501 1st St NW · Bowbells, ND
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$72,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Expansive yard
- Eat-in kitchen
- Spacious living room
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; Detached/attached garage (1 car); Circular driveway; Alley access
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Basement foundation (unfinished)
- Exterior features: Rain gutters; Asphalt road access on a public maintained city street; Irregular, level, pie-shaped lot (0.44 acres)
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Carpet flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Window treatments; Unfinished basement with sump pump
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $73k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $463 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $73k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#115 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety D, amenities F.
- Bowbells 14 (rural): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #124 of 169 in ND (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Burke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($504 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Burke County population projected at +80% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.23%
- DSCR
- 2.21
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.88×
- Total profit
- $38,298
- Equity at exit
- $32,779
- IRR
- 33.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.66×
- Total profit
- $95,033
- Equity at exit
- $50,516
Cash invested: $20,412 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58721
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,224 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$382
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$91 /mo · $1,094/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$257
- Net cashflow
- $463
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,225
- Closing costs
- $2,187
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
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- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
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- Monthly cashflow
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- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-06-18$72,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,688
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,084
- − Property taxes
- −$1,094
- − Insurance
- −$364
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,175
- − Management
- −$1,175
- − Depreciation
- −$2,121
- Taxable income
- $4,675
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,122
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,436/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
The home is in fair condition with moderate rehabilitation needs. Repainting the exterior and replacing windows would significantly increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Driveway — Cracked and uneven
- Minor Foundation — No visible cracks
- Minor Windows — No visible damage
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace windows — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics
- Both Driveway repair — Enhances curb appeal and functionality
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Driveway · Cracked and uneven | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Foundation · No visible cracks | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Windows · No visible damage | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $1,500–9,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace windows — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics ↑
- Both Driveway repair — Enhances curb appeal and functionality ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bowbells 14
- NCES district ID
- 3803090
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▲ 19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,671
- Composite
- 33.69/100
- National rank
- #10437
- State rank
- #124 of 169 in ND
Livability — Bowbells
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #115
- US rank
- #10012
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bowbells, ND
- Population (ZIP)
- 426
Population outlook (Burke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,017 people
- By 2030
- 3,439 · +14.0%
- By 2040
- 4,388 · +45.4%
- By 2050
- 5,429 · +79.9%
- By 2075
- 8,215 · +172.3%
- By 2100
- 10,184 · +237.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Asian 5% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 27% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5%
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Burke
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+74.1) · D 12.4% · R 86.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.6pp toward R · 2008: -37.5pp · 2024: -74.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+74.1 2020: R+74.2 2016: R+73.8 2012: R+52.8 2008: R+37.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
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Market trends
- HPI YoY
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- Current HPI
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- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
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- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $72,900 GNMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…