110 E Main St · Hayti, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this charming and spacious 4 bedroom, 2.5 bath home offering approximately 2,500 sq. ft. and situated on a corner lot. Featuring multiple living areas, two fireplaces, and a built-in bar, this home provides great space for entertaining and everyday living. The upstairs bedroom and full bath offer a separate living space, while outdoor sheds provide additional storage. Enjoy the screened in porch, perfect for relaxing outdoors. An additional room offers the potential for a 5th bedroom or office. A solid home with character and room to personalize, ideally located with quick access to town amenities.
Key facts
- Upstairs bedroom
- Full bath
- Built-in bar
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $216 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#555 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, crime B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Hayti R-II (town): math 9% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #316 of 324 in MO (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Pemiscot County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Pemiscot County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 183 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 183 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.04%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $163,360
- List price
- $115,000
- Delta
- -29.60%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $27,582
- Equity at exit
- $51,709
- IRR
- 16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.45×
- Total profit
- $78,920
- Equity at exit
- $79,690
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63851
- Active inventory
- 11
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,207 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$87 /mo · $1,038/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$253
- Net cashflow
- $216
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $281 | -5% $248 | +0% $216 | +5% $183 | +10% $151 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $120 | -5% $168 | +0% $216 | +5% $263 | +10% $311 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $274 | -0.5pp $245 | base $216 | +0.5pp $186 | +1.0pp $156 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $115,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $115,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $115,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-02-06price $115,000 619-char remark
Show marketing remark (619 chars)
Welcome to this charming and spacious 4 bedroom, 2.5 bath home offering approximately 2,500 sq. ft. and situated on a corner lot. Featuring multiple living areas, two fireplaces, and a built-in bar, this home provides great space for entertaining and everyday living. The upstairs bedroom and full bath offer a separate living space, while outdoor sheds provide additional storage. Enjoy the screened in porch, perfect for relaxing outdoors. An additional room offers the potential for a 5th bedroom or office. A solid home with character and room to personalize, ideally located with quick access to town amenities.
-
2025-12-18$120,000 Active 619-char remark
Show marketing remark (619 chars)
Welcome to this charming and spacious 4 bedroom, 2.5 bath home offering approximately 2,500 sq. ft. and situated on a corner lot. Featuring multiple living areas, two fireplaces, and a built-in bar, this home provides great space for entertaining and everyday living. The upstairs bedroom and full bath offer a separate living space, while outdoor sheds provide additional storage. Enjoy the screened in porch, perfect for relaxing outdoors. An additional room offers the potential for a 5th bedroom or office. A solid home with character and room to personalize, ideally located with quick access to town amenities.
-
2025-04-14price $152,400
-
2025-01-16$169,000 Active
-
2025-01-11historical
-
2024-10-30price $170,000
-
2024-07-16$188,500 Active
-
2024-06-28historical
-
2023-12-29$198,500 Active
-
2022-09-22soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,038 · $87/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,116 · $93/mo
- Expected delta
- +$77/yr (+$6/mo · 7.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,481
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,038
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,158
- − Management
- −$1,158
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $764
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$183
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,407/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hayti R-II
- NCES district ID
- 2913800
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $24,066
- Composite
- 10.83/100
- National rank
- #9762
- State rank
- #316 of 324 in MO
Livability — Hayti
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #555
- US rank
- #20309
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hayti, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,366
Population outlook (Pemiscot County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,803 people
- By 2030
- 14,934 · -5.5%
- By 2040
- 13,246 · -16.2%
- By 2050
- 11,669 · -26.2%
- By 2075
- 8,426 · -46.7%
- By 2100
- 6,057 · -61.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 38% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pemiscot
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.1) · D 25.3% · R 74.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.9pp toward R · 2008: -13.1pp · 2024: -49.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.1 2020: R+44.6 2016: R+33.5 2012: R+14.6 2008: R+13.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-42.1% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $115,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-18 Listed $120,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-14 Price Changed $152,400 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-16 Listed $169,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-11 Delisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-30 Price Changed $170,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-16 Listed $188,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-28 Delisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-29 Listed $198,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,038 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…