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2127 James Ave N
C Composite 59.35
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +5.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +0.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$170,000

2127 James Ave N · Minneapolis, MN 55411
2 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,377 sqft · SingleFamily · 97 Days on market
Built 2026 Excellent condition 6,098 sqft lot 1-car garage $123/sqft · 35% below area Est $262k · 35% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Brand new construction opportunity! If you qualify, this is an opportunity you don’t want to miss!Welcome to 2125 James Avenue North, Minneapolis. This thoughtfully designed new construction home features 2 bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms with a functional, modern layout and quality finishes throughout. The property includes a detached garage, providing convenient off-street parking and additional storage. Built to meet City of Minneapolis energy-efficiency requirements, this home is ENERGY STAR-rated, offering high-efficiency systems, modern features, and lower utility costs. Enjoy the benefits of new construction, including low-maintenance living and contemporary design.

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 2026

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $170k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $188 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
  • Recommended offer: $155k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.2% in Minneapolis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#110 in MN, #2,525 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
  • Minneapolis Public School District (urban): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #217 of 301 in MN (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Nellie Stone Johnson Elementary (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #829 of 857 statewide, top 98%, 201 students, 96% FRL); Franklin Middle (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #255 of 258 statewide, top 100%, 287 students, 89% FRL); Henry High (reading 70%, 858 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 58% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 7% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-33 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Minneapolis Public School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.3%/yr); 194 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 52d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 70% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.3% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $154,700 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.62%
Cash-on-cash
4.75%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$262,411
List price
$170,000
Delta
-35.22%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2123 Queen Ave N 0.28mi 2/1.0 1,486 (+8%) 11mo $230,000 $155 56
2806 Penn Ave N 0.59mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,080 (-22%) 15mo $214,500 $199 26
3110 Irving Ave N 0.85mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (-9%) 36mo $262,500 $210 20
2743 Queen Ave N 0.64mi 3/3.0 (+1) 1,600 (+16%) 28mo $285,000 $178 20
3123 Dupont Ave N 0.99mi 2/1.0 1,200 (-13%) 20mo $245,000 $204 19
3339 Sheridan Ave N 1.14mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,497 (+9%) 35mo $190,000 $127 18
3301 Morgan Ave N 1.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,700 (+24%) 34mo $216,500 $127 11
3530 Sheridan Ave N 1.35mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,168 (-15%) 28mo $260,000 $223 7

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.35% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.1%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-7,646
Equity at exit
$25,348
10-year hold
IRR
10.0%
Equity multiple
1.93×
Total profit
$44,280
Equity at exit
$14,698

Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
34 Tenant-Leaning
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City Minneapolis
34 Tenant-Leaning · D+50
Tenant Opportunity to Purchase; renter's protections.

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
19 active · 36 under contract
Median asking
$220,000 ($173/sqft)
Median days on market
27 d
This list price
5% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+10.4% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 55411

Home prices YoY
-8.7%
Rents YoY
7.3%
Active inventory
194
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,725 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax est. 1.5%
$212 /mo · $2,550/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$362
Net cashflow
$188

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,487
Max offer price $170,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $306 -5% $247 +0% $188 +5% $130 +10% $71
Rent -10% $52 -5% $120 +0% $188 +5% $256 +10% $325
Rate -1.0pp $274 -0.5pp $232 base $188 +0.5pp $144 +1.0pp $99

