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2127 James Ave N
C+ Composite 62.72
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +5.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$170,000

2127 James Ave N · Minneapolis, MN 55411
2 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,377 sqft · SingleFamily · 46 Days on market
Built 2026 Excellent condition 6,098 sqft lot $123/sqft · 33% below area Est $253k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Brand new construction opportunity! If you qualify, this is an opportunity you don’t want to miss!Welcome to 2125 James Avenue North, Minneapolis. This thoughtfully designed new construction home features 2 bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms with a functional, modern layout and quality finishes throughout. The property includes a detached garage, providing convenient off-street parking and additional storage. Built to meet City of Minneapolis energy-efficiency requirements, this home is ENERGY STAR-rated, offering high-efficiency systems, modern features, and lower utility costs. Enjoy the benefits of new construction, including low-maintenance living and contemporary design. This home is con

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 2026

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached or attached 1-car garage (312 sq ft garage area)
  • Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Electric fuel
  • Home design: Attached residential property; Two levels; New construction; Main entry on the main level
  • Construction: Built by JOHN AISH INC; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Lot dimensions approximately 42 x 115 x 62 x 115; Lot size about 0.14 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Main-level kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms (both on the upper level)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms and one half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Open living area with main-level living room; Dining room on the main level; No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $170k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $196 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
  • Recommended offer: $165k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.1% in Minneapolis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#110 in MN, #2,525 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
  • Minneapolis Public School District (urban): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #217 of 301 in MN (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.3%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.3% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $164,900 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
7.68%
Cash-on-cash
4.94%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$253,218
List price
$170,000
Delta
-32.86%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2123 Queen Ave N 0.28mi 2/1.0 1,486 (+8%) 10mo $230,000 $155 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.35% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.8%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-7,125
Equity at exit
$25,348
10-year hold
IRR
10.3%
Equity multiple
1.96×
Total profit
$45,543
Equity at exit
$14,698

Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
34 Tenant-Leaning
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City Minneapolis
34 Tenant-Leaning · D+50
Tenant Opportunity to Purchase; renter's protections.

ZIP-level market 55411

Home prices YoY
-8.7%
Rents YoY
7.3%
Active inventory
132
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,735 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax est. 1.5%
$212 /mo · $2,550/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$364
Net cashflow
$196

