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818 S Juniper St
C- Composite 52.16
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$249,000

818 S Juniper St · Kennewick, WA 99336
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,441 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1940 6,534 sqft lot Est $354k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

You will be pleasantly surprised at all the beautiful updates in this Kennewick home! New appliances, vaulted ceiling and breakfast bar in the well designed kitchen, 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, 1466 sq ft, fireplace with insert in the living room, RV/boat parking, and a fantastic backyard. Affordable and Adorable home!

Key facts

  • Carpeted bedrooms
  • Covered carport
  • Vinyl siding

Tags

HARD-SURFACE FLOORINGCARPETED BEDROOMSVINYL SIDINGCOVERED CARPORTFULLY FENCED BACKYARDLOW-MAINTENANCE BACKYARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: One parking space total; One covered space; Carport; Off-street and on-street parking (no garage)
  • Utilities: Public water; Electricity on property; Cable connected; Natural gas connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two-story home; Site-built on owned lot; New construction
  • Construction: Vinyl and wood siding; Composition roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built recently (new construction)
  • Exterior features: Patio; Full fencing; Exterior lighting; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher, Microwave, Oven, Refrigerator, Range
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas)
  • Interior features: Dishwasher, Microwave, Oven, Refrigerator, Range; One masonry fireplace; No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $249k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $92 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (21.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $195k (21.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.3% in Kennewick — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#131 in WA, #2,599 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities D+, crime F.
  • Kennewick School District (urban): math 43% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #141 of 291 in WA (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Eastgate Elementary School (494 students, 85% FRL); Park Middle School (692 students, 89% FRL); Kennewick High School (1,785 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 48% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 292 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,532 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (389 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Benton County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $51k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $116k; list at $249k implies a 115% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $195,295 (21.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
6.73%
Cash-on-cash
1.58%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$354,486
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
514 S Ivy St 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,456 (+1%) 7mo $295,000 $203 82
218 E 8th Pl 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,416 (-2%) 1mo $246,000 $174 76
1401 E 6th Ave 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,352 (-6%) 8mo $324,900 $240 70
620 E 7th Ave 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,320 (-8%) 5mo $325,000 $246 68
2135 S Elm Pl 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,440 (-0%) 5mo $408,000 $283 64
2150 S Elm Pl 0.68mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,435 (-0%) 1mo $412,900 $288 61
1140 S Cedar Pl 0.42mi 3/3.0 1,595 (+11%) 1mo $339,900 $213 58
209 E 16th Ave 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,536 (+7%) 4mo $389,900 $254 58
821 S Elm St 0.31mi 3/2.5 1,250 (-13%) 5mo $319,998 $256 57
706 S Alder St 0.62mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,477 (+2%) 3mo $296,000 $200 56
2183 S Elm Pl 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,363 (-5%) 5mo $394,900 $290 55
406 S Fir St 0.46mi 3/1.0 1,610 (+12%) 1mo $315,000 $196 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.39% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.5%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-33,879
Equity at exit
$37,127
10-year hold
IRR
-4.1%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-19,356
Equity at exit
$21,529

Cash invested: $69,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 99336

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
292
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,953 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,306
Tax from tax record
$42 /mo · $500/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$410
Net cashflow
$92

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,837
Max offer price $249,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $233 -5% $162 +0% $92 +5% $-264 +10% $-350
Rent -10% $-63 -5% $15 +0% $92 +5% $169 +10% $246
Rate -1.0pp $217 -0.5pp $155 base $92 +0.5pp $27 +1.0pp $-39

