120 Kinder St · Cahokia Heights, IL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.69%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$12,400
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 2-bedroom home situated on a large yard, offering plenty of outdoor space and strong potential for investors or buyers looking for their next project. This property is being offered as a cash sale only, with no contingencies accepted, and is sold strictly as-is, where-is. No interior showings will be permitted, no additional interior photos are available, and interior access for inspections will not be granted. No survey or keys will be provided. All listing information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and buyers are responsible for completing their own due diligence prior to submitting an offer. Buyers must independently verify all property details, including but not limited to the number of bedrooms and bathrooms, square footage, room sizes, lot dimensions, and any other relevant information. Photos and marketing remarks are provided for reference purposes only. By submitting an offer, the buyer acknowledges they have independently investigated the property and are making their purchase decision based solely on their own findings. Buyer or Buyer's agent to verify MLS info.
Key facts
- 0.38 acre lot
- Built 1942
- Listed 108 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $12k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $810 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $12k).
- Recommended offer: $11k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 84.6% vs local median 13.6% in Cahokia Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Cahokia CUSD 187 (suburban): math 3% / reading 5% proficiency, ranked #864 of 919 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($34k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $86 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $372 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($11k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $10k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 9.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 84.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 279.79%
- DSCR
- 13.45
- GRM
- 0.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $37,407
- List price
- $12,400
- Delta
- -66.85%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 217 Julian Ave | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (-2%) | 1mo | $59,000 | $77 | 83 |
| 28 Cahokia St | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 810 (+4%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $130 | 82 |
| 457 Mildred Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (+8%) | 1mo | $43,000 | $51 | 66 |
| 207 Edwards St | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-14%) | 2mo | $100,000 | $149 | 64 |
| 16 School St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+11%) | 9mo | $24,900 | $29 | 56 |
| 35 School St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+11%) | 9mo | $105,000 | $122 | 56 |
| 23 Kinder St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 890 (+14%) | 14mo | $84,900 | $95 | 54 |
| 211 Judith Ln | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 672 (-14%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $89 | 53 |
| 208 Nadine St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 680 (-13%) | 8mo | $100,000 | $147 | 51 |
| 23 School St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 888 (+14%) | 10mo | $103,000 | $116 | 50 |
| 66 David St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+11%) | 17mo | $97,000 | $112 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 15.28×
- Total profit
- $49,566
- Equity at exit
- $1,849
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 32.57×
- Total profit
- $109,621
- Equity at exit
- $1,072
Cash invested: $3,472 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62206
- Home prices YoY
- -20.2%
- Active inventory
- 153
- Price-to-rent
- 0.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,133 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$65
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$16 /mo · $186/yr
- Insurance
- −$5
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$238
- Net cashflow
- $810
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $3,100
- Closing costs
- $372
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115 Jerome Ln Unit 3 Sauget, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $700 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 1002 Upper Cahokia Rd East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $860 | $1.19 | 15d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 58 David St East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 211 Judith Ln East Saint Louis, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $995 | $1.48 | 4d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 819 Mildred Ave East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,250 | $1.34 | 22d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 111 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,350 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 124 Saint James Ln Cahokia Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 850 Saint Bartholomew Dr Cahokia, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,285 | $1.22 | 16d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 818 La Salle Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1106 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 121 Saint Dorothy Dr Cahokia, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,500 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 148 Saint James Ln East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,200 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1109 Saint Helena Dr Cahokia Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,400 | $1.70 | 3d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 500 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $950 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 502 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,400 | $1.62 | 3d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 101 E 5th St Cahokia, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $900 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 811 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,295 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 142 Saint Barbara Ln East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 990 | $1,300 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1220 Williams St East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 876 | $1,500 | $1.71 | 15d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 526 Saint Leo Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,400 | $1.51 | 3d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1162 Smith St East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,295 | $1.31 | 