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10 Amy Ln
D- Composite 39.25
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.6/30.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.2/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$194,000

10 Amy Ln · Russell Springs, KY 42642
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 66 Days on market
Built 2006 0.37 ac lot $144/sqft · 7% above area Est $181k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this beautifully decorated 1,344 sq. ft. home that perfectly blends modern style with everyday comfort. This thoughtfully designed single-level layout offers 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, ideal for families, first-time buyers, or anyone looking for easy, low-maintenance living. Step inside to an inviting open-concept floor plan featuring stylish flooring, neutral tones, and a warm, welcoming living space centered around a cozy fireplace—perfect for relaxing evenings at home. The kitchen truly stands out with its abundance of cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, and a large island with bar seating, making it the perfect space for cooking, gathering, and entertaining. Just off the kitchen, the dedicated dining area provides plenty of room for hosting family meals or holiday gatherings. The split-bedroom layout offers privacy, with two spacious bedrooms located at the front of the home, while the primary suite is tucked away in the rear. The owner's suite features a large closet and private full bath, creating a comfortable retreat at the end of the day. Step outside to enjoy the concrete patio area, complete with a fenced section—ideal for pets, grilling, or relaxing in a private outdoor setting. The home also includes numerous upgrades throughout, adding both value and peace of mind. This home delivers exceptional value with its modern finishes, functional layout, and move-in-ready condition—making it a must-see!

Key facts

  • Cozy fireplace
  • 0.37 acre lot
  • Built 2006

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT FLOOR PLANCOZY FIREPLACEABUNDANCE OF CABINETRYSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESLARGE ISLAND WITH BAR SEATINGDEDICATED DINING AREA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $194k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $81 ($974/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (17.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $160k (17.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.3% in Russell Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#181 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Russell County (rural): math 29% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #67 of 165 in KY (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 222 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Russell County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $96k; list at $194k implies a 101% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $160,051 (17.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
6.80%
Cash-on-cash
1.79%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$180,868
List price
$194,000
Delta
7.26%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
10 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.5%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-26,338
Equity at exit
$28,926
10-year hold
IRR
-4.7%
Equity multiple
0.69×
Total profit
$-16,571
Equity at exit
$16,774

Cash invested: $54,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42642

Home prices YoY
-25.3%
Active inventory
222
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,601 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,017
Tax from tax record
$85 /mo · $1,020/yr
Insurance
$81
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$336
Net cashflow
$81

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,498
Max offer price $194,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $191 -5% $136 +0% $81 +5% $26 +10% $-29
Rent -10% $-45 -5% $18 +0% $81 +5% $144 +10% $208
Rate -1.0pp $179 -0.5pp $131 base $81 +0.5pp $31 +1.0pp $-20

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,500
Closing costs
$5,820
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $194,000 Active 66 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $194,000 Active 64 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $194,000 Active 63 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $194,000 Active 62 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $194,000 Active 61 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $194,000 Active 59 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $194,000 Active 58 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $194,000 Active 55 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $194,000 Active 54 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $194,000 Active 53 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $194,000 Active 52 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $194,000 Active 49 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $194,000 Active 48 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $194,000 Active 47 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $194,000 Active 46 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $194,000 Active 45 DOM
  17. 2026-04-13
    listed $199,000 Active 1473-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1473 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully decorated 1,344 sq. ft. home that perfectly blends modern style with everyday comfort. This thoughtfully designed single-level layout offers 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, ideal for families, first-time buyers, or anyone looking for easy, low-maintenance living. Step inside to an inviting open-concept floor plan featuring stylish flooring, neutral tones, and a warm, welcoming living space centered around a cozy fireplace—perfect for relaxing evenings at home. The kitchen truly stands out with its abundance of cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, and a large island with bar seating, making it the perfect space for cooking, gathering, and entertaining. Just off the kitchen, the dedicated dining area provides plenty of room for hosting family meals or holiday gatherings. The split-bedroom layout offers privacy, with two spacious bedrooms located at the front of the home, while the primary suite is tucked away in the rear. The owner's suite features a large closet and private full bath, creating a comfortable retreat at the end of the day. Step outside to enjoy the concrete patio area, complete with a fenced section—ideal for pets, grilling, or relaxing in a private outdoor setting. The home also includes numerous upgrades throughout, adding both value and peace of mind. This home delivers exceptional value with its modern finishes, functional layout, and move-in-ready condition—making it a must-see!

  18. 2019-06-03
    soldstatus $96,500
  19. 2008-10-01
    soldstatus $64,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,020 · $85/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,668 · $139/mo
Expected delta
+$648/yr (+$54/mo · 63.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,206
− Mortgage interest
−$10,867
− Property taxes
−$1,020
− Insurance
−$970
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,536
− Management
−$1,536
− Depreciation
−$5,644
Taxable loss
−$2,368
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$568
After-tax cash flow
$1,543/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Russell County
NCES district ID
2105160
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$31,487
Composite
29.35/100
National rank
#6537
State rank
#67 of 165 in KY

Livability — Russell Springs

Score
69/100
State rank
#181
US rank
#9030

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
12,951

Population outlook (Russell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,770 people
By 2030
17,730 · -0.2%
By 2040
17,469 · -1.7%
By 2050
16,919 · -4.8%
By 2075
15,582 · -12.3%
By 2100
13,227 · -25.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Russell

2024 margin
Solid R (+72.2) · D 13.5% · R 85.7%
2008→2024 swing
-15.9pp toward R · 2008: -56.3pp · 2024: -72.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+72.2 2020: R+69.1 2016: R+70.6 2012: R+62.0 2008: R+56.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.33%
Current HPI
237.5038
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+210.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $199,000 ImagineMLS
  • 2019-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $96,500 Public Records
  • 2008-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,020 · -2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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