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,250
Closing costs
$7,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
402 E 10th Ave Kennewick, WA 3.0 1.0 924 $1,495 $1.62 45d 1 0.38mi
402 E 10th Ave Lot 10 Kennewick, WA 3.0 1.0 924 $1,425 $1.54 45d 1 0.38mi
212 N Elm St Kennewick, WA 1.0–3.0 1.5–3.5 1782 $4,705 $2.64 15d 19 0.89mi
919 E 27th Ave Kennewick, WA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,195 $1.33 45d 1 1.05mi
705 S Ione St Kennewick, WA 3.0 1.5 1056 $2,000 $1.89 15d 1 1.29mi
1114 W 10th Ave Kennewick, WA 3.0 1.0–2.0 829 $1,551 $1.87 15d 41 1.47mi
1000 W 5th Ave Kennewick, WA 3.0–4.0 2.0 1157 $1,371 $1.18 15d 4 1.48mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-04-13
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-07
    price $249,000
  3. 2026-03-23
    price $289,900
  4. 2026-03-03
    listed $299,900 Active
  5. 2025-09-29
    price $305,000
  6. 2025-05-29
    price $315,000
  7. 2014-12-19
    soldstatus $116,000 317-char remark
    Show marketing remark (317 chars)

    You will be pleasantly surprised at all the beautiful updates in this Kennewick home! New appliances, vaulted ceiling and breakfast bar in the well designed kitchen, 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, 1466 sq ft, fireplace with insert in the living room, RV/boat parking, and a fantastic backyard. Affordable and Adorable home!

  8. 2014-12-19
    soldstatus $116,000
    Show marketing remark (317 chars)

    You will be pleasantly surprised at all the beautiful updates in this Kennewick home! New appliances, vaulted ceiling and breakfast bar in the well designed kitchen, 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, 1466 sq ft, fireplace with insert in the living room, RV/boat parking, and a fantastic backyard. Affordable and Adorable home!

  9. 2014-09-09
    listed $120,000 317-char remark
    Show marketing remark (317 chars)

    You will be pleasantly surprised at all the beautiful updates in this Kennewick home! New appliances, vaulted ceiling and breakfast bar in the well designed kitchen, 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, 1466 sq ft, fireplace with insert in the living room, RV/boat parking, and a fantastic backyard. Affordable and Adorable home!

  10. 2014-04-30
    listed $120,000
  11. 2003-04-11
    soldstatus $104,000
  12. 2003-04-11
    soldstatus $104,000
  13. 2002-07-29
    listed $104,000
  14. 2002-05-28
    soldstatus $61,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$500 · $42/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,440 · $203/mo
Expected delta
+$1,940/yr (+$162/mo · 388.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥100°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,435
− Mortgage interest
−$13,948
− Property taxes
−$500
− Insurance
−$1,245
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,875
− Management
−$1,875
− Depreciation
−$7,244
Taxable loss
−$3,251
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$780
After-tax cash flow
$1,880/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kennewick School District
NCES district ID
5303930
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$54,191
Composite
45.56/100
National rank
#5667
State rank
#141 of 291 in WA

Livability — Kennewick

Score
78/100
State rank
#131
US rank
#2599

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute A+ Cost of living B- Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kennewick, WA
County
Benton County · 186,895 people
City population
104,655
Metro
Kennewick-Richland, WA
Population (ZIP)
50,735
Household income
$62,527
Rent vs Own
51.7% rent · 48.3% own
Severe rent burden
2605.0

Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
219,421 people
By 2030
233,813 · +6.6%
By 2040
262,134 · +19.5%
By 2050
290,100 · +32.2%
By 2075
363,525 · +65.7%
By 2100
418,667 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 15% Black 3% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 31% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
68% English-only · Spanish 29% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Benton

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.9) · D 37.7% · R 59.6% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: -26.1pp · 2024: -21.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.9 2020: R+21.0 2016: R+26.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+26.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -408.26%
Current HPI
256.1143
Rent YoY
▲ 3.39%
Metro
Kennewick-Richland, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+308.2% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Pending PACMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $249,000 PACMLS
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $289,900 PACMLS
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $299,900 PACMLS
  • 2025-09-29 Price Changed $305,000 PACMLS
  • 2025-05-29 Price Changed $315,000 PACMLS
  • 2014-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $116,000 Public Records
  • 2014-12-19 Sold (MLS) $116,000 PACMLS
  • 2014-09-09 Listed $120,000 PACMLS
  • 2014-04-30 Listed $120,000 PACMLS
  • 2003-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $104,000 Public Records
  • 2003-04-11 Sold (MLS) $104,000 PACMLS
  • 2002-07-29 Listed $104,000 PACMLS
  • 2002-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-9.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $500 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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