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2129 Hamilton St
D+ Composite 47.6
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

2129 Hamilton St · Pampa, TX 79065
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 829 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Come see this move in ready home that features 2 bedrooms, 1 bath, spacious living room and kitchen/dining combo! Big backyard and small storage shed for your yard equipment and storage bins! One Car Garage!!

Key facts

  • Big backyard
  • Small storage shed
  • Garage

Tags

BIG BACKYARDSMALL STORAGE SHED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Stone construction
  • Exterior features: Wood fencing; Composition roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Oven
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Has cooling; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Range; Oven

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $59 ($710/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($836 rent vs $80k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#128 in TX, #3,885 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, crime F.
  • Pampa ISD (town): math 38% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #482 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 174 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7 units permitted in Gray County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gray County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $80,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
7.18%
Cash-on-cash
3.17%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.2%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-9,153
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
-1.9%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-2,945
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79065

Active inventory
174
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$836 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$149 /mo · $1,786/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$176
Net cashflow
$59

Break-even live

Break-even rent $762
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2600 N Hobart St Unit C1 Pampa, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 43d 1 0.54mi
1601 W Somerville St Unit 1201 Pampa, TX 3.0 2.0 1053 $865 $0.82 43d 1 1.25mi
1601 W Somerville St Unit 1001 Pampa, TX 2.0 2.0 935 $780 $0.83 43d 1 1.25mi
1601 W Somerville St Unit 601 Pampa, TX 1.0 1.0 812 $750 $0.92 43d 1 1.25mi
1601 W Somerville St Unit 103 Pampa, TX 1.0 1.0 700 $700 $1.00 43d 1 1.25mi
1601 W Somerville St Unit 501 Pampa, TX 1.0 1.0 623 $675 $1.08 43d 1 1.25mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 208-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $80,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,786 · $149/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,786 · $149/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,038
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$1,786
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$803
− Management
−$803
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable loss
−$562
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$135
After-tax cash flow
$845/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pampa ISD
NCES district ID
4834170
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$43,741
Composite
31.43/100
National rank
#5986
State rank
#482 of 826 in TX

Livability — Pampa

Score
75/100
State rank
#128
US rank
#3885

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pampa, TX
Population (ZIP)
19,569

Population outlook (Gray County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,965 people
By 2030
26,105 · +4.6%
By 2040
28,752 · +15.2%
By 2050
31,859 · +27.6%
By 2075
39,812 · +59.5%
By 2100
43,284 · +73.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (59%)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 29%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 21%

Political lean MEDSL · Gray

2024 margin
Solid R (+77.1) · D 11.2% · R 88.3%
2008→2024 swing
-6.2pp toward R · 2008: -71.0pp · 2024: -77.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+77.1 2020: R+77.2 2016: R+78.8 2012: R+75.2 2008: R+71.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.67%
Current HPI
128.8525
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $80,000 PBOR

Property tax history

+7.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,786 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…