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,500
Closing costs
$5,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2000 W Broadway Ave Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0 902 $1,350 $1.50 8d 2 0.08mi
1812 Golden Valley Rd Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,650 $1.65 18d 1 0.14mi
1523 N 22nd Ave Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 943 $1,695 $1.80 42d 1 0.20mi
1523 22nd Ave N Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 943 $1,695 $1.80 64d 1 0.20mi
1510 N 22nd Ave #1 Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,875 $1.25 71d 1 0.22mi
1510 N 22nd Ave #1 Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,670 $1.11 35d 1 0.22mi
2211 Queen Ave N Unit 1 Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 983 $1,695 $1.72 67d 1 0.29mi
2330 N Irving Ave Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0 1600 $1,375 $0.86 41d 1 0.30mi
2330 N Irving Ave Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0 1600 $1,375 $0.86 8d 1 0.30mi
2330 N Irving Ave Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0 1600 $1,375 $0.86 57d 1 0.30mi
1709 N 26th Ave Unit 3 Minneapolis, MN 1.0 1.0 920 $1,250 $1.36 93d 1 0.34mi
1312 18th Ave N Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1520 $1,899 $1.25 57d 1 0.38mi
2124 Fremont Ave N Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,580 $1.50 51d 1 0.42mi
2323 26th Ave N Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0 807 $1,717 $2.13 64d 3 0.43mi
1649 Russell Ave N Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1011 $1,625 $1.61 21d 1 0.46mi
1649 Russell Ave N Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1011 $1,700 $1.68 69d 1 0.46mi
2356 N Thomas Ave Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,800 $1.80 93d 1 0.49mi
1504 Queen Ave N Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.5 1746 $2,800 $1.60 51d 1 0.53mi
1504 Queen Ave N Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.5 1746 $2,750 $1.58 22d 1 0.53mi
2703 Humboldt Ave N Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1218 $1,450 $1.19 71d 1 0.55mi
1314 Morgan Ave N #2 Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 18d 1 0.61mi
1407 N Girard Ave Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0 1472 $1,900 $1.29 67d 1 0.62mi
2620 N Emerson Ave Unit 1 Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 877 $1,900 $2.17 21d 1 0.62mi
2620 N Emerson Ave Unit 1 Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 877 $1,900 $2.17 34d 1 0.62mi
2620 Emerson Ave N Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 877 $1,900 $2.17 48d 1 0.62mi
2620 Emerson Ave N Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 877 $1,900 $2.17 10d 1 0.62mi
1600 Emerson Ave N Apt 1 Minneapolis, MN 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,295 $1.08 14d 1 0.63mi
835 W Broadway Ave Minneapolis, MN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 828 $2,040 $2.46 8d 9 0.67mi
2947 Morgan Ave N Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0 1106 $1,950 $1.76 63d 1 0.70mi
2947 Morgan Ave N Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0 1106 $1,950 $1.76 48d 1 0.70mi
1237 Knox Ave N Unit 1237 Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1196 $1,900 $1.59 53d 1 0.70mi
2419 Plymouth Ave N Minneapolis, MN 2.0–3.0 1.0 836 $1,495 $1.79 53d 2 0.77mi
1816 Zephyr Pl Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1120 $2,050 $1.83 93d 1 0.84mi
2900 N Colfax Ave Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,345 $1.12 73d 1 0.86mi
1016 N Newton Ave Unit 4 Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1009 $1,895 $1.88 93d 1 0.86mi
2104 Lowry Ave N Unit 1 Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0 1130 $1,475 $1.31 25d 1 0.86mi
3107 N Upton Ave Unit 1 Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0 950 $1,800 $1.89 46d 1 0.95mi
816 Queen Ave N Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,895 $1.58 93d 1 1.02mi
318 N 27th Ave #2 Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 93d 1 1.06mi
3311 Fremont Ave N Unit 4 Minneapolis, MN 1.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 28d 1 1.07mi

Property features AI

Exterior

Parking
Detached or attached 1-car garage (312 sq ft garage area)
Utilities
City water (connected)City sewer (connected)Electric fuel
Home design
Attached residential propertyTwo levelsNew constructionMain entry on the main level
Construction
Built by JOHN AISH INCSlab foundation
Exterior features
Vinyl exteriorLot dimensions approximately 42 x 115 x 62 x 115Lot size about 0.14 acres

Interior

Kitchen
Main-level kitchen
Bedrooms
Two bedrooms (both on the upper level)
Bathrooms
Two full bathrooms and one half bathroom
Heating & cooling
Forced air heatingCentral air conditioning
Interior features
Open living area with main-level living roomDining room on the main levelNo basement

