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1461 Kinney Ave Duplex
B+ Composite 76.71
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$192,900

1461 Kinney Ave · Mount Healthy, OH 45231
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,473 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 137 Days on market
Built 1915 0.30 ac lot Est $252k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Fantastic 2 family-Oversized rooms in lower unit-including family room w/woodburning stove-New A/C-Newer windows-Huge wood deck on 1st floor-Large private fenced yard on dead end street-2 car detached garage

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • Ceiling fans
  • French doors

Tags

LARGE COVERED FRONT PORCHFENCED YARDABUNDANT NATURAL LIGHTFRENCH DOORSCEILING FANSBAY WINDOW BREAKFAST NOOK

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 0.302 acres
  • Financial info: Two total units — one 3-bedroom unit and one 1-bedroom unit; 1-bedroom unit rent listed at $895; Another unit rent listed at $895

Exterior

  • Parking: Dirt parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (standard)
  • Home design: Duplex; Two-story (second floor area noted)
  • Construction: Poured foundation; Construction materials: Other
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Windows: Other

Interior

  • Bedrooms: One unit with 3 bedrooms; One unit with 1 bedroom
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Partial basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1×2bd/1.0ba + 1×1bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $193k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $856 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $428/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $193k).
  • Recommended offer: $170k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 6.4% in Mount Healthy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#189 in OH, #2,906 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment D-.
  • Mt Healthy City (suburban): math 12% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #636 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.9%/yr); 79 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,813/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($71k/yr) (locally 846% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.9% rent growth), your $54k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $57k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $169,752 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.46%
Cap rate
11.62%
Cash-on-cash
19.02%
DSCR
1.85
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$252,246
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1503 Kinney Ave 0.10mi 5/2.0 2,309 (-7%) 3mo $235,000 $102 81

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.92% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.3%
Equity multiple
1.65×
Total profit
$34,859
Equity at exit
$28,762
10-year hold
IRR
26.8%
Equity multiple
3.82×
Total profit
$152,122
Equity at exit
$16,678

Cash invested: $54,012 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45231

Rents YoY
6.9%
Active inventory
79
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,813 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,012
Tax from tax record
$274 /mo · $3,291/yr
Insurance
$80
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$591
Net cashflow
$856

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,729
Max offer price $192,900
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $965 -5% $911 +0% $856 +5% $801 +10% $747
Rent -10% $634 -5% $745 +0% $856 +5% $967 +10% $1,078
Rate -1.0pp $953 -0.5pp $905 base $856 +0.5pp $806 +1.0pp $755

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 2 1 $1,480
1× unit 1 1 $1,333
Total (2 units) $2,813

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,225
Closing costs
$5,787
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9642 Arvin Ave Cincinnati, OH 4.0 3.0 1860 $2,200 $1.18 16d 1 0.85mi

Listing history 34 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $192,900 Active 137 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $192,900 Active 134 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $192,900 Active 133 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $192,900 Active 132 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $192,900 Active 131 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $192,900 Active 129 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $192,900 Active 128 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $207,900 Active 125 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $207,900 Active 124 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $207,900 Active 123 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $207,900 Active 120 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $207,900 Active 119 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $207,900 Active 118 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $207,900 Active 117 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $207,900 Active 116 DOM
  16. 2026-04-23
    price $207,900
  17. 2026-04-16
    price $214,900
  18. 2026-04-13
    price $224,900
  19. 2026-03-26
    price $229,900
  20. 2026-03-06
    price $234,900
  21. 2026-02-24
    price $244,900
  22. 2026-02-04
    listed $249,900 Active
  23. 2024-12-06
    soldstatus $10,723,000
  24. 2018-07-26
    soldstatus $85,000
  25. 2018-07-26
    soldstatus $252,700
  26. 2014-02-10
    soldstatus $85,000
  27. 2012-11-18
    historical
  28. 2011-11-23
    listed $116,000
  29. 2003-04-10
    soldstatus $129,500
  30. 2003-03-28
    soldstatus $129,500 207-char remark
    Show marketing remark (207 chars)

    Fantastic 2 family-Oversized rooms in lower unit-including family room w/woodburning stove-New A/C-Newer windows-Huge wood deck on 1st floor-Large private fenced yard on dead end street-2 car detached garage

  31. 2003-01-30
    listed $134,900 207-char remark
    Show marketing remark (207 chars)

    Fantastic 2 family-Oversized rooms in lower unit-including family room w/woodburning stove-New A/C-Newer windows-Huge wood deck on 1st floor-Large private fenced yard on dead end street-2 car detached garage

  32. 1995-11-01
    soldstatus $87,900
  33. 1989-11-01
    soldstatus $68,000
  34. 1982-09-01
    soldstatus $45,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,291 · $274/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,291 · $274/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,756
− Mortgage interest
−$10,805
− Property taxes
−$3,291
− Insurance
−$964
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,700
− Management
−$2,700
− Depreciation
−$5,612
Taxable income
$7,683
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,844
After-tax cash flow
$8,429/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mt Healthy City
NCES district ID
3904441
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$42,699
Composite
15.51/100
National rank
#9303
State rank
#636 of 656 in OH

Livability — Mount Healthy

Score
77/100
State rank
#189
US rank
#2906

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mount Healthy, OH
County
Hamilton County · 701,295 people
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
40,463
Household income
$71,353
Rent vs Own
27.4% rent · 72.6% own
Severe rent burden
846.0

Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
826,054 people
By 2030
830,947 · +0.6%
By 2040
832,319 · +0.8%
By 2050
822,428 · -0.4%
By 2075
788,688 · -4.5%
By 2100
710,674 · -14.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 40% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, India
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton

2024 margin
D (+14.9) · D 57.0% · R 42.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.9pp toward D · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: 14.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+14.9 2020: D+15.9 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+7.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -181.25%
Current HPI
228.2912
Rent YoY
▲ 6.92%
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+352.9% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $207,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $214,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $224,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2026-03-26 Price Changed $229,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2026-03-06 Price Changed $234,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2026-02-24 Price Changed $244,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2026-02-04 Listed $249,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2024-12-06 Sold (Public Records) $10,723,000 Public Records
  • 2018-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $252,700 Public Records
  • 2018-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 2014-02-10 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 2012-11-18 Listing Removed Cincy MLS
  • 2011-11-23 Listed $116,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2003-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $129,500 Public Records
  • 2003-03-28 Sold (MLS) $129,500 Cincy MLS
  • 2003-01-30 Listed $134,900 Cincy MLS
  • 1995-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $87,900 Public Records
  • 1989-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
  • 1982-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $45,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,291 · -2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…