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404 Miller Rd
D Composite 40.85
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.7/30.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

404 Miller Rd · Corinth, MS 38834
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 78 Days on market
Built 1966 0.33 ac lot $100/sqft · 22% above area Est $82k · 22% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located at 404 Miller Rd. in Corinth, MS, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a great opportunity for homeowners or investors looking for value in a convenient location between Hwy 72 and S. Harper Rd. Renovations are already underway, featuring a new central heat and air unit, fresh interior paint, and refinished original hardwood floors in select areas--bringing back the character while adding modern comfort. With a solid start on updates, this home provides the perfect chance to finish it to your taste. Priced at $99,900, this property stands out as an excellent value for the area. Whether you're looking for an affordable primary residence or a smart investment opportunity, this home has strong potential. (Taxes are from Alcorn CO Tax Assessor & ESTIMATED with Homestead Exemption. )

Key facts

  • Convenient location
  • Fresh interior paint
  • 0.33 acre lot

Tags

NEW CENTRAL HEAT AND AIR UNITFRESH INTERIOR PAINTCONVENIENT LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $116 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $90k (9.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $90k (9.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.7% in Corinth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#187 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Corinth School District (town): math 35% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #56 of 130 in MS (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 186 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 13 units permitted in Alcorn County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Alcorn County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $90,000 (9.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
7.69%
Cash-on-cash
5.00%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$81,858
List price
$99,900
Delta
22.04%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.6%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-8,816
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
0.9%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$1,689
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 38834

Active inventory
186
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$900 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$29 /mo · $348/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$189
Net cashflow
$116

Break-even live

Break-even rent $753
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1305 Proper St Corinth, MS 3.0 1.5 1400 $900 $0.64 43d 1 1.11mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 78 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,900 Active 77 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,900 Active 76 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 75 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,900 Active 73 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,900 Active 72 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 69 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 68 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 67 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 66 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,900 Active 63 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 62 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 61 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 60 DOM
  15. 2026-05-02
    price $99,900 801-char remark
    Show marketing remark (801 chars)

    Located at 404 Miller Rd. in Corinth, MS, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a great opportunity for homeowners or investors looking for value in a convenient location between Hwy 72 and S. Harper Rd. Renovations are already underway, featuring a new central heat and air unit, fresh interior paint, and refinished original hardwood floors in select areas--bringing back the character while adding modern comfort. With a solid start on updates, this home provides the perfect chance to finish it to your taste. Priced at $99,900, this property stands out as an excellent value for the area. Whether you're looking for an affordable primary residence or a smart investment opportunity, this home has strong potential. (Taxes are from Alcorn CO Tax Assessor & ESTIMATED with Homestead Exemption. )

  16. 2026-04-01
    listed $108,900 Active 801-char remark
    Show marketing remark (801 chars)

    Located at 404 Miller Rd. in Corinth, MS, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a great opportunity for homeowners or investors looking for value in a convenient location between Hwy 72 and S. Harper Rd. Renovations are already underway, featuring a new central heat and air unit, fresh interior paint, and refinished original hardwood floors in select areas--bringing back the character while adding modern comfort. With a solid start on updates, this home provides the perfect chance to finish it to your taste. Priced at $99,900, this property stands out as an excellent value for the area. Whether you're looking for an affordable primary residence or a smart investment opportunity, this home has strong potential. (Taxes are from Alcorn CO Tax Assessor & ESTIMATED with Homestead Exemption. )

  17. 2025-07-25
    soldstatus Closed 178-char remark
    Show marketing remark (178 chars)

    This is a great investment property for someone looking to flip or use as a rental! Needs a little TLC but priced accordingly. Hardwood floors! Extra lot behind and two storage

  18. 2025-01-16
    listed $49,900 Active 178-char remark
    Show marketing remark (178 chars)

    This is a great investment property for someone looking to flip or use as a rental! Needs a little TLC but priced accordingly. Hardwood floors! Extra lot behind and two storage

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$348 · $29/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$789 · $66/mo
Expected delta
+$441/yr (+$37/mo · 126.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,800
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$348
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$864
− Management
−$864
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable loss
−$278
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$67
After-tax cash flow
$1,464/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Corinth School District
NCES district ID
2801260
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$31,709
Composite
29.02/100
National rank
#6611
State rank
#56 of 130 in MS

Livability — Corinth

Score
61/100
State rank
#187
US rank
#17369

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Corinth, MS
City population
27,146
Population (ZIP)
27,146

Population outlook (Alcorn County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,392 people
By 2030
38,804 · +1.1%
By 2040
39,455 · +2.8%
By 2050
39,708 · +3.4%
By 2075
39,917 · +4.0%
By 2100
37,628 · -2.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Alcorn

2024 margin
Solid R (+68.3) · D 15.4% · R 83.8%
2008→2024 swing
-24.4pp toward R · 2008: -44.0pp · 2024: -68.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+68.3 2020: R+63.5 2016: R+61.8 2012: R+51.6 2008: R+44.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -98.19%
Current HPI
155.736
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+100.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Price Changed $99,900 NEMSBD
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $108,900 NEMSBD
  • 2025-07-25 Sold (MLS) NEMSBD
  • 2025-01-16 Listed $49,900 NEMSBD

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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