6009 S Cedar St · Pine Bluff, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 24.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.5/15.0
- Cash flow +12.7/30.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$153,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2Check it out! 2146 sq. ft. home in one of the best areas has to offer; 3 bedroom, 2 full bath property ready for a buyer! Contact Jeffrey Neal at 870-718-2971
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Easy access
- Functional layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Financing accepted: VA, FHA, Conventional, Cash
- HOA & community: Association covers insurance and water/sewer
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car parking
- Utilities: Public water; Municipal electric (Entergy); Natural gas
- Home design: Brick and frame combination exterior
- Construction: Slab foundation; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Paved road frontage; Inside city limits
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing stove; Refrigerator stays
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heat (gas); Central cooling (electric)
- Interior features: Washer connection; Electric dryer connection; Gas water heater; Smoke detectors; Security system; Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $154k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-18 ($-212/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $150k (2.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (20.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $122k (20.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 9.0% in Pine Bluff — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 50/100 on livability (#483 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Pine Bluff School District (urban): math 6% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #236 of 238 in AR (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 212 active listings in the ZIP; 62 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.49%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $177,112
- List price
- $153,500
- Delta
- -13.33%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 Wellington Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,880 (-12%) | 3mo | $177,000 | $94 | 63 |
| 2006 Windsor Colony Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 2,294 (+7%) | 13mo | $223,700 | $98 | 62 |
| 1400 Blackhawk Ridge Ln | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,012 (-6%) | 15mo | $225,000 | $112 | 61 |
| 10 Foxcroft | 0.65mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,082 (-3%) | 23mo | $185,000 | $89 | 38 |
| 7 Cromwell Cv | 0.65mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,444 (+14%) | 15mo | $186,000 | $76 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-26,029
- Equity at exit
- $22,887
- IRR
- -9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-24,240
- Equity at exit
- $13,272
Cash invested: $42,980 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71603
- Home prices YoY
- -26.0%
- Active inventory
- 212
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,218 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$805
- Tax from tax record
- −$111 /mo · $1,332/yr
- Insurance
- −$64
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$256
- Net cashflow
- $-18
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,375
- Closing costs
- $4,605
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $153,500 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $153,500 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $153,500 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $153,500 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $153,500 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $153,500 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $153,500 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $153,500 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $153,500 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-07statusdays on market $153,500 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $153,500 Price Change 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $153,500 Price Change 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $153,500 Price Change 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $153,500 Price Change 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $153,500 Price Change 30 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $153,500 Price Change 29 DOM
-
2026-05-01$160,000 New Listing 448-char remark
-
2026-05-01historical
-
2026-04-08price $177,500
-
2026-03-07price $180,000
-
2026-02-14price $185,000
-
2026-01-20$195,000 New Listing
-
2021-12-08soldstatus $141,680 Sold
Show marketing remark (159 chars)
2Check it out! 2146 sq. ft. home in one of the best areas has to offer; 3 bedroom, 2 full bath property ready for a buyer! Contact Jeffrey Neal at 870-718-2971
-
2021-12-08soldstatus $142,000
Show marketing remark (159 chars)
2Check it out! 2146 sq. ft. home in one of the best areas has to offer; 3 bedroom, 2 full bath property ready for a buyer! Contact Jeffrey Neal at 870-718-2971
-
2021-11-06status Under Contract
Show marketing remark (159 chars)
2Check it out! 2146 sq. ft. home in one of the best areas has to offer; 3 bedroom, 2 full bath property ready for a buyer! Contact Jeffrey Neal at 870-718-2971
-
2021-11-03$140,000 New Listing
Show marketing remark (159 chars)
2Check it out! 2146 sq. ft. home in one of the best areas has to offer; 3 bedroom, 2 full bath property ready for a buyer! Contact Jeffrey Neal at 870-718-2971
-
2019-08-09historical
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2019-07-06$140,000 New Listing
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2018-10-07historical
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2018-06-21price $130,000
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2018-06-07historical
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2018-06-06$150,000 New Listing
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2017-11-26price $155,000
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2016-10-07$150,000 New Listing
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2001-08-21soldstatus $87,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,332 · $111/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,332 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,617
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,598
- − Property taxes
- −$1,332
- − Insurance
- −$768
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,169
- − Management
- −$1,169
- − Depreciation
- −$4,465
- Taxable loss
- −$2,885
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$692
- After-tax cash flow
- $481/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pine Bluff School District
- NCES district ID
- 0500026
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 9% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,374
- Composite
- 5.86/100
- National rank
- #10014
- State rank
- #236 of 238 in AR
Livability — Pine Bluff
- Score
- 50/100
- State rank
- #483
- US rank
- #25645
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pine Bluff, AR
- County
- Jefferson County · 29,578 people
- City population
- 29,578
- Metro
- Pine Bluff, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,578
- Household income
- $53,130
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 657.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,110 people
- By 2030
- 58,519 · -7.3%
- By 2040
- 49,740 · -21.2%
- By 2050
- 42,331 · -32.9%
- By 2075
- 29,591 · -53.1%
- By 2100
- 21,047 · -66.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 62% White 33% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.2% · R 39.2% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.2pp toward R · 2008: 26.3pp · 2024: 20.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.1 2020: D+21.7 2016: D+25.3 2012: D+29.0 2008: D+26.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.43%
- Current HPI
- 206.5994
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Pine Bluff, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+76.4% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Price Changed $153,500 CARMLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $160,000 CARMLS
- 2026-05-01 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $177,500 CARMLS
- 2026-03-07 Price Changed $180,000 CARMLS
- 2026-02-14 Price Changed $185,000 CARMLS
- 2026-01-20 Listed $195,000 CARMLS
- 2021-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $142,000 Public Records
- 2021-12-08 Sold (MLS) $141,680 CARMLS
- 2021-11-06 Pending — CARMLS
- 2021-11-03 Listed $140,000 CARMLS
- 2019-08-09 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2019-07-06 Listed $140,000 CARMLS
- 2018-10-07 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2018-06-21 Price Changed $130,000 CARMLS
- 2018-06-07 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2018-06-06 Listed $150,000 CARMLS
- 2017-11-26 Price Changed $155,000 CARMLS
- 2016-10-07 Listed $150,000 CARMLS
- 2001-08-21 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,332 · -1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…