12937 Pullman St · Southgate, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.8/30.0
- ARV discount +14.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Southgate home with 3 bedrooms and 1 bath in prime location. Bungalow home with an unfinished basement, no garage, shed in backyard. Hardwood floors in the kitchen. New paint throughout. Seller providing C of O.
Key facts
- Unfinished basement
- Shed in backyard
- New paint
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $174 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 5.2% in Southgate — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#29 in MI, #582 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D, crime D-.
- Southgate Community School District (suburban): math 21% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #379 of 540 in MI (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 115 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 301 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 301 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.14%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $171,855
- List price
- $145,000
- Delta
- -15.63%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12984 Callender St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,108 (+2%) | 1mo | $203,500 | $184 | 88 |
| 13360 Jobin St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,090 (-0%) | 1mo | $170,500 | $156 | 84 |
| 13348 Walnut St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,090 (-0%) | 4mo | $185,000 | $170 | 84 |
| 13226 Castle St | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,100 (+1%) | 4mo | $142,500 | $130 | 82 |
| 12813 Birrell St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,050 (-4%) | 2mo | $212,000 | $202 | 76 |
| 13152 Superior St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,140 (+4%) | 0mo | $200,000 | $175 | 76 |
| 13315 Birrell St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,130 (+4%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $119 | 74 |
| 13273 Cunningham St | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,190 (+9%) | 1mo | $195,000 | $164 | 72 |
| 1877 21st St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,157 (+6%) | 4mo | $178,000 | $154 | 65 |
| 13054 Agnes St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (+1%) | 5mo | $197,900 | $180 | 61 |
| 13668 Agnes St | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,180 (+8%) | 0mo | $180,000 | $153 | 52 |
| 1063 19th St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,179 (+8%) | 2mo | $182,000 | $154 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-10,605
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $12,648
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48195
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 115
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,634 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$297 /mo · $3,560/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$343
- Net cashflow
- $174
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13020 Pullman St Southgate, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,550 | $1.48 | 2d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 1650 19th St Wyandotte, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,899 | $1.73 | 17d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1130 21st St Wyandotte, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,420 | $1.64 | 1d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1163 17th St Wyandotte, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1010 | $1,695 | $1.68 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4163 Burns Ave Lincoln Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 1d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 13185 Sycamore St Southgate, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,700 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1750 Saint Johns Blvd Unit 17 Lincoln Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,025 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 854 Harrison Blvd Lincoln Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1410 | $1,750 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1760 Saint Johns Blvd Apt 14 Lincoln Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $995 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1569 Sycamore St Wyandotte, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $1,695 | $1.80 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 750 Harrison Blvd Unit 5 Lincoln Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $995 | $1.24 | 4d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 720 Harrison Blvd Unit 20 Lincoln Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,025 | $1.28 | 2d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 610 Harrison Blvd Unit 46 Lincoln Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $995 | $1.24 | 2d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 610 Harrison Blvd Apt 43 Lincoln Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 13165 Turnberry Ct Southgate, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $1,795 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 13165 Turnberry Ct Southgate, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $1,795 | $1.41 | 4d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 11400 Fordline St Allen Park, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,400 | $1.59 | 2d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2700 6th St Wyandotte, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,095 | $1.22 | 43d | 2 | 1.35mi |
| 13750 Village Green Blvd Southgate, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 862 | $1,625 | $1.88 | 1d | 9 | 1.36mi |
| 1024 Adelaide St Wyandotte, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $3,100 | $3.88 | 1d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3851 17th St Wyandotte, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 764 | $1,200 | $1.57 | 2d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 13210 Village Park Dr Southgate, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $1,125 | $1.78 | 1d | 9 | 1.43mi |
| 12939 Devoe St Southgate, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1177 | $1,695 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 13861 Strathcona St Southgate, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 797 | $1,140 | $1.43 | 1d | 5 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $145,000 Pending 301 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $145,000 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $145,000 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 298 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-03-25price $145,000 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Southgate home with 3 bedrooms and 1 bath in prime location. Bungalow home with an unfinished basement, no garage, shed in backyard. Hardwood floors in the kitchen. New paint throughout. Seller providing C of O.
