125 Rhonder Dr · Science Hill, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.8/30.0
- Appreciation +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$124,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move-in ready 3-bedroom home featuring a split floor plan, all new flooring and paint, updated bathroom vanities, new appliances, and new HVAC. Relax on the front porch or entertain on the rear deck.
Key facts
- Hvac
- New flooring
- Front porch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $124k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $126 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (12.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $109k (12.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.5% in Science Hill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#300 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Pulaski County (town): math 43% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #17 of 165 in KY (top 10%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 117 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($861 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 167 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $47k; list at $124k implies a 165% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 167 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.33%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $266,888
- List price
- $124,500
- Delta
- -53.35%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
5.22% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.10×
- Total profit
- $38,200
- Equity at exit
- $72,207
- IRR
- 17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.09×
- Total profit
- $107,750
- Equity at exit
- $126,010
Cash invested: $34,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42553
- Home prices YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 30
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,087 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$653
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $340/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$228
- Net cashflow
- $126
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $196 | -5% $161 | +0% $126 | +5% $91 | +10% $55 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $40 | -5% $83 | +0% $126 | +5% $169 | +10% $212 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $188 | -0.5pp $157 | base $126 | +0.5pp $94 | +1.0pp $61 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,125
- Closing costs
- $3,735
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $124,500 Active 167 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $124,500 Active 166 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $124,500 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $124,500 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $124,500 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $124,500 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $124,500 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $124,500 Active 158 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $124,500 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $124,500 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $124,500 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $124,500 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $124,500 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $124,500 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $124,500 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,500 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,500 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-05-11status Active 199-char remark
Show marketing remark (199 chars)
Move-in ready 3-bedroom home featuring a split floor plan, all new flooring and paint, updated bathroom vanities, new appliances, and new HVAC. Relax on the front porch or entertain on the rear deck.
-
2026-04-25historical Contingent 199-char remark
Show marketing remark (199 chars)
Move-in ready 3-bedroom home featuring a split floor plan, all new flooring and paint, updated bathroom vanities, new appliances, and new HVAC. Relax on the front porch or entertain on the rear deck.
-
2026-04-23status Active 199-char remark
Show marketing remark (199 chars)
Move-in ready 3-bedroom home featuring a split floor plan, all new flooring and paint, updated bathroom vanities, new appliances, and new HVAC. Relax on the front porch or entertain on the rear deck.
-
2026-04-14historical Contingent 199-char remark
Show marketing remark (199 chars)
Move-in ready 3-bedroom home featuring a split floor plan, all new flooring and paint, updated bathroom vanities, new appliances, and new HVAC. Relax on the front porch or entertain on the rear deck.
-
2026-03-19status Active 199-char remark
Show marketing remark (199 chars)
Move-in ready 3-bedroom home featuring a split floor plan, all new flooring and paint, updated bathroom vanities, new appliances, and new HVAC. Relax on the front porch or entertain on the rear deck.
-
2026-03-13historical Contingent 199-char remark
Show marketing remark (199 chars)
Move-in ready 3-bedroom home featuring a split floor plan, all new flooring and paint, updated bathroom vanities, new appliances, and new HVAC. Relax on the front porch or entertain on the rear deck.
-
2026-03-06price $124,500 199-char remark
Show marketing remark (199 chars)
Move-in ready 3-bedroom home featuring a split floor plan, all new flooring and paint, updated bathroom vanities, new appliances, and new HVAC. Relax on the front porch or entertain on the rear deck.
-
2026-01-23price $129,900 199-char remark
Show marketing remark (199 chars)
Move-in ready 3-bedroom home featuring a split floor plan, all new flooring and paint, updated bathroom vanities, new appliances, and new HVAC. Relax on the front porch or entertain on the rear deck.
-
2026-01-03$137,500 Active 199-char remark
Show marketing remark (199 chars)
Move-in ready 3-bedroom home featuring a split floor plan, all new flooring and paint, updated bathroom vanities, new appliances, and new HVAC. Relax on the front porch or entertain on the rear deck.
-
2020-07-03historical
-
2019-11-22$59,900
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2017-11-06soldstatus $47,000
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2017-11-06soldstatus $47,000
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2017-09-18$49,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $340 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,071 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- +$731/yr (+$61/mo · 215.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,046
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,974
- − Property taxes
- −$340
- − Insurance
- −$622
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,044
- − Management
- −$1,044
- − Depreciation
- −$3,622
- Taxable loss
- −$599
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$144
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,653/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pulaski County
- NCES district ID
- 2104950
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,366
- Composite
- 39.69/100
- National rank
- #3906
- State rank
- #17 of 165 in KY
Livability — Science Hill
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #300
- US rank
- #14380
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,962
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 65,414 people
- By 2030
- 65,828 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 65,972 · +0.9%
- By 2050
- 65,108 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 61,647 · -5.8%
- By 2100
- 53,613 · -18.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Subsaharan African 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.2) · D 16.9% · R 82.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.9pp toward R · 2008: -55.4pp · 2024: -65.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.2 2020: R+62.7 2016: R+66.7 2012: R+60.5 2008: R+55.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.22%
- Current HPI
- 312.5486
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+149.5% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Relisted — ImagineMLS
- 2026-04-25 Contingent — ImagineMLS
- 2026-04-23 Relisted — ImagineMLS
- 2026-04-14 Contingent — ImagineMLS
- 2026-03-19 Relisted — ImagineMLS
- 2026-03-13 Contingent — ImagineMLS
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $124,500 ImagineMLS
- 2026-01-23 Price Changed $129,900 ImagineMLS
- 2026-01-03 Listed $137,500 ImagineMLS
- 2020-07-03 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2019-11-22 Listed $59,900 ImagineMLS
- 2017-11-06 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
- 2017-11-06 Sold (MLS) $47,000 ImagineMLS
- 2017-09-18 Listed $49,900 ImagineMLS
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $340 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…