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120 Kinder St
D Composite 40.64
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$12,400

120 Kinder St · Cahokia Heights, IL 62206
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 780 sqft · SingleFamily · 108 Days on market
Built 1942 0.38 ac lot $16/sqft · 67% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 2-bedroom home situated on a large yard, offering plenty of outdoor space and strong potential for investors or buyers looking for their next project. This property is being offered as a cash sale only, with no contingencies accepted, and is sold strictly as-is, where-is. No interior showings will be permitted, no additional interior photos are available, and interior access for inspections will not be granted. No survey or keys will be provided. All listing information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and buyers are responsible for completing their own due diligence prior to submitting an offer. Buyers must independently verify all property details, including but not limited to the number of bedrooms and bathrooms, square footage, room sizes, lot dimensions, and any other relevant information. Photos and marketing remarks are provided for reference purposes only. By submitting an offer, the buyer acknowledges they have independently investigated the property and are making their purchase decision based solely on their own findings. Buyer or Buyer's agent to verify MLS info.

Key facts

  • 0.38 acre lot
  • Built 1942
  • Listed 108 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $12k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $810 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $12k).
  • Recommended offer: $11k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 84.6% vs local median 13.6% in Cahokia Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Cahokia CUSD 187 (suburban): math 3% / reading 5% proficiency, ranked #864 of 919 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($34k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $86 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $372 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($11k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $10k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $11,284 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
9.14%
Cap rate
84.63%
Cash-on-cash
279.79%
DSCR
13.45
GRM
0.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$37,407
List price
$12,400
Delta
-66.85%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
217 Julian Ave 0.29mi 2/1.0 768 (-2%) 1mo $59,000 $77 83
28 Cahokia St 0.13mi 3/1.0 (+1) 810 (+4%) 1mo $105,000 $130 82
457 Mildred Ave 0.43mi 2/1.0 840 (+8%) 1mo $43,000 $51 66
207 Edwards St 0.23mi 2/1.0 672 (-14%) 2mo $100,000 $149 64
16 School St 0.29mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (+11%) 9mo $24,900 $29 56
35 School St 0.29mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (+11%) 9mo $105,000 $122 56
23 Kinder St 0.14mi 3/1.0 (+1) 890 (+14%) 14mo $84,900 $95 54
211 Judith Ln 0.40mi 3/1.0 (+1) 672 (-14%) 1mo $60,000 $89 53
208 Nadine St 0.44mi 2/1.0 680 (-13%) 8mo $100,000 $147 51
23 School St 0.30mi 3/1.0 (+1) 888 (+14%) 10mo $103,000 $116 50
66 David St 0.31mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (+11%) 17mo $97,000 $112 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
15.28×
Total profit
$49,566
Equity at exit
$1,849
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
32.57×
Total profit
$109,621
Equity at exit
$1,072

Cash invested: $3,472 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62206

Home prices YoY
-20.2%
Active inventory
153
Price-to-rent
0.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,133 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$65
Tax est. 1.5%
$16 /mo · $186/yr
Insurance
$5
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$238
Net cashflow
$810

Break-even live

Break-even rent $108
Max offer price $12,400
Occupancy floor 24%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$3,100
Closing costs
$372
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 26 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
115 Jerome Ln Unit 3 Sauget, IL 1.0 1.0 700 $700 $1.00 44d 1 0.07mi
1002 Upper Cahokia Rd East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 720 $860 $1.19 15d 1 0.24mi
58 David St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,450 $1.61 44d 1 0.33mi
211 Judith Ln East Saint Louis, IL 2.0 1.0 672 $995 $1.48 4d 1 0.41mi
819 Mildred Ave East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,250 $1.34 22d 1 0.85mi
111 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,350 $1.30 44d 1 0.86mi
124 Saint James Ln Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,350 $1.27 44d 1 0.90mi
850 Saint Bartholomew Dr Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,285 $1.22 16d 1 0.92mi
818 La Salle Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1106 $1,300 $1.18 23d 1 0.96mi
121 Saint Dorothy Dr Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 988 $1,500 $1.52 44d 1 1.02mi
148 Saint James Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,200 $1.39 44d 1 1.03mi
1109 Saint Helena Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 825 $1,400 $1.70 3d 1 1.03mi
500 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $950 $1.10 23d 1 1.07mi
502 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 3d 1 1.07mi
101 E 5th St Cahokia, IL 2.0 1.0 770 $900 $1.17 44d 1 1.11mi
811 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,295 $1.25 23d 1 1.13mi
142 Saint Barbara Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 2.0 990 $1,300 $1.31 44d 1 1.19mi
1220 Williams St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 876 $1,500 $1.71 15d 1 1.22mi
526 Saint Leo Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $1,400 $1.51 3d 1 1.25mi
1162 Smith St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 988 $1,295 $1.31 22d 1 1.36mi
1308 Saint Stephens Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 864 $875 $1.01 16d 1 1.36mi
1308 Saint Stephens Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 864 $875 $1.01 15d 1 1.36mi
701 Saint Paul Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,500 $1.74 44d 1 1.37mi
1150 Price St Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 3d 1 1.40mi
1405 Williams St Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 44d 1 1.46mi
1713 Loretta Ave East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 944 $1,095 $1.16 44d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $12,400 Active 108 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $12,400 Active 107 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $12,400 Active 106 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $12,400 Active 105 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $12,400 Active 103 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $12,400 Active 102 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $12,400 Active 99 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $12,400 Active 98 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $12,400 Active 97 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $12,400 Active 94 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $12,400 Active 93 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $12,400 Active 92 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $12,400 Active 91 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $12,400 Active 90 DOM
  15. 2026-04-16
    status Active 1106-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1106 chars)

