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15026 Crosshall Stream Dr 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 37.44
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • DSCR +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0

$329,990

15026 Crosshall Stream Dr · Balm, FL 33598
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,498 sqft · Land · 37 Days on market
Built 2026 6,000 sqft lot $7/mo HOA

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The property is located at 15026 CROSSHALL STREAM DR WIMAUMA FL 33598 priced at 329990, the square foot and stories are 1498, 1.The number of bath is 2, halfbath is 0 there are 4 bedrooms and 2 garages. For more details please, call or email.

Key facts

  • Balm grove location
  • Mature oaks
  • Large islands

Tags

BALM GROVE LOCATIONMATURE OAKSQUIET COUNTRY ROADSOPEN LIVING AREASGOURMET KITCHENSLARGE ISLANDS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Home warranty included; Builder license CBC039052
  • Financial info: Other annual assessment $2,478; Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: HOA managed by Inframark; Monthly HOA fee $7 (required); Clubhouse, playground, pool; Deed restrictions; Association approval required; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Underground utilities
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Under construction (projected completion 2026-11-30); Faces west
  • Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; New construction by D.R. Horton (Freeport II model)
  • Exterior features: Sidewalk; Pool (other type); Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Heat pump; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Blinds
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer; Irrigation equipment

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $330k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-254 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $293k (11.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $257k (22.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $257k (22.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#742 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Wimauma Elementary School (math 31% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,882 of 2,144 statewide, top 88%, 543 students, 81% FRL); Shields Middle School (math 29% / reading 27%, grade F, #486 of 571 statewide, top 86%, 1,867 students, 68% FRL); Jule F Sumner High School (math 43% / reading 43%, grade F, #255 of 667 statewide, top 39%, 3,827 students, 43% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 34% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hillsborough average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 689 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($98k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.4%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($320k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $257,391 (22.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
5.37%
Cash-on-cash
-3.30%
DSCR
0.85
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.35% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.3%
Equity multiple
0.26×
Total profit
$-68,046
Equity at exit
$58,894
10-year hold
IRR
-19.3%
Equity multiple
-0.09×
Total profit
$-101,087
Equity at exit
$45,461

Cash invested: $92,397 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33598

Home prices YoY
-0.9%
Rents YoY
-2.5%
Active inventory
689
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,574 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,731
Tax est. 1.5%
$412 /mo · $4,950/yr
Insurance
$137
HOA
$7
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$541
Net cashflow
$-254

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,896
Max offer price $293,222
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-26 -5% $-140 +0% $-254 +5% $-368 +10% $-482
Rent -10% $-457 -5% $-356 +0% $-254 +5% $-152 +10% $-51
Rate -1.0pp $-88 -0.5pp $-170 base $-254 +0.5pp $-340 +1.0pp $-427

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$82,498
Closing costs
$9,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$7 · $84/yr

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $329,990 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $329,990 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $329,990 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $329,990 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $329,990 Active 31 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $329,990 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $329,990 Active 28 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $329,990 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $329,990 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $329,990 Active 23 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    pricedays on market $329,990 Active 20 DOM
    Show marketing remark (242 chars)

    The property is located at 15026 CROSSHALL STREAM DR WIMAUMA FL 33598 priced at 329990, the square foot and stories are 1498, 1.The number of bath is 2, halfbath is 0 there are 4 bedrooms and 2 garages. For more details please, call or email.

  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $337,990 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $337,990 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $337,990 Active 17 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $337,990 Active 16 DOM
  16. 2026-05-15
    listed $336,990 Active 1712-char remark
  17. 2026-03-04
    soldstatus $1,975,200
  18. 2025-12-18
    soldstatus $6,600,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,887
− Mortgage interest
−$18,485
− Property taxes
−$4,950
− Insurance
−$1,650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,471
− Management
−$2,471
− HOA
−$84
− Depreciation
−$9,600
Taxable loss
−$8,823
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,118
After-tax cash flow
$-932/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hillsborough
NCES district ID
1200870
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$50,622
Composite
41.6/100
National rank
#3435
State rank
#41 of 73 in FL

Livability — Balm

Score
63/100
State rank
#742
US rank
#16016

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Balm, FL
County
Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
City population
196
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
32,820
Household income
$97,520
Rent vs Own
12.8% rent · 87.2% own
Severe rent burden
149.0

Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,022 people
By 2030
1,733,968 · +7.9%
By 2040
1,979,565 · +23.2%
By 2050
2,203,427 · +37.1%
By 2075
2,667,893 · +66.0%
By 2100
2,891,558 · +79.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
White 40% Hispanic / Latino 39% Black 14% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 26% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
23% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
Languages at home
62% English-only · Spanish 35% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.35%
Current HPI
271.8552
Rent YoY
▼ -2.50%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-95.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Price Changed $329,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-04 Price Changed $329,990 Zillow
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $337,990 Zillow
  • 2026-05-28 Price Changed $337,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $336,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $1,975,200 Public Records
  • 2025-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $6,600,000 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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