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2013 4th St
F Composite 34.89
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.4/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$119,000

2013 4th St · Madison, IL 62060
2 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,601 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 263 Days on market
Built 1930 7,200 sqft lot $74/sqft · 26% above area Est $94k · 26% over ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Move-In Ready & Fully Renovated! First time this home has been offered out of the family in 70 years! This extra-clean home has been completely updated and is ready for you to move right in. Features include a spacious basement with plenty of storage, a huge 24' x 28' man-sized garage, plus an additional 12' x 16' storage shed with a garage door. Recent updates include a newer roof, siding, windows, and interior paint. Enjoy a full backyard privacy fence along with a gated front yard and driveway entry. Nestled on a quiet street close to schools, this spacious home offers all the room your family needs. Don’t miss out—call Bill today to schedule your showing!

Key facts

  • Huge basement
  • Newer roof
  • Extra storage shed

Tags

HUGE BASEMENTOVERSIZED NEWER GARAGENEWER ROOFNEWER SIDINGNEWER WINDOWSEXTRA STORAGE SHED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $23 ($277/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (0.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $105k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#861 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Madison CUSD 12 (suburban): math 2% / reading 4% proficiency, ranked #619 of 620 in IL (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 336 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 263 days — a 12% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $104,720 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 263 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
6.53%
Cash-on-cash
0.83%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$94,385
List price
$119,000
Delta
26.08%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2020 6th St 0.11mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,650 (+3%) 0mo $124,900 $76 77
1036 Greenwood St 0.58mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,696 (+6%) 2mo $99,900 $59 54
1710 Edwardsville Rd 0.37mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,390 (-13%) 15mo $121,000 $87 37
1615 4th St 0.52mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,792 (+12%) 20mo $140,000 $78 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.9%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-17,742
Equity at exit
$17,743
10-year hold
IRR
-6.2%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-13,265
Equity at exit
$10,289

Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62060

Home prices YoY
-2.0%
Active inventory
10
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,181 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$624
Tax from tax record
$237 /mo · $2,839/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$248
Net cashflow
$23

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,152
Max offer price $119,000
Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,750
Closing costs
$3,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-04-15
    status Active 683-char remark
    Show marketing remark (683 chars)

    Move-In Ready & Fully Renovated! First time this home has been offered out of the family in 70 years! This extra-clean home has been completely updated and is ready for you to move right in. Features include a spacious basement with plenty of storage, a huge 24' x 28' man-sized garage, plus an additional 12' x 16' storage shed with a garage door. Recent updates include a newer roof, siding, windows, and interior paint. Enjoy a full backyard privacy fence along with a gated front yard and driveway entry. Nestled on a quiet street close to schools, this spacious home offers all the room your family needs. Don’t miss out—call Bill today to schedule your showing!

  2. 2026-03-31
    status Pending 683-char remark
    Show marketing remark (683 chars)

    Move-In Ready & Fully Renovated! First time this home has been offered out of the family in 70 years! This extra-clean home has been completely updated and is ready for you to move right in. Features include a spacious basement with plenty of storage, a huge 24' x 28' man-sized garage, plus an additional 12' x 16' storage shed with a garage door. Recent updates include a newer roof, siding, windows, and interior paint. Enjoy a full backyard privacy fence along with a gated front yard and driveway entry. Nestled on a quiet street close to schools, this spacious home offers all the room your family needs. Don’t miss out—call Bill today to schedule your showing!

  3. 2026-01-12
    status Active 683-char remark
    Show marketing remark (683 chars)

    Move-In Ready & Fully Renovated! First time this home has been offered out of the family in 70 years! This extra-clean home has been completely updated and is ready for you to move right in. Features include a spacious basement with plenty of storage, a huge 24' x 28' man-sized garage, plus an additional 12' x 16' storage shed with a garage door. Recent updates include a newer roof, siding, windows, and interior paint. Enjoy a full backyard privacy fence along with a gated front yard and driveway entry. Nestled on a quiet street close to schools, this spacious home offers all the room your family needs. Don’t miss out—call Bill today to schedule your showing!

  4. 2026-01-12
    price $119,000 683-char remark
    Show marketing remark (683 chars)

    Move-In Ready & Fully Renovated! First time this home has been offered out of the family in 70 years! This extra-clean home has been completely updated and is ready for you to move right in. Features include a spacious basement with plenty of storage, a huge 24' x 28' man-sized garage, plus an additional 12' x 16' storage shed with a garage door. Recent updates include a newer roof, siding, windows, and interior paint. Enjoy a full backyard privacy fence along with a gated front yard and driveway entry. Nestled on a quiet street close to schools, this spacious home offers all the room your family needs. Don’t miss out—call Bill today to schedule your showing!

