2911 Ashley Dr W Unit J · Greenacres, FL 33415

$79,900

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 665 sqft · Condo public records · 41 Days on market

Built 1968 $450/mo HOA · 30% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +24.9/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +8.1/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.3/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.1/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Ashley Villas is a pet friendly 55+ community. Pets allowed up to 35lbs. 1BD/1BA corner villa located close to the clubhouse. Kitchen features tray ceiling with ceiling fan, portable dishwasher and large window making it light and bright. There is a large coat closet, linen closet and walk in storage closet on the porch. Corner property offers more windows in the bedroom. Large full wall closet and ceiling fan in bedroom. Tile flooring throughout, . Enclosed back porch, patios & bbqs are allowed off the back porch. New electric panel. Common laundry conveniently located in the center of the cul de sac. Maintenance includes water, cable and internet. Amenities include active clubhouse

Key facts

• Enclosed back porch
• Active clubhouse
• Corner villa

Tags

• CORNER VILLA
• KITCHEN FEATURES TRAY CEILING
• LARGE COAT CLOSET
• WALK IN STORAGE CLOSET
• ENCLOSED BACK PORCH
• ACTIVE CLUBHOUSE

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Senior community; Pets allowed (with limits)
• HOA & community: Association: Ashley Master Association; Monthly HOA fee; Association amenities include: clubhouse, heated pool, fitness center, billiard room, library, recreation facilities, picnic area, shuffleboard court, sidewalks, street lights, maintained community, management and manager on site, laundry, pest control, security, internet included; HOA covers cable TV, internet, grounds and structure maintenance, pest control, security, sewer, trash, water, common areas, common real estate tax, legal/accounting, reserve funds, roof repairs, and recreation facility

Exterior

• Parking: 2 assigned asphalt parking spaces; 2 open parking spaces
• Security: Security patrol; Association provides security
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available
• Home design: Villa; One story; Faces south; Resale condition
• Construction: CBS construction; Shingle roof; Built as a single-story structure
• Exterior features: Screened porch; Porch; Not waterfront

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (main level)
• Flooring: Tile
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
• Interior features: Unfurnished; Security patrol
• Laundry & utility: Common area laundry; Laundry tub

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $80k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $171 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
• Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#490 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
• Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Clifford O Taylor/Kirklane Elementary (math 26% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,882 of 2,144 statewide, top 88%, 1,230 students, 80% FRL); L C Swain Middle School (math 26% / reading 33%, grade F, #469 of 571 statewide, top 84%, 1,451 students, 74% FRL); John I. Leonard High School (math 17% / reading 35%, grade F, #494 of 667 statewide, top 75%, 3,549 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 52% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-21 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 314 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 4→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $77,503 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.91% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.86%
• Cash-on-cash: 9.15%
• DSCR: 1.41
• GRM: 4.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -8.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.72×
• Total profit: $-6,227
• Equity at exit: $11,913

10-year hold

• IRR: -6.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.67×
• Total profit: $-7,394
• Equity at exit: $6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33415

• Rents YoY: -1.6%
• Active inventory: 314
• Price-to-rent: 4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,524 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$419
• Tax from tax record: −$131 /mo · $1,572/yr
• Insurance: −$33
• HOA: −$450
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$320
• Net cashflow: $171