22d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1308 Saint Stephens Dr Cahokia Heights, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $875 | $1.01 | 16d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1308 Saint Stephens Dr Cahokia Heights, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $875 | $1.01 | 15d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 701 Saint Paul Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,500 | $1.74 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1150 Price St Cahokia, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,400 | $1.62 | 3d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1405 Williams St Cahokia Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1713 Loretta Ave East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $1,095 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $12,400 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $12,400 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $12,400 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $12,400 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $12,400 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $12,400 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $12,400 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $12,400 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $12,400 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $12,400 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $12,400 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $12,400 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $12,400 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $12,400 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-04-16status Active 1106-char remark
Show marketing remark (1106 chars)
Charming 2-bedroom home situated on a large yard, offering plenty of outdoor space and strong potential for investors or buyers looking for their next project. This property is being offered as a cash sale only, with no contingencies accepted, and is sold strictly as-is, where-is. No interior showings will be permitted, no additional interior photos are available, and interior access for inspections will not be granted. No survey or keys will be provided. All listing information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and buyers are responsible for completing their own due diligence prior to submitting an offer. Buyers must independently verify all property details, including but not limited to the number of bedrooms and bathrooms, square footage, room sizes, lot dimensions, and any other relevant information. Photos and marketing remarks are provided for reference purposes only. By submitting an offer, the buyer acknowledges they have independently investigated the property and are making their purchase decision based solely on their own findings. Buyer or Buyer's agent to verify MLS info.
-
2026-04-04historical Active Under Contract 1106-char remark
Show marketing remark (1106 chars)
Charming 2-bedroom home situated on a large yard, offering plenty of outdoor space and strong potential for investors or buyers looking for their next project. This property is being offered as a cash sale only, with no contingencies accepted, and is sold strictly as-is, where-is. No interior showings will be permitted, no additional interior photos are available, and interior access for inspections will not be granted. No survey or keys will be provided. All listing information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and buyers are responsible for completing their own due diligence prior to submitting an offer. Buyers must independently verify all property details, including but not limited to the number of bedrooms and bathrooms, square footage, room sizes, lot dimensions, and any other relevant information. Photos and marketing remarks are provided for reference purposes only. By submitting an offer, the buyer acknowledges they have independently investigated the property and are making their purchase decision based solely on their own findings. Buyer or Buyer's agent to verify MLS info.
-
2026-03-02$12,400 Active 1106-char remark
Show marketing remark (1106 chars)
Charming 2-bedroom home situated on a large yard, offering plenty of outdoor space and strong potential for investors or buyers looking for their next project. This property is being offered as a cash sale only, with no contingencies accepted, and is sold strictly as-is, where-is. No interior showings will be permitted, no additional interior photos are available, and interior access for inspections will not be granted. No survey or keys will be provided. All listing information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and buyers are responsible for completing their own due diligence prior to submitting an offer. Buyers must independently verify all property details, including but not limited to the number of bedrooms and bathrooms, square footage, room sizes, lot dimensions, and any other relevant information. Photos and marketing remarks are provided for reference purposes only. By submitting an offer, the buyer acknowledges they have independently investigated the property and are making their purchase decision based solely on their own findings. Buyer or Buyer's agent to verify MLS info.
-
2013-10-17soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,598
- − Mortgage interest
- −$695
- − Property taxes
- −$186
- − Insurance
- −$62
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,088
- − Management
- −$1,088
- − Depreciation
- −$361
- Taxable income
- $10,119
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,429
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,286/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cahokia CUSD 187
- NCES district ID
- 1708040
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 5% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,028
- Composite
- 6.44/100
- National rank
- #14827
- State rank
- #864 of 919 in IL
Livability — Cahokia Heights
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cahokia Heights, IL
- County
- Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
- City population
- 19,956
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,959
- Household income
- $33,838
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 729.0
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 250,366 people
- By 2030
- 240,511 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 217,391 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 192,699 · -23.0%
- By 2075
- 140,637 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 100,499 · -59.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.26%
- Current HPI
- 131.5144
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+24.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-04 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-02 Listed $12,400 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2024): $784 · +10.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…