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,487
Max offer price $170,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,500
Closing costs
$5,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 38 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2000 W Broadway Ave Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0 952 $1,350 $1.42 7d 4 0.08mi
1523 22nd Ave N Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 943 $1,695 $1.80 14d 1 0.20mi
1510 N 22nd Ave #1 Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,875 $1.25 4d 1 0.22mi
1510 N 22nd Ave #1 Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,875 $1.25 21d 1 0.22mi
2211 Queen Ave N Unit 1 Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 983 $1,695 $1.72 17d 1 0.29mi
2330 N Irving Ave Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0 1600 $1,375 $0.86 7d 1 0.30mi
1709 N 26th Ave Unit 3 Minneapolis, MN 1.0 1.0 920 $1,250 $1.36 43d 1 0.34mi
1312 18th Ave N Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1520 $1,899 $1.25 7d 1 0.38mi
2124 Fremont Ave N Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,580 $1.50 2d 1 0.42mi
2323 26th Ave N Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0 807 $1,717 $2.13 14d 3 0.43mi
1649 Russell Ave N Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1011 $1,700 $1.68 20d 1 0.46mi
2356 N Thomas Ave Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,800 $1.80 43d 1 0.49mi
1504 Queen Ave N Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.5 1746 $2,800 $1.60 1d 1 0.53mi
2703 Humboldt Ave N Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1218 $1,450 $1.19 21d 1 0.55mi
1407 N Girard Ave Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0 1472 $1,900 $1.29 17d 1 0.62mi
835 W Broadway Ave Minneapolis, MN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 849 $2,150 $2.53 3d 7 0.67mi
2947 Morgan Ave N Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0 1106 $1,950 $1.76 14d 1 0.70mi
1237 Knox Ave N Unit 1237 Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1196 $1,900 $1.59 4d 1 0.70mi
2419 Plymouth Ave N Minneapolis, MN 2.0–3.0 1.0 836 $1,495 $1.79 4d 2 0.77mi
1816 Zephyr Pl Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1120 $2,050 $1.83 43d 1 0.84mi
2900 N Colfax Ave Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,345 $1.12 24d 1 0.86mi
1016 N Newton Ave Unit 4 Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1009 $1,895 $1.88 43d 1 0.86mi
3255 N Logan Ave Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0 900 $995 $1.11 17d 1 0.96mi
816 Queen Ave N Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,895 $1.58 43d 1 1.02mi
318 N 27th Ave #2 Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 4d 1 1.06mi
318 N 27th Ave #2 Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 43d 1 1.06mi
3342 N Humboldt Ave Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN 1.0 1.0 900 $1,395 $1.55 17d 1 1.10mi
3001 N 3rd St Apt 1 Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 20d 1 1.20mi
2600 France Ave N Unit 2600 Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,599 $1.45 4d 1 1.25mi
2035 W River Rd Minneapolis, MN 1.0–4.0 2.0 1034 $1,730 $1.67 4d 10 1.28mi
414 N 33rd Ave Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0 1246 $1,600 $1.28 43d 1 1.32mi
1901 4th Ave N Minneapolis, MN 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,300 $1.00 24d 1 1.35mi
915 Washington Ave N Minneapolis, MN 2.0 2.0–2.5 1215 $2,549 $2.10 1d 5 1.39mi
254 9th Ave N Minneapolis, MN 1.0 1.0 922 $1,937 $2.10 4d 1 1.40mi
2212 Glenwood Ave Unit 1 Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0 950 $1,299 $1.37 43d 1 1.41mi
1611 Glenwood Ave #2 Minneapolis, MN 3.0 2.0 1800 $2,100 $1.17 14d 1 1.41mi
1611 Glenwood Ave #1 Minneapolis, MN 3.0 2.0 918 $1,995 $2.17 14d 1 1.41mi
3643 Penn Ave N Minneapolis, MN 1.0 1.0 900 $988 $1.10 43d 2 1.45mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $170,000 Active 46 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $170,000 Active 45 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $170,000 Active 44 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $170,000 Active 43 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $170,000 Active 41 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $170,000 Active 37 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $170,000 Active 36 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $170,000 Active 35 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $170,000 Active 32 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $170,000 Active 31 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $170,000 Active 30 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $170,000 Active 29 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $170,000 Active 28 DOM
  14. 2026-05-04
    listed $170,000 Active 937-char remark
  15. 2026-05-01
    historical $170,000 937-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,820
− Mortgage interest
−$9,523
− Property taxes
−$2,550
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,666
− Management
−$1,666
− Depreciation
−$4,945
Taxable loss
−$380
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$91
After-tax cash flow
$2,441/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This brand new construction home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. The high-quality finishes and modern design make it an attractive investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Install new flooring in kitchen and bathrooms — Improves functionality and aesthetics
  • Both Install new kitchen appliances — Enhances functionality and aesthetics
  • Both Install new bathroom fixtures — Enhances functionality and aesthetics

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Install new flooring in kitchen and bathrooms — Improves functionality and aesthetics
  • Both Install new kitchen appliances — Enhances functionality and aesthetics
  • Both Install new bathroom fixtures — Enhances functionality and aesthetics

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Minneapolis Public School District
NCES district ID
2721240
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$50,521
Composite
34.92/100
National rank
#5067
State rank
#217 of 301 in MN

Livability — Minneapolis

Score
78/100
State rank
#110
US rank
#2525

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living C- Crime F Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Minneapolis, MN
County
Hennepin County · 1,150,272 people
City population
417,555
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
27,741
Household income
$60,225
Rent vs Own
47.3% rent · 52.7% own
Severe rent burden
1826.0

Population outlook (Hennepin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,405,227 people
By 2030
1,492,650 · +6.2%
By 2040
1,660,157 · +18.1%
By 2050
1,823,498 · +29.8%
By 2075
2,221,283 · +58.1%
By 2100
2,509,976 · +78.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Black 49% White 23% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 11% Asian 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, Guatemala
Languages at home
68% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 8% Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Hennepin

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.6) · D 70.2% · R 27.5% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
+14.0pp toward D · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 42.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.6 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+35.3 2012: D+27.1 2008: D+28.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.91%
Current HPI
356.6758
Rent YoY
▲ 7.35%
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $170,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-01 Coming Soon $170,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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