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10 Mccarthy Ave
C Composite 58.77
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$139,000

10 Mccarthy Ave · Frostproof, FL 33843
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 81 Days on market
Built 1943 5,789 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Single family home in Southern Polk County Frostproof, FL with tons of potential for first time home buyer or investors. The property is located in a dead end and quiet friendly neighborhood close to restaurants, shopping, historical museum, Lake Clinch with boat ramp, Lake Whales Ridge State Forest, Lily Lake and Crooked Lake, just to name a few. You will be close to Highway 27 and Scenic Highway, easy access to surrounding cities; Dundee, Lake Whales and Haines City, FL. The home comes with recently installed air conditioner, solar, new shed and tons of fruit trees out back that you can enjoy. Book your appointment to tour this home.

Key facts

  • Expansive yard
  • Double carport
  • Quiet deadend street

Tags

DOUBLE CARPORTLARGE STORAGE SHEDPAID OFF SOLAR PANELSEXPANSIVE YARDQUIET DEADEND STREET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $220 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $139k).
  • Recommended offer: $131k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#456 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 437 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $28 of equity ($961 loan paydown + $-933 appreciation (-0.7% local appreciation)).
  • Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-0.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 13 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $120k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $130,659 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
8.19%
Cash-on-cash
6.77%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.67% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.2%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$5,619
Equity at exit
$35,759
10-year hold
IRR
9.3%
Equity multiple
1.94×
Total profit
$36,489
Equity at exit
$39,465

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33843

Home prices YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
437
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,492 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$729
Tax from tax record
$172 /mo · $2,067/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$313
Net cashflow
$220

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,214
Max offer price $139,000
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $298 -5% $259 +0% $220 +5% $180 +10% $141
Rent -10% $102 -5% $161 +0% $220 +5% $279 +10% $338
Rate -1.0pp $290 -0.5pp $255 base $220 +0.5pp $184 +1.0pp $147

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,750
Closing costs
$4,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
120 Chesney Blvd Frostproof, FL 3.0 2.0 944 $1,495 $1.58 4d 1 0.09mi
307 N Lake Reedy Blvd Frostproof, FL 3.0 2.0 1254 $1,550 $1.24 14d 1 0.43mi
307 N Lake Reedy Blvd Frostproof, FL 3.0 2.0 1254 $1,550 $1.24 15d 1 0.43mi
313 S Palm Ave Frostproof, FL 3.0 1.0 896 $1,300 $1.45 15d 1 0.67mi

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-04-28
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-31
    price $139,000
  3. 2026-02-06
    listed $149,000 Active
  4. 2025-08-31
    historical
  5. 2025-01-30
    price $149,900
  6. 2025-01-23
    historical $1,500
  7. 2024-12-07
    price $154,000
  8. 2024-11-23
    listed $1,500
  9. 2024-10-21
    price $159,000
  10. 2024-09-18
    listed $164,000 Active
  11. 2024-09-10
    historical $1,700
  12. 2024-09-10
    historical $1,700
  13. 2024-05-17
    listed $1,700
  14. 2024-05-11
    listed $1,700
  15. 2021-11-10
    soldstatus $119,900
  16. 2021-11-04
    soldstatus $119,900 Closed 643-char remark
    Show marketing remark (643 chars)

    Single family home in Southern Polk County Frostproof, FL with tons of potential for first time home buyer or investors. The property is located in a dead end and quiet friendly neighborhood close to restaurants, shopping, historical museum, Lake Clinch with boat ramp, Lake Whales Ridge State Forest, Lily Lake and Crooked Lake, just to name a few. You will be close to Highway 27 and Scenic Highway, easy access to surrounding cities; Dundee, Lake Whales and Haines City, FL. The home comes with recently installed air conditioner, solar, new shed and tons of fruit trees out back that you can enjoy. Book your appointment to tour this home.

  17. 2021-09-29
    status Pending 643-char remark
    Show marketing remark (643 chars)

    Single family home in Southern Polk County Frostproof, FL with tons of potential for first time home buyer or investors. The property is located in a dead end and quiet friendly neighborhood close to restaurants, shopping, historical museum, Lake Clinch with boat ramp, Lake Whales Ridge State Forest, Lily Lake and Crooked Lake, just to name a few. You will be close to Highway 27 and Scenic Highway, easy access to surrounding cities; Dundee, Lake Whales and Haines City, FL. The home comes with recently installed air conditioner, solar, new shed and tons of fruit trees out back that you can enjoy. Book your appointment to tour this home.

  18. 2021-09-29
    status Active 643-char remark
    Show marketing remark (643 chars)

    Single family home in Southern Polk County Frostproof, FL with tons of potential for first time home buyer or investors. The property is located in a dead end and quiet friendly neighborhood close to restaurants, shopping, historical museum, Lake Clinch with boat ramp, Lake Whales Ridge State Forest, Lily Lake and Crooked Lake, just to name a few. You will be close to Highway 27 and Scenic Highway, easy access to surrounding cities; Dundee, Lake Whales and Haines City, FL. The home comes with recently installed air conditioner, solar, new shed and tons of fruit trees out back that you can enjoy. Book your appointment to tour this home.

