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307 Dobbs St
B Composite 71.32
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.6/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$157,900

307 Dobbs St · Hertford, NC 27944
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,167 sqft · Other public records · 116 Days on market
Built 1902 0.37 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming 1902 4-bedroom, 2-bath home full of character and potential. Spacious yard offers plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment, gardening, or future enhancements. Property features both a detached shed and an attached shed for additional storage or workshop space. Home is being sold strictly as-is. Utilities are currently not turned on; buyer will need to have a licensed electrician and licensed plumber evaluate systems to determine if utilities can be activated. Great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to restore a classic home.

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • Attached shed
  • Detached shed

Tags

SPACIOUS YARDDETACHED SHEDATTACHED SHED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Has a carport (1 space); Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Utilities described in remarks
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two stories
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Block foundation; Metal roof; Built as a residential single-family home
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Chain link fencing; Pergola; Shed(s); Has a view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Master downstairs
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: No central heating listed; Wall/window cooling units
  • Interior features: Master suite on the ground floor; Entrance foyer; Unfurnished
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry located in the kitchen

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $158k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $421 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $158k).
  • Recommended offer: $144k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 2.2% in Hertford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#570 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Perquimans County Schools (rural): math 44% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #83 of 178 in NC (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Perquimans Central (391 students, 65% FRL); Perquimans County Middle (math 39% / reading 48%, grade D, #182 of 475 statewide, top 40%, 366 students, 59% FRL); Perquimans County High (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #352 of 535 statewide, top 68%, 518 students, 59% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 339 active listings in the ZIP; 46 units permitted in Perquimans County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Perquimans County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $44k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($144k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1902 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $143,689 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1902 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
9.49%
Cash-on-cash
11.42%
DSCR
1.51
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.6%
Equity multiple
3.55×
Total profit
$112,761
Equity at exit
$142,249
10-year hold
IRR
28.2%
Equity multiple
8.03×
Total profit
$310,937
Equity at exit
$306,765

Cash invested: $44,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27944

Home prices YoY
9.5%
Active inventory
339
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,800 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$828
Tax from tax record
$107 /mo · $1,288/yr
Insurance
$66
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$378
Net cashflow
$421

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,267
Max offer price $157,900
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,475
Closing costs
$4,737
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $157,900 Active 116 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $157,900 Active 115 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $157,900 Active 114 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $157,900 Active 113 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $157,900 Active 112 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $157,900 Active 110 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $157,900 Active 109 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $157,900 Active 106 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $157,900 Active 105 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $157,900 Active 104 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $169,900 Active 100 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,900 Active 99 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,900 Active 98 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,900 Active 97 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $169,900 Active 96 DOM
  16. 2026-02-23
    listed $169,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,288 · $107/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,295 · $108/mo
Expected delta
+$7/yr (+$1/mo · 0.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,598
− Mortgage interest
−$8,845
− Property taxes
−$1,288
− Insurance
−$790
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,728
− Management
−$1,728
− Depreciation
−$4,593
Taxable income
$2,626
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$630
After-tax cash flow
$4,418/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Perquimans County Schools
NCES district ID
3703600
Math proficiency
44% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$42,593
Composite
38.75/100
National rank
#4124
State rank
#83 of 178 in NC

Livability — Hertford

Score
58/100
State rank
#570
US rank
#21148

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hertford, NC
Population (ZIP)
11,255

Population outlook (Perquimans County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,018 people
By 2030
12,716 · -2.3%
By 2040
11,895 · -8.6%
By 2050
10,981 · -15.6%
By 2075
8,931 · -31.4%
By 2100
7,101 · -45.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 20% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Perquimans

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.4) · D 29.7% · R 69.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-25.4pp toward R · 2008: -13.9pp · 2024: -39.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.4 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+28.1 2012: R+16.1 2008: R+13.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 22.77%
Current HPI
261.91
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-02-23 Listed $169,900 Hive MLS

Property tax history

-0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,288 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…