6,627 · -2.5%
By 2050
6,477 · -4.8%
By 2075
6,369 · -6.3%
By 2100
6,266 · -7.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 8% Two or more races 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Iranian 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Pawnee

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.5) · D 23.4% · R 74.9% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.4pp toward R · 2008: -37.1pp · 2024: -51.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.5 2020: R+51.4 2016: R+50.1 2012: R+43.0 2008: R+37.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -7.95%
Current HPI
182.5283
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+103.8% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-09 Price Changed $53,000 Hays MLS
  • 2025-09-02 Price Changed $58,000 Hays MLS
  • 2025-05-22 Price Changed $49,000 Hays MLS
  • 2025-04-08 Listed $55,000 Hays MLS
  • 2019-08-10 Listed $12,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $11,460 Public Records
  • 2001-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
  • 1996-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…