  19. 2021-09-29
    status Pending 643-char remark
    Show marketing remark (643 chars)

    Single family home in Southern Polk County Frostproof, FL with tons of potential for first time home buyer or investors. The property is located in a dead end and quiet friendly neighborhood close to restaurants, shopping, historical museum, Lake Clinch with boat ramp, Lake Whales Ridge State Forest, Lily Lake and Crooked Lake, just to name a few. You will be close to Highway 27 and Scenic Highway, easy access to surrounding cities; Dundee, Lake Whales and Haines City, FL. The home comes with recently installed air conditioner, solar, new shed and tons of fruit trees out back that you can enjoy. Book your appointment to tour this home.

  20. 2021-09-27
    status Active 643-char remark
    Show marketing remark (643 chars)

    Single family home in Southern Polk County Frostproof, FL with tons of potential for first time home buyer or investors. The property is located in a dead end and quiet friendly neighborhood close to restaurants, shopping, historical museum, Lake Clinch with boat ramp, Lake Whales Ridge State Forest, Lily Lake and Crooked Lake, just to name a few. You will be close to Highway 27 and Scenic Highway, easy access to surrounding cities; Dundee, Lake Whales and Haines City, FL. The home comes with recently installed air conditioner, solar, new shed and tons of fruit trees out back that you can enjoy. Book your appointment to tour this home.

  21. 2021-09-19
    status Pending 643-char remark
    Show marketing remark (643 chars)

    Single family home in Southern Polk County Frostproof, FL with tons of potential for first time home buyer or investors. The property is located in a dead end and quiet friendly neighborhood close to restaurants, shopping, historical museum, Lake Clinch with boat ramp, Lake Whales Ridge State Forest, Lily Lake and Crooked Lake, just to name a few. You will be close to Highway 27 and Scenic Highway, easy access to surrounding cities; Dundee, Lake Whales and Haines City, FL. The home comes with recently installed air conditioner, solar, new shed and tons of fruit trees out back that you can enjoy. Book your appointment to tour this home.

  22. 2021-09-09
    listed $119,900 Active 643-char remark
    Show marketing remark (643 chars)

    Single family home in Southern Polk County Frostproof, FL with tons of potential for first time home buyer or investors. The property is located in a dead end and quiet friendly neighborhood close to restaurants, shopping, historical museum, Lake Clinch with boat ramp, Lake Whales Ridge State Forest, Lily Lake and Crooked Lake, just to name a few. You will be close to Highway 27 and Scenic Highway, easy access to surrounding cities; Dundee, Lake Whales and Haines City, FL. The home comes with recently installed air conditioner, solar, new shed and tons of fruit trees out back that you can enjoy. Book your appointment to tour this home.

  23. 2013-02-28
    soldstatus $30,000
  24. 2012-04-16
    listed $45,000
  25. 2010-07-27
    soldstatus $25,000
  26. 2009-12-15
    listed $38,900
  27. 2008-04-10
    listed $65,000
  28. 2006-12-15
    soldstatus $70,000
  29. 2006-12-04
    soldstatus $70,000
  30. 2006-10-16
    listed $76,500
  31. 2005-03-03
    soldstatus $37,900
  32. 2005-02-16
    soldstatus $37,900
  33. 2005-01-28
    listed $37,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,067 · $172/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,067 · $172/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,905
− Mortgage interest
−$7,786
− Property taxes
−$2,067
− Insurance
−$695
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,432
− Management
−$1,432
− Depreciation
−$4,044
Taxable income
$448
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$108
After-tax cash flow
$2,528/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Polk
NCES district ID
1201590
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,979
Composite
34.74/100
National rank
#5132
State rank
#62 of 73 in FL

Livability — Frostproof

Score
69/100
State rank
#456
US rank
#8297

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Frostproof, FL
Population (ZIP)
11,072

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
752,975 people
By 2030
804,621 · +6.9%
By 2040
906,117 · +20.3%
By 2050
1,000,476 · +32.9%
By 2075
1,197,520 · +59.0%
By 2100
1,271,518 · +68.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 14% Black 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 20%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.67%
Current HPI
311.1519
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+266.8% since first listed
33 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $139,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-06 Listed $149,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-31 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-30 Price Changed $149,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-23 Rental Removed $1,500 STELLARMLS
  • 2024-12-07 Price Changed $154,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-11-23 Listed for Rent $1,500 STELLARMLS
  • 2024-10-21 Price Changed $159,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-18 Listed $164,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-10 Rental Removed $1,700 HAOR
  • 2024-09-10 Rental Removed $1,700 STELLARMLS
  • 2024-05-17 Listed for Rent $1,700 HAOR
  • 2024-05-11 Listed for Rent $1,700 STELLARMLS
  • 2021-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $119,900 Public Records
  • 2021-11-04 Sold (MLS) $119,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-09-29 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-09-29 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-09-29 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-09-27 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-09-19 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-09-09 Listed $119,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-02-28 Sold (MLS) $30,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-04-16 Listed $45,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-07-27 Sold (MLS) $25,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-12-15 Listed $38,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-04-10 Listed $65,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-12-15 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2006-12-04 Sold (MLS) $70,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-10-16 Listed $76,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $37,900 Public Records
  • 2005-02-16 Sold (MLS) $37,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-01-28 Listed $37,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+9.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,067 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…