307 Dobbs St · Hertford, NC
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.6/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$157,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 1902 4-bedroom, 2-bath home full of character and potential. Spacious yard offers plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment, gardening, or future enhancements. Property features both a detached shed and an attached shed for additional storage or workshop space. Home is being sold strictly as-is. Utilities are currently not turned on; buyer will need to have a licensed electrician and licensed plumber evaluate systems to determine if utilities can be activated. Great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to restore a classic home.
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Attached shed
- Detached shed
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Has a carport (1 space); Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Utilities described in remarks
- Home design: Single family residence; Two stories
- Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Block foundation; Metal roof; Built as a residential single-family home
- Exterior features: Front porch; Chain link fencing; Pergola; Shed(s); Has a view
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Master downstairs
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: No central heating listed; Wall/window cooling units
- Interior features: Master suite on the ground floor; Entrance foyer; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry located in the kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $158k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $421 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $158k).
- Recommended offer: $144k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 2.2% in Hertford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#570 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Perquimans County Schools (rural): math 44% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #83 of 178 in NC (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Perquimans Central (391 students, 65% FRL); Perquimans County Middle (math 39% / reading 48%, grade D, #182 of 475 statewide, top 40%, 366 students, 59% FRL); Perquimans County High (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #352 of 535 statewide, top 68%, 518 students, 59% FRL).
- Market conditions: 339 active listings in the ZIP; 46 units permitted in Perquimans County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Perquimans County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $44k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($144k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1902 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1902 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.42%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.55×
- Total profit
- $112,761
- Equity at exit
- $142,249
- IRR
- 28.2%
- Equity multiple
- 8.03×
- Total profit
- $310,937
- Equity at exit
- $306,765
Cash invested: $44,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27944
- Home prices YoY
- 9.5%
- Active inventory
- 339
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,800 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$828
- Tax from tax record
- −$107 /mo · $1,288/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$378
- Net cashflow
- $421
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,475
- Closing costs
- $4,737
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $157,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $157,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $157,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $157,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $157,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $157,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $157,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $157,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $157,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $157,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $169,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $169,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-02-23$169,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,288 · $107/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,295 · $108/mo
- Expected delta
- +$7/yr (+$1/mo · 0.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,598
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,845
- − Property taxes
- −$1,288
- − Insurance
- −$790
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,728
- − Management
- −$1,728
- − Depreciation
- −$4,593
- Taxable income
- $2,626
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$630
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,418/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Perquimans County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703600
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,593
- Composite
- 38.75/100
- National rank
- #4124
- State rank
- #83 of 178 in NC
Livability — Hertford
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #570
- US rank
- #21148
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hertford, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,255
Population outlook (Perquimans County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,018 people
- By 2030
- 12,716 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 11,895 · -8.6%
- By 2050
- 10,981 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 8,931 · -31.4%
- By 2100
- 7,101 · -45.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 20% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Perquimans
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.4) · D 29.7% · R 69.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.4pp toward R · 2008: -13.9pp · 2024: -39.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.4 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+28.1 2012: R+16.1 2008: R+13.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 22.77%
- Current HPI
- 261.91
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-02-23 Listed $169,900 Hive MLS
Property tax history
-0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,288 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…