  5. 2025-11-22
    status Active 683-char remark
    Show marketing remark (683 chars)

    Move-In Ready & Fully Renovated! First time this home has been offered out of the family in 70 years! This extra-clean home has been completely updated and is ready for you to move right in. Features include a spacious basement with plenty of storage, a huge 24' x 28' man-sized garage, plus an additional 12' x 16' storage shed with a garage door. Recent updates include a newer roof, siding, windows, and interior paint. Enjoy a full backyard privacy fence along with a gated front yard and driveway entry. Nestled on a quiet street close to schools, this spacious home offers all the room your family needs. Don’t miss out—call Bill today to schedule your showing!

  6. 2025-11-15
    status Pending 683-char remark
    Show marketing remark (683 chars)

    Move-In Ready & Fully Renovated! First time this home has been offered out of the family in 70 years! This extra-clean home has been completely updated and is ready for you to move right in. Features include a spacious basement with plenty of storage, a huge 24' x 28' man-sized garage, plus an additional 12' x 16' storage shed with a garage door. Recent updates include a newer roof, siding, windows, and interior paint. Enjoy a full backyard privacy fence along with a gated front yard and driveway entry. Nestled on a quiet street close to schools, this spacious home offers all the room your family needs. Don’t miss out—call Bill today to schedule your showing!

  7. 2025-11-02
    status Active 683-char remark
    Show marketing remark (683 chars)

    Move-In Ready & Fully Renovated! First time this home has been offered out of the family in 70 years! This extra-clean home has been completely updated and is ready for you to move right in. Features include a spacious basement with plenty of storage, a huge 24' x 28' man-sized garage, plus an additional 12' x 16' storage shed with a garage door. Recent updates include a newer roof, siding, windows, and interior paint. Enjoy a full backyard privacy fence along with a gated front yard and driveway entry. Nestled on a quiet street close to schools, this spacious home offers all the room your family needs. Don’t miss out—call Bill today to schedule your showing!

  8. 2025-10-26
    price $129,000 683-char remark
    Show marketing remark (683 chars)

    Move-In Ready & Fully Renovated! First time this home has been offered out of the family in 70 years! This extra-clean home has been completely updated and is ready for you to move right in. Features include a spacious basement with plenty of storage, a huge 24' x 28' man-sized garage, plus an additional 12' x 16' storage shed with a garage door. Recent updates include a newer roof, siding, windows, and interior paint. Enjoy a full backyard privacy fence along with a gated front yard and driveway entry. Nestled on a quiet street close to schools, this spacious home offers all the room your family needs. Don’t miss out—call Bill today to schedule your showing!

  9. 2025-07-28
    listed $139,000 Active 683-char remark
    Show marketing remark (683 chars)

    Move-In Ready & Fully Renovated! First time this home has been offered out of the family in 70 years! This extra-clean home has been completely updated and is ready for you to move right in. Features include a spacious basement with plenty of storage, a huge 24' x 28' man-sized garage, plus an additional 12' x 16' storage shed with a garage door. Recent updates include a newer roof, siding, windows, and interior paint. Enjoy a full backyard privacy fence along with a gated front yard and driveway entry. Nestled on a quiet street close to schools, this spacious home offers all the room your family needs. Don’t miss out—call Bill today to schedule your showing!

  10. 2024-10-01
    historical
  11. 2024-08-08
    status Pending
  12. 2024-07-11
    listed $139,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,839 · $237/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,839 · $237/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,176
− Mortgage interest
−$6,666
− Property taxes
−$2,839
− Insurance
−$595
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,134
− Management
−$1,134
− Depreciation
−$3,462
Taxable loss
−$1,653
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$397
After-tax cash flow
$674/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison CUSD 12
NCES district ID
1723970
Math proficiency
2% ▼ -3.50%
Reading proficiency
4% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$23,597
Composite
1.5/100
National rank
#10107
State rank
#619 of 620 in IL

Livability — Madison

Score
62/100
State rank
#861
US rank
#16841

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Madison, IL
City population
3,619
Population (ZIP)
3,619

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
258,371 people
By 2030
251,523 · -2.7%
By 2040
233,640 · -9.6%
By 2050
213,042 · -17.5%
By 2075
165,255 · -36.0%
By 2100
123,953 · -52.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% White 23% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Portuguese 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
R (+13.3) · D 42.5% · R 55.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-22.5pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -13.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.3 2020: R+13.2 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.4 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -4.03%
Current HPI
197.5454
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.4% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-31 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-12 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-12 Price Changed $119,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-22 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-15 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-02 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-26 Price Changed $129,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-28 Listed $139,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-01 Delisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-08 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-07-11 Listed $139,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,839 · +11.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…