55 Gorski St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.23%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +9.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$133,300
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Located on a dead-end street and close to the park, this Buffalo home offers a flexible layout with the opportunity to make it your own. A covered front porch welcomes you inside to a generous living room and dining room, great for hosting or just hanging out. Two first-floor bedrooms add convenience and flexibility. The eat-in kitchen features a pantry and brick backsplash that adds a touch of character. Upstairs, you’ll find a third bedroom along with unfinished attic space that has real potential for an additional room down the road. The first-floor laundry area includes extra space that could easily serve as a home office, storage, or expanded living area. Outside, the fully fence
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Brick backsplash
- Close to the park
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; No driveway
- Utilities: Public water (connected); Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electrical system
- Home design: Single-story home; Vinyl siding; Resale property; Block foundation; Rectangular residential lot on a city street (30 x 100)
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Block foundation; Existing (previously built) structure
- Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Covered porch; Shed(s)/storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Oven; Free-standing range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms; 7 total rooms including bedroom, living room, office, bonus room, entry foyer, and laundry
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Baseboard heating; Space heater(s); Window air conditioning unit(s)
- Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Home office; Pantry; Bedroom on main level
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $133k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $127 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (0.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $133k (0.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 169 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($922 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (8.1% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (8.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.08%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $179,872
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 175 Cable St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,582 (-2%) | 3mo | $100,000 | $63 | 82 |
| 104 Weimar St | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,549 (-4%) | 4mo | $172,900 | $112 | 81 |
| 236 Weimar St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,544 (-4%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $107 | 76 |
| 202 S Ogden St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,592 (-1%) | 6mo | $205,500 | $129 | 71 |
| 102 S Pierce St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,574 (-2%) | 7mo | $290,000 | $184 | 65 |
| 143 Weiss St | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,410 (-12%) | 3mo | $106,000 | $75 | 64 |
| 95 Roberts Ave | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,485 (-8%) | 8mo | $160,000 | $108 | 56 |
| 29 Pomona Pl | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,771 (+10%) | 4mo | $91,000 | $51 | 46 |
| 55 Roanoke Pkwy | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,462 (-9%) | 9mo | $265,000 | $181 | 45 |
| 123 Unger Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,788 (+11%) | 4mo | $135,000 | $76 | 40 |
| 209 Geary St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,479 (-8%) | 9mo | $225,000 | $152 | 38 |
| 121 Pierce St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,387 (-14%) | 8mo | $250,000 | $180 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.06% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.70×
- Total profit
- $63,520
- Equity at exit
- $101,801
- IRR
- 21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.78×
- Total profit
- $178,345
- Equity at exit
- $202,582
Cash invested: $37,324 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14206
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 169
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,327 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$699
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$167 /mo · $2,000/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$279
- Net cashflow
- $127
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,325
- Closing costs
- $3,999
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1899 Seneca St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1134 | $1,075 | $0.95 | 14d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 34 Hayden St Unit Back Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1927 Seneca St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1196 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 76 Hammerschmidt Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,275 | $1.06 | 2d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 23 Indian Orchard Pl Unit Lower Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 298 Cumberland Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1208 | $2,200 | $1.82 | 2d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 89 Macamley St #2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1274 | $1,100 | $0.86 | 10d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 86 Edgewood Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,700 | $1.00 | 2d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 700 Hopkins St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,225 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 102 Wildwood Pl Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 16d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1368 Harlem Rd Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1776 | $1,300 | $0.73 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $133,300 Pending 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $133,300 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $133,300 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $133,300 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $133,300 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-26$133,300 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 23% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,922
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,467
- − Property taxes
- −$2,000
- − Insurance
- −$666
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,274
- − Management
- −$1,274
- − Depreciation
- −$3,878
- Taxable loss
- −$636
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$153
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,677/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,631
- Household income
- $50,450
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 841.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 12% Two or more races 8% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 25% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.06%
- Current HPI
- 457.3935
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $133,300 WNYREIS
Property tax history
-1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $206 · +47.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…