215 2nd St · Holly Hill, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$290,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Lots of S P A C E here . .. inside & out! 3 bedrooms and bonus room could be used as a 4th! Formal living has brick fireplace, dining room has built-in corner cabinet, 19' eat-in kitchen has bathroom/laundry room. Whirlpool stainless refrigerator, GE self-cleaning stove. This 1925 built home has lots of charm! 22' Front porch! Master bedroom has 2 closets, 2nd bedroom has 3 closets. Upstairs bath has updated tub & sink. 6.5'' baseboards, lots of 5 paneled wood doors! Bright & open with lots of windows! Huge corner lot, storage shed. Cellar. One block to river near the MG condo, just 5 minutes to the beach & sparkling Atlantic Ocean! Lot is 140x115, room for pool! Carport. Lots of potential here!
Key facts
- Huge front porch
- Triple corner lot
- 0.35 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $322 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $279k (3.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $255k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#325 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Holly Hill School (math 27% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,882 of 2,144 statewide, top 88%, 1,149 students, 79% FRL); Campbell Middle School (math 28% / reading 30%, grade F, #479 of 571 statewide, top 84%, 855 students, 80% FRL); Seabreeze High School (math 31% / reading 56%, grade F, #248 of 667 statewide, top 38%, 1,654 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools average 66% FRL vs 51% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 34% at this address vs 46% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Volusia average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 332 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,794/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($56k/yr) (locally 1781% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 166 days — a 12% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $250k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 166 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.77%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.01% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-31,971
- Equity at exit
- $43,240
- IRR
- -4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-23,148
- Equity at exit
- $25,074
Cash invested: $81,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32117
- Home prices YoY
- -8.2%
- Rents YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 332
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,794 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,521
- Tax from tax record
- −$243 /mo · $2,918/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$587
- Net cashflow
- $322
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $487 | -5% $405 | +0% $322 | +5% $240 | +10% $158 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $102 | -5% $212 | +0% $322 | +5% $433 | +10% $543 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $469 | -0.5pp $396 | base $322 | +0.5pp $247 | +1.0pp $171 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,500
- Closing costs
- $8,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 241 Riverside Dr #2610 Daytona Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1922 | $3,295 | $1.71 | 22d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 241 Riverside Dr #1006 Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1660 | $2,600 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 241 Riverside Dr #904 Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1557 | $2,700 | $1.73 | 24d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 241 Riverside Dr #808 Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1537 | $2,650 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 241 Riverside Dr #1710 Daytona Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1922 | $3,000 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 241 Riverside Dr #2204 Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1689 | $3,000 | $1.78 | 24d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 241 Riverside Dr #208 Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1689 | $2,800 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 241 Riverside Dr #410 Daytona Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1922 | $4,500 | $2.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 231 Riverside Dr #1208 Holly Hill, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1660 | $2,200 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 231 Riverside Dr #1210 Holly Hill, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2079 | $4,200 | $2.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 231 Riverside Dr Unit 1509-1 Daytona Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1922 | $3,300 | $1.72 | 19d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 231 Riverside Dr Unit 5th Fl Holly Hill, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1539 | $2,800 | $1.82 | 12d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 231 Riverside Dr Unit 503 Holly Hill, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1721 | $2,800 | $1.63 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 241 Riverside Dr Unit 1546408P Holly Hill, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1915 | $4,994 | $2.61 | 15d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 100 Navigator DR Daytona Beach, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1029 | $1,808 | $1.76 | 12d | 25 | 0.36mi |
| 331 Clifton Ave Daytona Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1355 | $2,050 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 595 Brentwood Dr Daytona Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1869 | $2,100 | $1.12 | 15d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 218 Center St Daytona Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1234 | $2,190 | $1.77 | 22d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 502 Rio Vista Ave Daytona Beach, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2031 | $2,195 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 625 N Halifax Ave Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1153 | $1,488 | $1.29 | 19d | 2 | 0.80mi |
