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4133 Nettle Rd
B- Composite 68.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +0.6/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$84,900

4133 Nettle Rd · Port Charlotte, FL 33953
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 784 sqft · Manufactured public records · 51 Days on market
Built 1982 9,999 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor opportunity in historic El Jobean. 4133 Nettle Road is a fixer-upper currently in the midst of remediation, offering a prime chance to renovate, rebuild, or customize to your needs subject to county codes and approvals. No HOA and no known lease restrictions provide flexibility for rental income, seasonal use, or long-term ownership. Public water and public sewer are already in place. Located near the marina, golf course, fishing, live entertainment, local art, shopping, dining, and the Myakka River/Charlotte Harbor area. El Jobean is one of Charlotte County’s hidden gems known for its Old Florida charm and waterfront lifestyle. Great potential for investors, builders, or buy

Key facts

  • Public sewer
  • Near marina
  • Near golf course

Tags

PUBLIC WATERPUBLIC SEWERNEAR MARINANEAR GOLF COURSENEAR FISHINGNEAR LIVE ENTERTAINMENT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot roughly 0.23 acre (about 100 x 100), cleared and level; Located near golf course and marina; Paved public maintained road; property in a flood zone and historic district
  • HOA & community: No association indicated

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered parking; Boat parking; Driveway parking; Off-street parking; Golf cart parking; Oversized spaces; Carport with 2 spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Public utilities
  • Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); Fixer condition; One story; North-facing
  • Construction: Metal siding; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built as a double wide manufactured home
  • Exterior features: Covered, enclosed and screened side porch; Private mailbox; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Freezer
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Wood floors
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air; Wall/window unit(s)
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Thermostat
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $268 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.1% vs local median 4.4% in Port Charlotte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#655 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Liberty Elementary School (math 56% / reading 56%, grade C+, #832 of 2,144 statewide, top 40%, 622 students, 56% FRL); Port Charlotte High School (math 23% / reading 38%, grade F, #434 of 667 statewide, top 66%, 1,649 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-7.5%/yr); 1347 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $31k; list at $85k implies a 174% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $82,353 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.13%
Cap rate
16.11%
Cash-on-cash
35.06%
DSCR
2.56
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.9%
Equity multiple
0.93×
Total profit
$-1,610
Equity at exit
$12,659
10-year hold
IRR
1.3%
Equity multiple
1.07×
Total profit
$1,645
Equity at exit
$7,341

Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33953

Home prices YoY
-12.3%
Rents YoY
-7.5%
Active inventory
1347
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,807 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$445
Tax from tax record
$253 /mo · $3,030/yr
Insurance
$35
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$379
Net cashflow
$268

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,468
Max offer price $84,900
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,225
Closing costs
$2,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4410 Warren Ave Port Charlotte, FL 1.0 1.0 616 $2,775 $4.50 21d 2 0.54mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $84,900 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $84,900 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $84,900 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $84,900 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $84,900 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $84,900 Active 45 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $84,900 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $84,900 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    price $84,900 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 41 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 40 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $89,900 Active 37 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,900 Active 36 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 35 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 34 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 33 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $89,900 Active 32 DOM
  18. 2026-04-28
    listed $89,900 Active
  19. 2011-07-29
    historical
  20. 2011-04-26
    listed $34,000
  21. 1999-12-22
    soldstatus $31,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,030 · $253/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,030 · $253/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,685
− Mortgage interest
−$4,756
− Property taxes
−$3,030
− Insurance
−$5,543
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,735
− Management
−$1,735
− Depreciation
−$2,470
Taxable income
$2,416
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$580
After-tax cash flow
$2,635/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Charlotte
NCES district ID
1200240
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,864
Composite
45.62/100
National rank
#2586
State rank
#22 of 73 in FL

Livability — Port Charlotte

Score
65/100
State rank
#655
US rank
#13081

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Charlotte County · 196,994 people
City population
102,180
Metro
Punta Gorda, FL
Population (ZIP)
8,318
Household income
$83,070
Rent vs Own
3.9% rent · 96.1% own
Severe rent burden
36.0

Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
198,646 people
By 2030
210,507 · +6.0%
By 2040
230,857 · +16.2%
By 2050
247,148 · +24.4%
By 2075
281,777 · +41.8%
By 2100
293,609 · +47.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 5% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -37.99%
Current HPI
269.7718
Rent YoY
▼ -7.46%
Metro
Punta Gorda, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+190.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $89,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-07-29 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-04-26 Listed $34,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1999-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $31,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,030 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…