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501 1st St NW
B Composite 74.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$72,900

501 1st St NW · Bowbells, ND 58721
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,289 sqft · SingleFamily · 1 Days on market
Built 1916 Fair condition 0.44 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Expansive yard
  • Eat-in kitchen
  • Spacious living room

Tags

THREE BEAUTIFULLY TREED LOTSSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMEAT-IN KITCHENMAIN-FLOOR PRIMARY BEDROOMEXPANSIVE YARDDETACHED ONE-STALL GARAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; Detached/attached garage (1 car); Circular driveway; Alley access
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Basement foundation (unfinished)
  • Exterior features: Rain gutters; Asphalt road access on a public maintained city street; Irregular, level, pie-shaped lot (0.44 acres)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Carpet flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Window treatments; Unfinished basement with sump pump
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $73k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $463 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $73k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#115 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety D, amenities F.
  • Bowbells 14 (rural): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #124 of 169 in ND (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Burke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($504 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Burke County population projected at +80% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $72,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.68%
Cap rate
13.92%
Cash-on-cash
27.23%
DSCR
2.21
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.2%
Equity multiple
2.88×
Total profit
$38,298
Equity at exit
$32,779
10-year hold
IRR
33.5%
Equity multiple
5.66×
Total profit
$95,033
Equity at exit
$50,516

Cash invested: $20,412 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Dakota
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 58721

Active inventory
3
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,224 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$382
Tax est. 1.5%
$91 /mo · $1,094/yr
Insurance
$30
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$257
Net cashflow
$463

Break-even live

Break-even rent $638
Max offer price $72,900
Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,225
Closing costs
$2,187
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    listed $72,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,688
− Mortgage interest
−$4,084
− Property taxes
−$1,094
− Insurance
−$364
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,175
− Management
−$1,175
− Depreciation
−$2,121
Taxable income
$4,675
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,122
After-tax cash flow
$4,436/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

The home is in fair condition with moderate rehabilitation needs. Repainting the exterior and replacing windows would significantly increase its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Driveway — Cracked and uneven
  • Minor Foundation — No visible cracks
  • Minor Windows — No visible damage

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace windows — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics
  • Both Driveway repair — Enhances curb appeal and functionality

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Driveway · Cracked and uneven Minor $500–3,000
Foundation · No visible cracks Minor $500–3,000
Windows · No visible damage Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $1,500–9,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace windows — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics
  • Both Driveway repair — Enhances curb appeal and functionality

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bowbells 14
NCES district ID
3803090
Math proficiency
30% ▲ 19.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$57,671
Composite
33.69/100
National rank
#10437
State rank
#124 of 169 in ND

Livability — Bowbells

Score
68/100
State rank
#115
US rank
#10012

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment A+ Housing B- Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bowbells, ND
Population (ZIP)
426

Population outlook (Burke County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,017 people
By 2030
3,439 · +14.0%
By 2040
4,388 · +45.4%
By 2050
5,429 · +79.9%
By 2075
8,215 · +172.3%
By 2100
10,184 · +237.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Asian 5% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 27% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5%
Languages at home
95% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Burke

2024 margin
Solid R (+74.1) · D 12.4% · R 86.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-36.6pp toward R · 2008: -37.5pp · 2024: -74.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+74.1 2020: R+74.2 2016: R+73.8 2012: R+52.8 2008: R+37.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.09%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $72,900 GNMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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