| 628 N Halifax Ave Daytona Beach, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2480 | $2,250 | $0.91 | 15d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 520 Zinfandel Dr Unit 1 Daytona Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1463 | $2,500 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 422 N Lincoln St Daytona Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1354 | $2,150 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 122 S Peninsula Dr Daytona Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1900 | $1,695 | $0.89 | 22d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 30 S Grandview Ave #3 Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,350 | $0.96 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1014 Indian Oaks E Daytona Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,650 | $1.77 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 217 Zelda Blvd Daytona Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2196 | $2,500 | $1.14 | 15d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1216 N Atlantic Ave Daytona Beach, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1112 | $4,400 | $3.96 | 19d | 99 | 1.43mi |
| 1216 N Atlantic Ave Daytona Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 973 | $3,159 | $3.25 | 12d | 10 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $290,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $290,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $290,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-15price $290,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $299,990 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $299,990 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $299,990 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $299,990 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $299,990 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $299,990 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-05status $299,990 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-04-25status Pending
-
2026-03-23price $299,990
-
2026-02-26price $320,000
-
2026-02-05price $339,000
-
2025-11-20$350,000 Active
-
2022-05-26soldstatus $250,000
-
2022-05-20soldstatus $250,000 Closed 729-char remark
Show marketing remark (729 chars)
Lots of S P A C E here . .. inside & out! 3 bedrooms and bonus room could be used as a 4th! Formal living has brick fireplace, dining room has built-in corner cabinet, 19' eat-in kitchen has bathroom/laundry room. Whirlpool stainless refrigerator, GE self-cleaning stove. This 1925 built home has lots of charm! 22' Front porch! Master bedroom has 2 closets, 2nd bedroom has 3 closets. Upstairs bath has updated tub & sink. 6.5'' baseboards, lots of 5 paneled wood doors! Bright & open with lots of windows! Huge corner lot, storage shed. Cellar. One block to river near the MG condo, just 5 minutes to the beach & sparkling Atlantic Ocean! Lot is 140x115, room for pool! Carport. Lots of potential here!
-
2022-04-09status Pending 729-char remark
Show marketing remark (729 chars)
Lots of S P A C E here . .. inside & out! 3 bedrooms and bonus room could be used as a 4th! Formal living has brick fireplace, dining room has built-in corner cabinet, 19' eat-in kitchen has bathroom/laundry room. Whirlpool stainless refrigerator, GE self-cleaning stove. This 1925 built home has lots of charm! 22' Front porch! Master bedroom has 2 closets, 2nd bedroom has 3 closets. Upstairs bath has updated tub & sink. 6.5'' baseboards, lots of 5 paneled wood doors! Bright & open with lots of windows! Huge corner lot, storage shed. Cellar. One block to river near the MG condo, just 5 minutes to the beach & sparkling Atlantic Ocean! Lot is 140x115, room for pool! Carport. Lots of potential here!
-
2022-04-04$239,900 Active 729-char remark
Show marketing remark (729 chars)
Lots of S P A C E here . .. inside & out! 3 bedrooms and bonus room could be used as a 4th! Formal living has brick fireplace, dining room has built-in corner cabinet, 19' eat-in kitchen has bathroom/laundry room. Whirlpool stainless refrigerator, GE self-cleaning stove. This 1925 built home has lots of charm! 22' Front porch! Master bedroom has 2 closets, 2nd bedroom has 3 closets. Upstairs bath has updated tub & sink. 6.5'' baseboards, lots of 5 paneled wood doors! Bright & open with lots of windows! Huge corner lot, storage shed. Cellar. One block to river near the MG condo, just 5 minutes to the beach & sparkling Atlantic Ocean! Lot is 140x115, room for pool! Carport. Lots of potential here!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,918 · $243/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,918 · $243/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,528
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,245
- − Property taxes
- −$2,918
- − Insurance
- −$1,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,682
- − Management
- −$2,682
- − Depreciation
- −$8,436
- Taxable loss
- −$885
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$212
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,082/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Volusia
- NCES district ID
- 1201920
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,946
- Composite
- 39.2/100
- National rank
- #4019
- State rank
- #47 of 73 in FL
Livability — Holly Hill
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #325
- US rank
- #5737
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Holly Hill, FL
- County
- Volusia County · 556,871 people
- Metro
- Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,955
- Household income
- $56,419
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1781.0
Population outlook (Volusia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 572,749 people
- By 2030
- 598,695 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 644,880 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 681,451 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 759,957 · +32.7%
- By 2100
- 778,902 · +36.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 8% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Volusia
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.8) · D 38.7% · R 60.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.7pp · 2024: -21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.8 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+13.1 2012: R+1.2 2008: D+5.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.62%
- Current HPI
- 1084.54
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.01%
- Metro
- Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+25.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Pending — Daytona MLS
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $299,990 Daytona MLS
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $320,000 Daytona MLS
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $339,000 Daytona MLS
- 2025-11-20 Listed $350,000 Daytona MLS
- 2022-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $250,000 Public Records
- 2022-05-20 Sold (MLS) $250,000 Daytona MLS
- 2022-04-09 Pending — Daytona MLS
- 2022-04-04 Listed $239,900 Daytona MLS
Property tax history
+12.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,918 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…