302 S East St · Abingdon, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Easy one-level living in this 4 bed, 1.5 bath home with a solid list of recent updates. New furnace (2023), AC (2024), smart thermostat, remodeled bathroom, updated plumbing, and fresh carpet and flooring - all done in recent years. Exterior freshly painted in 2022. The large master bedroom and fenced yard add to the appeal. Move-in ready and waiting for you. Call today to schedule your showing!
Key facts
- New furnace
- Remodeled bathroom
- One-level living
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Living area approximately 1440; Built in 1978
- Construction: Metal roof; Crawl space foundation; Constructed in 1978
- Exterior features: Level lot; Irregular lot dimensions; Metal roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (25.6 x 12) with luxury vinyl plank flooring; Includes dishwasher and refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms; Bedroom 1 on main level (10.9 x 10.5) with egress window and carpet; Bedroom 2 on main level (11.9 x 11) with egress window and carpet; Bedroom 3 on main level (9.3 x 11.9) with egress window and carpet; Bedroom 4 on main level (15.6 x 14.75) with egress window and luxury vinyl plank flooring
- Flooring: Carpet in several bedrooms; Luxury vinyl plank in living areas and some bedrooms; Other flooring in utility room
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas water heater
- Interior features: Dishwasher, Dryer, Refrigerator, Washer; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level utility room (8.1 x 15.6); Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $167 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#976 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Zoned schools: Abingdon-Avon High Sch (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #473 of 693 statewide, top 69%, 285 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Knox County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.15%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $53,280
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 204 S Washington St | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 | 1,338 (-7%) | 6mo | $10,500 | $8 | 65 |
| 106 E Jackson St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,544 (+7%) | 4mo | $16,500 | $11 | 63 |
| 407 W Martin St | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,484 (+3%) | 2mo | $54,900 | $37 | 62 |
| 410 S Main St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,512 (+5%) | 12mo | $55,000 | $36 | 62 |
| 103 N Swarts St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,338 (-7%) | 4mo | $67,000 | $50 | 54 |
| 103 N Ohio Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,554 (+8%) | 10mo | $119,000 | $77 | 45 |
| 407 N Jefferson St | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,248 (-13%) | 16mo | $130,000 | $104 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-5,572
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $8,806
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61410
- Home prices YoY
- -25.1%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,044 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$92 /mo · $1,107/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$219
- Net cashflow
- $167
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $223 | -5% $195 | +0% $167 | +5% $138 | +10% $110 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $84 | -5% $126 | +0% $167 | +5% $208 | +10% $249 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $217 | -0.5pp $192 | base $167 | +0.5pp $141 | +1.0pp $115 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-04statusdays on market $99,900 Pending 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-27$99,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,107 · $92/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,687 · $141/mo
- Expected delta
- +$580/yr (+$48/mo · 52.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,524
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,107
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,002
- − Management
- −$1,002
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $412
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$99
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,902/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Abingdon
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #976
- US rank
- #18884
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Abingdon, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,763
Population outlook (Knox County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,224 people
- By 2030
- 46,333 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 42,424 · -12.0%
- By 2050
- 38,929 · -19.3%
- By 2075
- 31,523 · -34.6%
- By 2100
- 24,092 · -50.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 6% Italian 1% English 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Knox
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.4% · R 53.7% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.3pp toward R · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: -9.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.4 2020: R+5.6 2016: R+3.3 2012: D+17.1 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.79%
- Current HPI
- 154.296
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $99,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-1.8%/yrLatest (2024): $1,107 · +13.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…