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $170,000 Active 97 DOM
  2. 2026-08-06
    days on market $170,000 Active 95 DOM
  3. 2026-08-05
    days on market $170,000 Active 94 DOM
  4. 2026-08-04
    days on market $170,000 Active 93 DOM
  5. 2026-08-03
    days on market $170,000 Active 92 DOM
  6. 2026-07-31
    days on market $170,000 Active 89 DOM
  7. 2026-07-30
    days on market $170,000 Active 87 DOM
  8. 2026-07-28
    days on market $170,000 Active 86 DOM
  9. 2026-07-26
    days on market $170,000 Active 84 DOM
  10. 2026-07-24
    days on market $170,000 Active 82 DOM
  11. 2026-07-23
    days on market $170,000 Active 81 DOM
  12. 2026-07-22
    days on market $170,000 Active 80 DOM
  13. 2026-07-21
    days on market $170,000 Active 79 DOM
  14. 2026-07-20
    days on market $170,000 Active 78 DOM
  15. 2026-07-18
    days on market $170,000 Active 76 DOM
  16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $170,000 Active 75 DOM
  17. 2026-07-16
    days on market $170,000 Active 74 DOM
  18. 2026-07-15
    days on market $170,000 Active 73 DOM
  19. 2026-07-14
    days on market $170,000 Active 72 DOM
  20. 2026-07-13
    days on market $170,000 Active 71 DOM
  21. 2026-07-13
    days on market $170,000 Active 70 DOM
  22. 2026-07-11
    days on market $170,000 Active 69 DOM
  23. 2026-07-10
    days on market $170,000 Active 68 DOM
  24. 2026-07-09
    days on market $170,000 Active 67 DOM
  25. 2026-07-07
    days on market $170,000 Active 65 DOM
  26. 2026-07-06
    days on market $170,000 Active 64 DOM
  27. 2026-07-06
    days on market $170,000 Active 63 DOM
  28. 2026-07-05
    days on market $170,000 Active 62 DOM
  29. 2026-07-03
    days on market $170,000 Active 61 DOM
  30. 2026-07-02
    days on market $170,000 Active 60 DOM
  31. 2026-07-01
    days on market $170,000 Active 59 DOM
  32. 2026-06-30
    days on market $170,000 Active 58 DOM
  33. 2026-06-29
    days on market $170,000 Active 57 DOM
  34. 2026-06-28
    days on market $170,000 Active 56 DOM
  35. 2026-06-27
    days on market $170,000 Active 55 DOM
  36. 2026-06-26
    days on market $170,000 Active 54 DOM
  37. 2026-06-24
    days on market $170,000 Active 52 DOM
  38. 2026-06-22
    days on market $170,000 Active 50 DOM
  39. 2026-06-21
    days on market $170,000 Active 49 DOM
  40. 2026-06-18
    days on market $170,000 Active 46 DOM
  41. 2026-06-17
    days on market $170,000 Active 45 DOM
  42. 2026-06-16
    days on market $170,000 Active 44 DOM
  43. 2026-06-15
    days on market $170,000 Active 43 DOM
  44. 2026-06-13
    days on market $170,000 Active 41 DOM
  45. 2026-06-09
    days on market $170,000 Active 37 DOM
  46. 2026-06-08
    days on market $170,000 Active 36 DOM
  47. 2026-06-07
    days on market $170,000 Active 35 DOM
  48. 2026-06-04
    days on market $170,000 Active 32 DOM
  49. 2026-06-03
    days on market $170,000 Active 31 DOM
  50. 2026-06-02
    days on market $170,000 Active 30 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,706
− Mortgage interest
−$9,523
− Property taxes
−$2,550
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,656
− Management
−$1,656
− Depreciation
−$4,945
Taxable loss
−$475
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$114
After-tax cash flow
$2,374/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This brand new construction home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. The high-quality finishes and modern design make it an attractive investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Install new flooring in kitchen and bathrooms — Improves functionality and aesthetics
  • Both Install new kitchen appliances — Enhances functionality and aesthetics
  • Both Install new bathroom fixtures — Enhances functionality and aesthetics
F Composite school gradezoned avg 5/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Hmong International Elementary Middle Franklin Middle F MN #255/258 Nat'l #13,819/14,009 High Fair High

Schools (NCES district)

District
Minneapolis Public School District
NCES district ID
2721240
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$50,521
Composite
34.92/100
National rank
#5067
State rank
#217 of 301 in MN
B Composite livability gradescore 78/100

Livability — Minneapolis

Score
78/100
State rank
#110
US rank
#2525

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living C- Crime F Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Minneapolis, MN
County
Hennepin County · 1,405,227 people
City population
417,555
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
27,741
Household income
$60,225
Rent vs Own
47.3% rent · 52.7% own
Severe rent burden
19% of renters

Population outlook (Hennepin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,405,227 people
By 2030
1,492,650 · +6.2%
By 2040
1,660,157 · +18.1%
By 2050
1,823,498 · +29.8%
By 2075
2,221,283 · +58.1%
By 2100
2,509,976 · +78.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Black 49% White 23% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 11% Asian 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, Guatemala
Languages at home
68% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 8% Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Hennepin

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.6) · D 70.2% · R 27.5% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
+14.0pp toward D · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 42.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.6 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+35.3 2012: D+27.1 2008: D+28.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $170,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-01 Coming Soon $170,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…