-
2026-03-25price $145,000 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Southgate home with 3 bedrooms and 1 bath in prime location. Bungalow home with an unfinished basement, no garage, shed in backyard. Hardwood floors in the kitchen. New paint throughout. Seller providing C of O.
-
2026-03-25price $145,000
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Southgate home with 3 bedrooms and 1 bath in prime location. Bungalow home with an unfinished basement, no garage, shed in backyard. Hardwood floors in the kitchen. New paint throughout. Seller providing C of O.
-
2025-09-18price $150,000 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Southgate home with 3 bedrooms and 1 bath in prime location. Bungalow home with an unfinished basement, no garage, shed in backyard. Hardwood floors in the kitchen. New paint throughout. Seller providing C of O.
-
2025-09-18price $150,000 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Southgate home with 3 bedrooms and 1 bath in prime location. Bungalow home with an unfinished basement, no garage, shed in backyard. Hardwood floors in the kitchen. New paint throughout. Seller providing C of O.
-
2025-09-18price $150,000
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Southgate home with 3 bedrooms and 1 bath in prime location. Bungalow home with an unfinished basement, no garage, shed in backyard. Hardwood floors in the kitchen. New paint throughout. Seller providing C of O.
-
2025-09-03price $153,500 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Southgate home with 3 bedrooms and 1 bath in prime location. Bungalow home with an unfinished basement, no garage, shed in backyard. Hardwood floors in the kitchen. New paint throughout. Seller providing C of O.
-
2025-09-02price $153,500 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Southgate home with 3 bedrooms and 1 bath in prime location. Bungalow home with an unfinished basement, no garage, shed in backyard. Hardwood floors in the kitchen. New paint throughout. Seller providing C of O.
-
2025-09-02price $153,500
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Southgate home with 3 bedrooms and 1 bath in prime location. Bungalow home with an unfinished basement, no garage, shed in backyard. Hardwood floors in the kitchen. New paint throughout. Seller providing C of O.
-
2025-08-06$155,000 Active 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Southgate home with 3 bedrooms and 1 bath in prime location. Bungalow home with an unfinished basement, no garage, shed in backyard. Hardwood floors in the kitchen. New paint throughout. Seller providing C of O.
-
2025-08-06$155,000 Active 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Southgate home with 3 bedrooms and 1 bath in prime location. Bungalow home with an unfinished basement, no garage, shed in backyard. Hardwood floors in the kitchen. New paint throughout. Seller providing C of O.
-
2025-08-06$155,000 Active
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Southgate home with 3 bedrooms and 1 bath in prime location. Bungalow home with an unfinished basement, no garage, shed in backyard. Hardwood floors in the kitchen. New paint throughout. Seller providing C of O.
-
2021-02-01soldstatus $871,948
-
2019-12-20soldstatus $63,000 Sold
-
2019-12-20soldstatus $63,000 Closed
-
2019-10-18status Pending
-
2019-10-18status Pending
-
2019-10-14$69,900 Active
-
2019-10-14$69,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,560 · $297/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,560 · $297/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,614
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$3,560
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,569
- − Management
- −$1,569
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable loss
- −$150
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$36
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,121/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Southgate Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 2632340
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,234
- Composite
- 24.83/100
- National rank
- #7591
- State rank
- #379 of 540 in MI
Livability — Southgate
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #29
- US rank
- #582
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Southgate, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 29,366
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,366
- Household income
- $66,118
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 727.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -187.28%
- Current HPI
- 207.9776
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.04%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+107.4% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $145,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $145,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $145,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-09-18 Price Changed $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-18 Price Changed $150,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-09-18 Price Changed $150,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-09-03 Price Changed $153,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-02 Price Changed $153,500 REALCOMP
- 2025-09-02 Price Changed $153,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-08-06 Listed $155,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-08-06 Listed $155,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-08-06 Listed $155,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $871,948 Public Records
- 2019-12-20 Sold (MLS) $63,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-12-20 Sold (MLS) $63,000 REALCOMP
- 2019-10-18 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-10-18 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2019-10-14 Listed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-10-14 Listed $69,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+8.0%/yrLatest (2025): $3,560 · -12.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…