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16816 Pinehurst St
B- Composite 68.46
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.6/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,000

16816 Pinehurst St · Detroit, MI 48221
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 975 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1965 3,920 sqft lot Est $69k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* * * CALLING ALL INVESTORS-TENANT OCCUPIED * * * * FULLY RENOVATED / FULLY COMPLIANT high performing single-family unit with over $35,000 in new upgrades including, NEW FLOORING, new kitchen, new paint, new furnace, partial new roof, new fixtures/ Current owner just took on a new and qualified tenant paying $1150 per month on a one-year lease. this property has a fantastic ROI and Property is located in a quiet and well-maintained neighborhood. Showings will be limited based on tenant availability. 2024 appraisal has been done * * * * * * * *

Key facts

  • Fully renovated
  • New furnace
  • New kitchen

Tags

FULLY RENOVATEDNEW FLOORINGNEW KITCHENNEW PAINTNEW FURNACEPARTIAL NEW ROOF

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: Arcadia Park No 1; Cross streets: west of McNichols, north of Wyoming; Directions: Head north on Wyoming Rd, onto McNichols Rd to Pinehurst

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick exterior
  • Construction: Brick construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Built area above grade: 975 square feet
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot roughly 36 x 108 (0.09 acres)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Total of 4 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $510 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
  • Cap rate 15.2% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 349 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 14 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $50k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $69,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.81%
Cap rate
15.16%
Cash-on-cash
31.69%
DSCR
2.41
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$69,225
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16503 Ilene St 0.27mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,048 (+8%) 0mo $115,000 $110 70
17365 Meyers Rd 0.39mi 2/1.0 (-1) 942 (-3%) 4mo $49,000 $52 68
16919 Littlefield St 0.53mi 3/2.0 980 (+0%) 5mo $199,900 $204 66
15775 Indiana St 0.67mi 3/1.5 967 (-1%) 1mo $45,000 $47 64
15732 Manor St 0.58mi 3/1.0 930 (-5%) 3mo $50,000 $54 63
15756 Meyers Rd 0.56mi 2/1.0 (-1) 946 (-3%) 4mo $65,000 $69 61
15754 Meyers Rd 0.56mi 2/1.0 (-1) 946 (-3%) 4mo $65,000 $69 61
17147 Appoline St 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,100 (+13%) 1mo $170,000 $155 59
15856 Monte Vista St 0.42mi 3/1.0 848 (-13%) 3mo $59,900 $71 56
18000 Ilene St 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,057 (+8%) 2mo $135,000 $128 54
18081 Meyers Rd 0.64mi 2/1.5 (-1) 946 (-3%) 6mo $75,000 $79 53
16510 Littlefield St 0.52mi 2/1.0 (-1) 861 (-12%) 4mo $45,000 $52 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.44% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.1%
Equity multiple
2.13×
Total profit
$21,885
Equity at exit
$10,288
10-year hold
IRR
34.9%
Equity multiple
4.27×
Total profit
$63,271
Equity at exit
$5,966

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48221

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
349
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,249 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax est. 1.5%
$86 /mo · $1,035/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$262
Net cashflow
$510

Break-even live

Break-even rent $604
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 36 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
17150 Meyers Rd Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 775 $975 $1.26 43d 2 0.21mi
16204 Steel St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 969 $1,150 $1.19 43d 1 0.36mi
16503 Ward Ave Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 43d 1 0.43mi
16230 Indiana St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,200 $1.14 18d 1 0.53mi
15760 Monte Vista St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1080 $1,250 $1.16 43d 1 0.56mi
15878 Kentucky St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $900 $1.12 43d 1 0.59mi
15839 Kentucky St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 17d 1 0.60mi
15765 Washburn St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1093 $950 $0.87 43d 1 0.63mi
15512 Mendota St Apt 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 43d 1 0.64mi
15512 Mendota St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 931 $1,200 $1.29 5d 1 0.64mi
15738 Sorrento Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 762 $1,175 $1.54 43d 1 0.65mi
17159 Northlawn St Unit 17161 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1122 $975 $0.87 5d 1 0.70mi
15777 Wisconsin St Unit 77 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 5d 1 0.74mi
15388 Appoline St #203 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $850 $0.94 43d 1 0.79mi
16505 Stansbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 11d 1 0.85mi
18010 Lesure St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1010 $1,550 $1.53 24d 1 0.92mi
18675 Meyers Rd Unit 18677 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 942 $1,100 $1.17 43d 1 0.97mi
16722 Tuller St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,500 $1.36 16d 1 0.98mi
15517 Lesure St Unit BDRM1A Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $850 $0.85 24d 1 0.99mi
15340 Hartwell St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 16d 1 1.01mi
15771 Turner St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,049 $1.05 43d 1 1.07mi
18512 Schaefer Hwy Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 962 $1,200 $1.25 24d 1 1.08mi
15387 Lesure St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,350 $1.27 12d 1 1.09mi
14881 Mendota St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1026 $1,100 $1.07 24d 1 1.11mi
17147 Monica St Unit 2 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $975 $1.08 24d 1 1.17mi
17145 Santa Rosa Dr Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,400 $1.33 18d 1 1.23mi
14847 Cheyenne St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 849 $1,150 $1.35 18d 1 1.24mi
14891 Hartwell St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 43d 1 1.27mi
7350 Globe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 3d 1 1.27mi
17551 Santa Rosa Dr Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1036 $1,095 $1.06 43d 1 1.29mi
14903 Tracey St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1004 $1,100 $1.10 16d 1 1.31mi
17215 Warrington Dr Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1015 $2,000 $1.97 43d 1 1.40mi
14570 Cherrylawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 840 $1,250 $1.49 12d 1 1.45mi
15073 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 860 $1,350 $1.57 16d 1 1.46mi
14656 Roselawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 17d 1 1.46mi
14550 Northlawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 16d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,000 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 563-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $69,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,992
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$1,035
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,199
− Management
−$1,199
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$5,341
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,282
After-tax cash flow
$4,840/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
41,392
Household income
$57,878
Rent vs Own
34.0% rent · 66.0% own
Severe rent burden
1646.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (85%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 85% White 8% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -433.14%
Current HPI
280.5434
Rent YoY
▲ 3.44%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+57.2% since first listed
27 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $69,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $69,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-02 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-02 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-08-08 Listed $89,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-08 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-08-08 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-08 Listed $89,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-06-27 Listed $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-06-27 Listed $99,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-24 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-24 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-03-06 Listed $115,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-06 Listed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-08-31 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-08-31 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2023-07-01 Listed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-07-01 Listed $115,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-03-13 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-03-13 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2022-12-13 Listed $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-12-13 Listed $65,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2008-12-02 Sold (MLS) $7,850 REALCOMP
  • 2008-08-22 Listed $8,900 REALCOMP
  • 2005-12-29 Sold (MLS) $43,500 REALCOMP
  • 2005-09-27 Listed $43,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+17.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,309 · +32.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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