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,308

Max offer price $79,900

Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $19,975
• Closing costs: $2,397
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 27 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2951 Ashley Dr W Unit D West Palm Beach, FL	1.0	1.5	662	$1,450	$2.19	16d	1	0.09mi
2951 Ashley Dr W West Palm Beach, FL	1.0	1.5	662	$1,525	$2.30	20d	1	0.09mi
2966 Ashley Dr E Unit C West Palm Beach, FL	1.0	1.0	611	$1,375	$2.25	24d	1	0.12mi
2854 Crosley Dr E Unit J West Palm Beach, FL	1.0	1.0	612	$1,300	$2.12	24d	1	0.29mi
2805 Crosley Dr E Unit E West Palm Beach, FL	1.0	1.5	662	$1,250	$1.89	24d	1	0.32mi
2550 Lakehaven Rd West Palm Beach, FL	1.0	1.0	400	$1,500	$3.75	24d	1	0.37mi
2723 Dudley Dr W Unit G West Palm Beach, FL	1.0	1.0	611	$1,300	$2.13	24d	1	0.46mi
2607 Dudley Dr W Unit L West Palm Beach, FL	1.0	1.0	611	$1,300	$2.13	7d	1	0.59mi
2715 Emory Dr W Unit C West Palm Beach, FL	1.0	1.5	661	$1,425	$2.16	17d	1	0.73mi
4904 Dillon St Unit C Greenacres, FL	1.0	1.0	699	$1,450	$2.07	24d	1	0.73mi
2647 Emory Dr W Unit C West Palm Beach, FL	1.0	1.0	612	$1,250	$2.04	24d	1	0.81mi
4403 Anna Ln Unit B Palm Springs, FL	1.0	1.0	740	$1,600	$2.16	7d	1	0.81mi
2551 Emory Dr W Unit A West Palm Beach, FL	1.0	1.5	661	$1,600	$2.42	24d	1	0.82mi
3263 Kirk Rd #2 Lake Worth, FL	1.0	1.0	619	$1,650	$2.67	7d	1	0.95mi
3263 Kirk Rd #2 Lake Worth, FL	1.0	1.0	619	$1,650	$2.67	24d	1	0.95mi
600 Village Green Ct #203 Palm Springs, FL	1.0	1.0	650	$1,300	$2.00	3d	1	1.01mi
500 Village Green Cir W Palm Springs, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–1.5	739	$1,400	$1.89	24d	2	1.03mi
555 Purdy Ln Palm Springs, FL	1.0	1.0	650	$1,375	$2.12	5d	1	1.05mi
555 Kirk Rd Palm Springs, FL	1.0	1.0	625	$2,268	$3.63	7d	1	1.17mi
555 Kirk Rd Palm Springs, FL	1.0	1.0	670	$2,352	$3.51	13d	1	1.17mi
3874 7th Ave N Unit 3878 Lake Worth Beach, FL	1.0	1.0	528	$1,600	$3.03	24d	1	1.23mi
2206 Laurel Way West Palm Beach, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	850	$1,700	$2.00	24d	3	1.24mi
5855 S 37th St Unit 5857 Greenacres, FL	2.0	1.0	747	$1,974	$2.64	7d	1	1.28mi
436 Fontana Dr Lake Worth, FL	1.0	1.0	550	$1,375	$2.50	21d	1	1.28mi
436 Fontana Dr Lake Worth, FL	1.0	1.0	550	$1,450	$2.64	24d	1	1.28mi
118 Urquhart St Lake Worth, FL	2.0	1.0	480	$1,850	$3.85	17d	1	1.39mi
3890 Lakewood Rd #1 Lake Worth, FL	1.0	1.0	433	$1,500	$3.46	10d	1	1.43mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $450 · $5,400/yr
• Likely covers: waterelectricinternetcable
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 25 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $79,900 Active 41 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $79,900 Active 40 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $79,900 Active 39 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $79,900 Active 38 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $79,900 Active 36 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $79,900 Active 32 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $79,900 Active 31 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   pricedays on market $79,900 Active 30 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $82,900 Active 27 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $82,900 Active 26 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $82,900 Active 25 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $82,900 Active 24 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $82,900 Active 23 DOM
14. 2026-05-08
    listed $82,900 Active
15. 2026-04-24
    historical
16. 2026-04-04
    listed $99,000 Active
17. 2026-03-25
    historical
18. 2025-11-20
    price $99,000
19. 2025-09-26
    listed $109,900 Active
20. 2006-11-16
    soldstatus $72,000
21. 2006-08-24
    historical
22. 2006-06-03
    listed $85,000
23. 2002-09-20
    soldstatus $36,000
24. 1992-04-14
    soldstatus $20,000
25. 1987-01-01
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,572 · $131/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,572 · $131/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 4 d/yr ≥105°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,288
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,476
• − Property taxes: −$1,572
• − Insurance: −$400
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,463
• − Management: −$1,463
• − HOA: −$5,400
• − Depreciation: −$2,324
• Taxable income: $1,190
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$286
• After-tax cash flow: $1,762/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Palm Beach
• NCES district ID: 1201500
• Math proficiency: 46% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 53% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $53,943
• Composite: 42.72/100
• National rank: #3160
• State rank: #34 of 73 in FL

Livability — Greenacres

• Score: 69/100
• State rank: #490
• US rank: #9008

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
• City population: 65,478
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• Population (ZIP): 54,581
• Household income: $61,274
• Rent vs Own: 41.5% rent · 58.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 2254.0

Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,637,487 people
• By 2030: 1,743,255 · +6.5%
• By 2040: 1,948,712 · +19.0%
• By 2050: 2,132,979 · +30.3%
• By 2075: 2,530,027 · +54.5%
• By 2100: 2,706,979 · +65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 53% Two or more races 26% White 21% Black 21% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 14% Dominican 2% Salvadoran 1%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 9% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 44% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 40% English-only · Spanish 49% French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -400.29%
• Current HPI: 413.9695
• Rent YoY: ▼ -1.64%
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+231.6% since first listed

12 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-08 Listed $82,900 Beaches MLS
• 2026-04-24 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
• 2026-04-04 Listed $99,000 Beaches MLS
• 2026-03-25 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
• 2025-11-20 Price Changed $99,000 Beaches MLS
• 2025-09-26 Listed $109,900 Beaches MLS
• 2006-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
• 2006-08-24 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
• 2006-06-03 Listed $85,000 Beaches MLS
• 2002-09-20 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
• 1992-04-14 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
• 1987-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,572 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.