12102 Vaughan St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath Detroit ranch with basement and detached garage. Currently occupied long Term Tenant on MTM Lease , Batvai , 24 hour Notice to Show .
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1942
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water and sewer available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry
- Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.14 acres (40 x 157.9)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; 3 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $471 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Cap rate 17.6% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 363 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($31k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 11% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $50k implies a 181% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.39%
- DSCR
- 2.80
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $25,194
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12642 Kentfield St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 742 (+0%) | 10mo | $40,000 | $54 | 76 |
| 11720 Minock St | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 771 (+4%) | 5mo | $95,000 | $123 | 69 |
| 12219 Stout St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 846 (+14%) | 1mo | $25,000 | $30 | 62 |
| 11792 Burt Rd | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 810 (+9%) | 4mo | $27,000 | $33 | 60 |
| 13535 Evergreen Rd | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 754 (+2%) | 13mo | $45,700 | $61 | 57 |
| 11355 Artesian St | 0.65mi | 2/1.5 | 744 (+0%) | 15mo | $20,000 | $27 | 55 |
| 11329 Minock St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 816 (+10%) | 4mo | $50,000 | $61 | 54 |
| 13540 Minock St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 709 (-4%) | 10mo | $24,000 | $34 | 54 |
| 9962 Evergreen Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 762 (+3%) | 16mo | $52,000 | $68 | 53 |
| 11697 Stahelin Ave | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 774 (+4%) | 15mo | $16,000 | $21 | 52 |
| 13500 Heyden St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 850 (+15%) | 4mo | $20,000 | $24 | 45 |
| 12054 Stahelin Ave | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 834 (+13%) | 17mo | $27,000 | $32 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.34×
- Total profit
- $18,788
- Equity at exit
- $7,455
- IRR
- 38.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.07×
- Total profit
- $42,941
- Equity at exit
- $4,323
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48228
- Rents YoY
- -2.3%
- Active inventory
- 363
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,079 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$98 /mo · $1,180/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$227
- Net cashflow
- $471
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20237 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $850 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 12867 Westbrook St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $1,050 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 12875 Faust Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $1,200 | $1.63 | 4d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 12880 Dolson St Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 43d | 6 | 1.04mi |
| 18450 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 687 | $1,117 | $1.62 | 1d | 15 | 1.10mi |
| 14347 Westwood St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 706 | $1,200 | $1.70 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 12850 Dolphin St Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 746 | $999 | $1.34 | 4d | 4 | 1.17mi |
| 12611 Memorial St Unit 629104 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $995 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 12611 Memorial St Unit 629203 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 635 | $995 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 19301 Joy Rd Apt 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $50,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17statusdays on market $50,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $50,000 Pending 2 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 161-char remark
Show marketing remark (160 chars)
Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath Detroit ranch with basement and detached garage. Currently occupied long Term Tenant on MTM Lease , Batvai , 24 hour Notice to Show .
-
2026-06-08$50,000 Active 1 DOM
Show marketing remark (160 chars)
Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath Detroit ranch with basement and detached garage. Currently occupied long Term Tenant on MTM Lease , Batvai , 24 hour Notice to Show .
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,180 · $98/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,180 · $98/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,952
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$1,180
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,036
- − Management
- −$1,036
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $5,194
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,247
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,409/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,117
- Household income
- $30,680
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4144.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Arab 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Arabic 11% Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -160.81%
- Current HPI
- 168.6843
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.30%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+181.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Price Changed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-08 Price Changed $50,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-08 Listed $45,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-08 Listed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1994-01-26 Sold (Public Records) $17,762 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,180 · -37.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…