    Charming 2-bedroom home situated on a large yard, offering plenty of outdoor space and strong potential for investors or buyers looking for their next project. This property is being offered as a cash sale only, with no contingencies accepted, and is sold strictly as-is, where-is. No interior showings will be permitted, no additional interior photos are available, and interior access for inspections will not be granted. No survey or keys will be provided. All listing information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and buyers are responsible for completing their own due diligence prior to submitting an offer. Buyers must independently verify all property details, including but not limited to the number of bedrooms and bathrooms, square footage, room sizes, lot dimensions, and any other relevant information. Photos and marketing remarks are provided for reference purposes only. By submitting an offer, the buyer acknowledges they have independently investigated the property and are making their purchase decision based solely on their own findings. Buyer or Buyer's agent to verify MLS info.

  16. 2026-04-04
    historical Active Under Contract 1106-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1106 chars)

    Charming 2-bedroom home situated on a large yard, offering plenty of outdoor space and strong potential for investors or buyers looking for their next project. This property is being offered as a cash sale only, with no contingencies accepted, and is sold strictly as-is, where-is. No interior showings will be permitted, no additional interior photos are available, and interior access for inspections will not be granted. No survey or keys will be provided. All listing information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and buyers are responsible for completing their own due diligence prior to submitting an offer. Buyers must independently verify all property details, including but not limited to the number of bedrooms and bathrooms, square footage, room sizes, lot dimensions, and any other relevant information. Photos and marketing remarks are provided for reference purposes only. By submitting an offer, the buyer acknowledges they have independently investigated the property and are making their purchase decision based solely on their own findings. Buyer or Buyer's agent to verify MLS info.

  17. 2026-03-02
    listed $12,400 Active 1106-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1106 chars)

    Charming 2-bedroom home situated on a large yard, offering plenty of outdoor space and strong potential for investors or buyers looking for their next project. This property is being offered as a cash sale only, with no contingencies accepted, and is sold strictly as-is, where-is. No interior showings will be permitted, no additional interior photos are available, and interior access for inspections will not be granted. No survey or keys will be provided. All listing information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and buyers are responsible for completing their own due diligence prior to submitting an offer. Buyers must independently verify all property details, including but not limited to the number of bedrooms and bathrooms, square footage, room sizes, lot dimensions, and any other relevant information. Photos and marketing remarks are provided for reference purposes only. By submitting an offer, the buyer acknowledges they have independently investigated the property and are making their purchase decision based solely on their own findings. Buyer or Buyer's agent to verify MLS info.

  18. 2013-10-17
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,598
− Mortgage interest
−$695
− Property taxes
−$186
− Insurance
−$62
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,088
− Management
−$1,088
− Depreciation
−$361
Taxable income
$10,119
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,429
After-tax cash flow
$7,286/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cahokia CUSD 187
NCES district ID
1708040
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
5% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$28,028
Composite
6.44/100
National rank
#14827
State rank
#864 of 919 in IL

Livability — Cahokia Heights

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Cahokia Heights, IL
County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
19,956
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
12,959
Household income
$33,838
Rent vs Own
44.5% rent · 55.5% own
Severe rent burden
729.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.26%
Current HPI
131.5144
Rent YoY
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+24.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-04 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $12,400 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $784 · +10.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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